← Model Top Picks

Cambridge United v Plymouth Argyle

League 1 · Kickoff 24 Oct 2026 15:00 BST
League table · home team first
#TeamPWDLGDPtsLast 6
4Cambridge United11551420Win: WDraw: DDraw: DWin: WWin: WDraw: D
5Plymouth Argyle12615119Win: WLoss: LWin: WWin: WLoss: LLoss: L

Team-data forecast · player stats pending. Chances will update when the data arrives.

Model Chances

Home44.6%
Draw27.2%
Away28.2%

Market Estimate

Home40.0%
First captured 36.0%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Draw26.2%
First captured 27.2%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Away33.8%
First captured 36.8%
17 Oct 20:46 BST

Lowest Odds

Home2.20 (6/5)
First captured 1.10 (1/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
BoyleSports
Draw3.35 (≈23/10)
First captured 1.10 (1/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Grosvenor, Virgin Bet
Away2.60 (8/5)
First captured 1.10 (1/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
BoyleSports

Highest Odds

Home2.48 (≈6/4)
First captured 2.63 (≈13/8)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Betfair Exchange, Matchbook
Draw3.80 (14/5)
First captured 3.55 (≈5/2)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Betfair Exchange, Matchbook
Away2.94 (≈19/10)
First captured 2.55 (≈6/4)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Betfair Exchange, Matchbook

Bet

Home
Draw
Away
Bet Strategy options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 71.8%

  • Primary: £7.29 on Home at 2.40 with Coral — returns £17.50
  • Cover: £2.71 on Draw at 3.70 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.03

The primary outcome makes £7.50 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.03. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 28.2%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £14.56 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 71.8%

  • Primary: £5.83 on Draw at 3.70 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £21.57
  • Cover: £4.17 on Home at 2.40 with Coral — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £11.57 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 28.2%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £14.56 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 72.8%

  • Primary: £6.49 on Home at 2.40 with Coral — returns £15.58
  • Cover: £3.51 on Away at 2.85 with Casumo — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £5.58 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 27.2%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.03 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 72.8%

  • Primary: £5.83 on Away at 2.85 with Casumo — returns £16.62
  • Cover: £4.17 on Home at 2.40 with Coral — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £6.62 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 27.2%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.03 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 55.4%

  • Primary: £6.49 on Draw at 3.70 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £24.01
  • Cover: £3.51 on Away at 2.85 with Casumo — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £14.01 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 44.6%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £16.10 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 55.4%

  • Primary: £7.29 on Away at 2.85 with Casumo — returns £20.78
  • Cover: £2.71 on Draw at 3.70 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.03

The primary outcome makes £10.78 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.03. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 44.6%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £16.10 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Predicted lineups

Cambridge United

  1. Jake Eastwood 1 Goalkeeper
  2. Sam Curtis 29 Centre-back
  3. Kelland Watts 6 Centre-back
  4. Cathal Heffernan 31 Centre-back
  5. Zak Bradshaw 22 Left wing-back
  6. Owen Moxon 21 Central midfielder
  7. Pelly Mpanzu 17 Central midfielder
  8. Liam Bennett 2 Right wing-back
  9. Sullay Kaikai 11 Attacking midfielder
  10. Ben Knight 10 Attacking midfielder
  11. Shayne Lavery 19 Forward

Plymouth Argyle

  1. Murphy Cooper Goalkeeper
  2. Wes Harding 45 Left-back
  3. Alex Hartridge 16 Centre-back
  4. Alex Mitchell 4 Centre-back
  5. Joe Edwards 8 Right-back
  6. Caleb Watts 17 Left midfielder
  7. Harvey White 18 Central midfielder
  8. Bradley Ibrahim 23 Central midfielder
  9. Ronan Curtis 11 Right midfielder
  10. Aribim Pepple 27 Forward
  11. Will Evans 11 Forward

Player availability

Reported team news can change. “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Cambridge United

  • Shane McLoughlin — Out · Injured
  • Callum Stead — Out · Injured
  • Callum Perry — Out · Injured

Plymouth Argyle

  • Michael Baidoo — Out · Injured
  • Malachi Boateng — Out · Injured
  • Owen Oseni — Out · Injured

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