← Model Top Picks

Arsenal v Everton

Premier League · Kickoff 24 Oct 2026 15:00 BST
League table · home team first
#TeamPWDLGDPtsLast 6
2Arsenal7601618WWWLWW
8Everton7241110DDDWDL

Team-data forecast · player stats pending. Chances will update when the data arrives.

Model Chances

Home52.4%
Draw25.8%
Away21.8%

Market Estimate

Home66.7%
First captured 68.2%
17 Oct 21:15 BST
Draw21.0%
First captured 20.3%
17 Oct 21:15 BST
Away12.3%
First captured 11.5%
17 Oct 21:15 BST

Lowest Odds

Home1.35 (≈4/11)
First captured 1.33 (≈1/3)
17 Oct 21:15 BST
LiveScore Bet
Draw4.20 (≈10/3)
First captured 4.33 (≈10/3)
17 Oct 21:15 BST
888sport, William Hill
Away6.75 (≈11/2)
First captured 7.50 (13/2)
17 Oct 21:15 BST
LeoVegas

Highest Odds

Home1.46 (≈4/9)
First captured 1.42 (≈2/5)
17 Oct 21:15 BST
Betfair Exchange, Matchbook
Draw4.80 (≈4/1)
First captured 5.00 (4/1)
17 Oct 21:15 BST
Betfair Exchange, Matchbook, Smarkets
Away9.00 (8/1)
First captured 9.40 (≈8/1)
17 Oct 21:15 BST
Betfair Exchange, Matchbook, Smarkets

Bet

Home
Draw
Away
Explore statisticsBookmaker odds
Bet Strategy options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 78.2%

  • Primary: £7.87 on Home at 1.45 with Unibet — returns £11.41
  • Cover: £2.13 on Draw at 4.70 with Casumo — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £1.41 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 21.8%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £11.08 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 78.2%

  • Primary: £3.10 on Draw at 4.70 with Casumo — returns £14.57
  • Cover: £6.90 on Home at 1.45 with Unibet — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £4.57 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 21.8%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £11.08 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 74.2%

  • Primary: £8.82 on Home at 1.45 with Unibet — returns £12.79
  • Cover: £1.18 on Away at 8.50 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.03

The primary outcome makes £2.79 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.03. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 25.8%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.39 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 74.2%

  • Primary: £3.10 on Away at 8.50 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £26.35
  • Cover: £6.90 on Home at 1.45 with Unibet — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £16.35 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 25.8%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.39 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 47.6%

  • Primary: £8.82 on Draw at 4.70 with Casumo — returns £41.45
  • Cover: £1.18 on Away at 8.50 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.03

The primary outcome makes £31.45 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.03. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 52.4%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £30.27 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 47.6%

  • Primary: £7.87 on Away at 8.50 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £66.90
  • Cover: £2.13 on Draw at 4.70 with Casumo — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £56.90 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 52.4%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £30.27 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Predicted lineups

Arsenal

  1. David Raya 1 Goalkeeper
  2. Riccardo Calafiori 33 Left-back
  3. Gabriel Magalhães 6 Centre-back
  4. Ezri Konsa 4 Centre-back
  5. Jurriën Timber 12 Right-back
  6. Bruno Guimarães 39 Defensive midfielder
  7. Declan Rice 41 Defensive midfielder
  8. Noni Madueke 20 Left attacking midfielder
  9. Martin Ødegaard 8 Attacking midfielder
  10. Bukayo Saka 7 Right attacking midfielder
  11. Kai Havertz 29 Forward

Everton

  1. Jordan Pickford 1 Goalkeeper
  2. Vitalii Mykolenko 16 Left-back
  3. Jarrad Branthwaite 4 Centre-back
  4. James Tarkowski 6 Centre-back
  5. Ainsley Maitland-Niles 2 Right-back
  6. Harrison Armstrong 45 Defensive midfielder
  7. James Garner 37 Defensive midfielder
  8. Jack Grealish 18 Left attacking midfielder
  9. Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 8 Attacking midfielder
  10. Brennan Johnson 23 Right attacking midfielder
  11. Thierno Barry 11 Forward

Player availability

Reported team news can change. “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Arsenal

  • Christos Tzolis — Out · Injured
  • William Saliba — Out · Injured
  • Piero Hincapié — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

Everton

  • Vitalii Mykolenko — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

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