Walsall v Salford City

League Two · Kickoff 26 Oct 2026 20:00 GMT (UK time)

Latest captured prices. Arrows compare with the first capture; tap an arrow to see it.

Prediction and market comparison

League 2 table · selected teams

Current saved standings · 2026/2027 · Updated 22 Oct 2026 14:55 BST

League standings for the two teams in this match
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Last 6
1	Salford City	12	8	1	3	7	25	Win: WWin: WWin: WWin: WWin: WWin: W
4	Walsall	11	4	7	0	9	19	Draw: DWin: WDraw: DDraw: DDraw: DWin: W

Last six league matches · newest on the right. W = win, D = draw, L = loss.

Predicted lineups

Predicted starting lineups — subject to change · Captured 23 Oct 2026 17:00 BST.

Walsall

Jed Ward 31 Goalkeeper
Mason Hancock 3 Left-back
James Connolly 18 Centre-back
Declan Skura 25 Centre-back
James Furlong 29 Right-back
Isaac Moore 18 Defensive midfielder
Sven Sprangler 5 Defensive midfielder
Lewis Simper 8 Left attacking midfielder
Tai Sodje Attacking midfielder
Courtney Clarke 17 Right attacking midfielder
Aaron Pressley 19 Forward

Salford City

Will Norris 50 Goalkeeper
Taylor Allen 6 Centre-back
Dan Scarr 24 Centre-back
Will Aimson 4 Centre-back
Abraham Odoh 10 Left wing-back
Elliott Bonds 6 Central midfielder
Brendan Wiredu 4 Central midfielder
Luke Molyneux 7 Right wing-back
Jorge Grant 8 Attacking midfielder
Kallum Cesay 21 Attacking midfielder
Macaulay Langstaff 17 Forward

Reported player availability

Published team news can change. “Out” means the source reports that player unavailable; “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Walsall

Alex Pattison — Out · Injured
Harry Williams — Out · Injured
Antony Evans — Out · Injured
Roman Dixon — Out · Injured
Elicha Ahui — Out · Suspended

Salford City

Ben Woodburn — Out · Injured
Joe Powell — Out · Injured

We check for confirmed lineups from 70 minutes before kickoff.

Choose Home, Draw or Away below to make a virtual bet at the highest available captured price.

Bet	Model chances	Market estimate	Market Highest Odds
Home	47.7%	29.0% First captured 28.1% 19 Oct 21:34 BST	3.40 (12/5) Coral
Draw	28.5%	26.1% First captured 26.9% 19 Oct 21:34 BST	3.75 (11/4) First captured 3.60 (13/5) 19 Oct 21:34 BST Betway
Away	23.8%	44.9% First captured 45.0% 19 Oct 21:34 BST	2.12 (≈11/10) First captured 2.05 (21/20) 19 Oct 21:34 BST Betfair Exchange

Market estimate: average of 19 bookmaker price sets after proportional margin adjustment. It is an estimate, not the true chance.

Two-outcome de-riskingand Dutching options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 76.2%

Primary: £7.33 on Home at 3.40 with Coral — returns £24.92
Cover: £2.67 on Draw at 3.75 with Betway — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £14.92 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 23.8%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £17.83 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 76.2%

Primary: £7.05 on Draw at 3.75 with Betway — returns £26.44
Cover: £2.95 on Home at 3.40 with Coral — returns £10.03

The primary outcome makes £16.44 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.03. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 23.8%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 71.5%

Primary: £5.23 on Home at 3.40 with Coral — returns £17.78
Cover: £4.77 on Away at 2.10 with Casumo — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £7.78 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 28.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.98 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 71.5%

Primary: £7.05 on Away at 2.10 with Casumo — returns £14.81
Cover: £2.95 on Home at 3.40 with Coral — returns £10.03

The primary outcome makes £4.81 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.03. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 28.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 52.3%

Primary: £5.23 on Draw at 3.75 with Betway — returns £19.61
Cover: £4.77 on Away at 2.10 with Casumo — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £9.61 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 47.7%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.46 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 52.3%

Primary: £7.33 on Away at 2.10 with Casumo — returns £15.39
Cover: £2.67 on Draw at 3.75 with Betway — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £5.39 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 47.7%), the full £10.00 is lost.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Confidence is the predicted probability of each outcome. Model enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-draw-v2-code-20261021; data frozen-6e3f9061a143fd5a5a7d090fc0d18d8373e863b5bd03ca620d425316a512ef7e; generated 21 Oct 2026 21:36 BST (UK time). Published as main-model-sofascore/enhanced-lower-20261021-v1-cb2a3dd7ada12207.

Published main-model release

Release enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-draw-v2-code-20261021 · Feature schema eg2-s1-h2-draw-v2 · Forecast snapshot 02a099d0bbe1018dea123eb045538efc

Model code SHA-256: a70a8ebaf7b426eee5f6c70e22916be2fcd73674d648f116502e9886891c7096.

Statistics used by this prediction

These are the saved inputs that contribute to this forecast. Trailing zeroes are shortened for display; match and player counts are whole numbers. Arrows compare the original values; = means equal.

Overall team comparison

Based on which team has more green arrows in the statistics below; this is not the model prediction.

Home · Walsall ↑	Away · Salford City ↓

Team performance

Current season, recent form and home/away performance.

Home · Walsall		Away · Salford City
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
↓Current points per game	1.727272727273	↑Current points per game	2.083333333333
↓Current matches	11	↑Current matches	12
↓Current form points per game	1.80	↑Current form points per game	3.00
=Current form matches	5	=Current form matches	5
↑Current venue points per game	2.20	↓Current venue points per game	1.666666666667
↓Current venue matches	5	↑Current venue matches	6
↓Current goals scored per game	1.454545454545	↑Current goals scored per game	1.583333333333
↓Current goals conceded per game	0.636363636364	↑Current goals conceded per game	1.00
↓Current form goals scored per game	1.60	↑Current form goals scored per game	2.20
=Current form goals conceded per game	0.60	=Current form goals conceded per game	0.60
↓Current venue goals scored per game	1.60	↑Current venue goals scored per game	2.00
↓Current venue goals conceded per game	0.40	↑Current venue goals conceded per game	1.50

Player pool

Minutes-weighted player performance across the active squad.

Home · Walsall		Away · Salford City
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
↑Rating	7.052849444772	↓Rating	6.944999094466
↑Minutes-weighted prior minutes	726.67542656418	↓Minutes-weighted prior minutes	694.123247775401
↑Minutes-weighted prior appearances	10.066378355495	↓Minutes-weighted prior appearances	9.762764228555
↓Active pool players	20	↑Active pool players	21
↑Goals per 90	0.132877653252	↓Goals per 90	0.132055632161
↓Assists per 90	0.075257434898	↑Assists per 90	0.109050246117
↑Shots per 90	1.390046717291	↓Shots per 90	1.280847016526
↑Shots on target per 90	0.403496766989	↓Shots on target per 90	0.364973166964
↑Key passes per 90	1.026773839044	↓Key passes per 90	1.007258737856
↑Saves per 90	0.400745021736	↓Saves per 90	0.261262889976

Goalkeepers

Goalkeeper contribution used by the model.

Home · Walsall		Away · Salford City
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
↑Goalkeeper save proportion	0.896551724138	↓Goalkeeper save proportion	0.8125
↑Goalkeeper rating	7.52	↓Goalkeeper rating	6.78

Team strength

Longer-term team-strength ratings and their evidence base.

Home · Walsall		Away · Salford City
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
↓Strength rating rating	1451.441923499857	↑Strength rating rating	1518.143143593785
↓Strength rating prior matches	290.00	↑Strength rating prior matches	293.00

Defensive pressure

How each side has limited shots, shots on target and key passes.

Home · Walsall		Away · Salford City
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
↑Shot suppression ratio	1.381291311669	↓Shot suppression ratio	0.874369452425
↑Shots on target suppression ratio	1.71926165525	↓Shots on target suppression ratio	0.746034482759
↑Keypass suppression ratio	1.164632276662	↓Keypass suppression ratio	0.852331892174

Prices are from published captures. Virtual bets use your competition bankroll. Virtual balances have no cash value.