← Model Top Picks

Ipswich Town v Nottingham Forest

Premier League · Kickoff 23 Oct 2026 20:00 BST
League table · home team first
#TeamPWDLGDPtsLast 6
10Ipswich Town7304-49Loss: LLoss: LWin: WLoss: LWin: WLoss: L
19Nottingham Forest7124-45Draw: DDraw: DWin: WLoss: LLoss: LLoss: L

Team-data forecast · player stats pending. Chances will update when the data arrives.

Model Chances

Home45.6%
Draw27.0%
Away27.3%

Market Estimate

Home31.3%
First captured 31.0%
17 Oct 21:15 BST
Draw27.6%
First captured 27.0%
17 Oct 21:15 BST
Away41.1%
First captured 42.1%
17 Oct 21:15 BST

Lowest Odds

Home2.88 (≈15/8) Betfred
Draw3.30 (23/10) Paddy Power, 888sport, William Hill
Away2.25 (5/4)
First captured 2.14 (≈11/10)
17 Oct 21:15 BST
Betano, Bet Victor, LeoVegas, 888sport, William Hill

Highest Odds

Home3.25 (9/4) Betfair Exchange, Matchbook, Smarkets
Draw3.60 (13/5)
First captured 3.65 (≈13/5)
17 Oct 21:15 BST
Betfred
Away2.40 (7/5)
First captured 2.34 (≈11/8)
17 Oct 21:15 BST
Betfair Exchange, Matchbook, Smarkets

Bet

Home
Draw
Away
Bet Strategy options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 72.7%

  • Primary: £7.22 on Home at 3.10 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £22.38
  • Cover: £2.78 on Draw at 3.60 with Betfred — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £12.38 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 27.3%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £16.66 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 72.7%

  • Primary: £6.77 on Draw at 3.60 with Betfred — returns £24.37
  • Cover: £3.23 on Home at 3.10 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £14.37 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 27.3%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £16.66 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 73.0%

  • Primary: £5.74 on Home at 3.10 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £17.79
  • Cover: £4.26 on Away at 2.35 with Unibet — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £7.79 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 27.0%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.37 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 73.0%

  • Primary: £6.77 on Away at 2.35 with Unibet — returns £15.91
  • Cover: £3.23 on Home at 3.10 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £5.91 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 27.0%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.37 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 54.4%

  • Primary: £5.74 on Draw at 3.60 with Betfred — returns £20.66
  • Cover: £4.26 on Away at 2.35 with Unibet — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £10.66 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 45.6%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £14.22 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 54.4%

  • Primary: £7.22 on Away at 2.35 with Unibet — returns £16.97
  • Cover: £2.78 on Draw at 3.60 with Betfred — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £6.97 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 45.6%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £14.22 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Predicted lineups

Ipswich Town

  1. Kjell Scherpen 37 Goalkeeper
  2. Leif Davis 3 Left-back
  3. Dara O'Shea 26 Centre-back
  4. Issa Diop 31 Centre-back
  5. Abdoul Ouattara 42 Right-back
  6. Sasa Lukic 20 Defensive midfielder
  7. Exequiel Palacios 25 Defensive midfielder
  8. Daizen Maeda 38 Left attacking midfielder
  9. Julio Enciso 10 Attacking midfielder
  10. Abdul Fatawu 7 Right attacking midfielder
  11. Emersonn 19 Forward

Nottingham Forest

  1. Matz Sels 26 Goalkeeper
  2. Murillo 5 Centre-back
  3. Ousmane Diomande 2 Centre-back
  4. Ola Aina 34 Centre-back
  5. Neco Williams 3 Left wing-back
  6. Ibrahim Sangaré 6 Central midfielder
  7. James McAtee 24 Central midfielder
  8. Daniel Muñoz 2 Right wing-back
  9. Morgan Gibbs-White 10 Attacking midfielder
  10. Dan Ndoye 14 Attacking midfielder
  11. Liam Delap 12 Forward

Player availability

Reported team news can change. “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Ipswich Town

  • Sasa Lukic — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

Nottingham Forest

  • Morgan Gibbs-White — Doubtful · Injured doubtful
  • Igor Jesus — Doubtful · Injured doubtful
  • Nicolò Savona — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

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