← Model Top Picks

Blackpool v Mansfield Town

League 1 · Kickoff 24 Oct 2026 15:00 BST
League table · home team first
#TeamPWDLGDPtsLast 6
17Blackpool10325-111Loss: LDraw: DLoss: LLoss: LLoss: LWin: W
11Mansfield Town10433115Loss: LDraw: DDraw: DWin: WDraw: DWin: W

Team-data forecast · player stats pending. Chances will update when the data arrives.

Model Chances

Home36.7%
Draw26.7%
Away36.5%

Market Estimate

Home35.0%
First captured 39.9%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Draw26.2%
First captured 26.8%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Away38.8%
First captured 33.3%
17 Oct 20:46 BST

Lowest Odds

Home2.50 (6/4)
First captured 1.10 (1/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Betway, BoyleSports
Draw3.30 (23/10)
First captured 1.10 (1/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
888sport, William Hill
Away2.30 (13/10)
First captured 1.10 (1/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Betway, BoyleSports

Highest Odds

Home2.84 (≈15/8)
First captured 2.40 (7/5)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Betfair Exchange, Matchbook
Draw3.80 (14/5)
First captured 3.65 (≈13/5)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Betfair Exchange, Matchbook
Away2.50 (6/4)
First captured 3.00 (2/1)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Matchbook

Bet

Home
Draw
Away
Bet Strategy options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 63.5%

  • Primary: £7.29 on Home at 2.75 with Unibet — returns £20.05
  • Cover: £2.71 on Draw at 3.70 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.03

The primary outcome makes £10.05 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.03. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 36.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £15.78 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 63.5%

  • Primary: £6.36 on Draw at 3.70 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £23.53
  • Cover: £3.64 on Home at 2.75 with Unibet — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £13.53 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 36.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £15.78 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 73.3%

  • Primary: £5.96 on Home at 2.75 with Unibet — returns £16.39
  • Cover: £4.04 on Away at 2.48 with Casumo — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £6.39 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 26.7%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.04 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 73.3%

  • Primary: £6.36 on Away at 2.48 with Casumo — returns £15.77
  • Cover: £3.64 on Home at 2.75 with Unibet — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £5.77 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 26.7%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.04 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 63.3%

  • Primary: £5.96 on Draw at 3.70 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £22.05
  • Cover: £4.04 on Away at 2.48 with Casumo — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £12.05 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 36.7%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £14.85 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 63.3%

  • Primary: £7.29 on Away at 2.48 with Casumo — returns £18.08
  • Cover: £2.71 on Draw at 3.70 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.03

The primary outcome makes £8.08 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.03. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 36.7%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £14.85 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Predicted lineups

Blackpool

  1. Bailey Peacock-Farrell 1 Goalkeeper
  2. Ilmari Niskanen 14 Left-back
  3. Zac Ashworth 3 Centre-back
  4. Oliver Casey 4 Centre-back
  5. Jordan Williams 2 Right-back
  6. Albie Morgan 8 Central midfielder
  7. George Honeyman 10 Central midfielder
  8. Leighton Clarkson 7 Central midfielder
  9. Josh Bowler 11 Attacking midfielder
  10. Tom Bloxham 14 Forward
  11. Dale Taylor Forward

Mansfield Town

  1. Harry Lewis 21 Goalkeeper
  2. Ryan Sweeney 5 Centre-back
  3. Adedeji Oshilaja 23 Centre-back
  4. Jordan Bowery 9 Centre-back
  5. Stephen McLaughlin 3 Left wing-back
  6. Liam Thompson 16 Central midfielder
  7. George Abbott 40 Central midfielder
  8. Jon Russell 13 Central midfielder
  9. Nathan Moriah-Welsh 22 Right wing-back
  10. Rhys Oates 18 Forward
  11. Michael Smith 24 Forward

Player availability

Reported team news can change. “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Blackpool

  • Michael Ihiekwe — Out · Injured
  • Fraser Horsfall — Out · Injured
  • Christopher Hamilton — Out · Injured
  • Oluchukwu Nwankwo — Out · Injured
  • Niall Ennis — Out · Injured
  • Josh Earl — Out · Injured
  • Karoy Anderson — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

Mansfield Town

  • Lucas Akins — Out · Injured
  • Baily Cargill — Out · Injured
  • David McGoldrick — Out · Injured
  • Louis Reed — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

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