Chelsea v Tottenham Hotspur

Premier League · Kickoff 24 Oct 2026 17:30 BST (UK time)

Bookmaker odds

Latest captured prices. Arrows compare with the first capture; tap an arrow to see it.

Prediction and market comparison

Premier League table · selected teams

Current saved standings · 2026/2027 · Updated 20 Oct 2026 02:21 BST

#TeamPWDLGDPtsLast 6
4Chelsea7412413WLDLWW
16Tottenham Hotspur7133-46LDDLDW

Last six league matches · newest on the right. W = win, D = draw, L = loss.

Predicted lineups

Predicted starting lineups — subject to change · Captured 23 Oct 2026 10:59 BST.

Chelsea

  1. Mike Penders 39 Goalkeeper
  2. Levi Colwill 6 Centre-back
  3. Maxence Lacroix 5 Centre-back
  4. Josh Acheampong 34 Centre-back
  5. Jorrel Hato 21 Left wing-back
  6. Moisés Caicedo 25 Central midfielder
  7. Jordan Henderson 6 Central midfielder
  8. Pedro Neto 7 Right wing-back
  9. Morgan Rogers 27 Left forward
  10. João Pedro 9 Forward
  11. Cole Palmer 10 Right forward

Tottenham Hotspur

  1. Antonín Kinsky 31 Goalkeeper
  2. Destiny Udogie 13 Left-back
  3. Micky van de Ven 37 Centre-back
  4. Jan Paul van Hecke 6 Centre-back
  5. Pedro Porro 23 Right-back
  6. Mateus Fernandes 18 Defensive midfielder
  7. Sandro Tonali 8 Defensive midfielder
  8. Omar Marmoush 7 Left attacking midfielder
  9. James Maddison 10 Attacking midfielder
  10. Mohammed Kudus 20 Right attacking midfielder
  11. Dominic Solanke 19 Forward

Reported player availability

Published team news can change. “Out” means the source reports that player unavailable; “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Chelsea

  • Emiliano Martínez — Out · Injured
  • Jamie Gittens — Doubtful · Injured doubtful
  • Reece James — Doubtful · Injured doubtful
  • Pep Chavarría — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

Tottenham Hotspur

  • Sávio — Out · Injured
  • Wilson Odobert — Out · Injured
  • Xavi Simons — Out · Injured
  • Mykhailo Mudryk — Out · Injured
  • Lucas Bergvall — Out · Injured
  • Rodrigo Bentancur — Out · Suspended
  • Richarlison — Out · Ineligible
  • Destiny Udogie — Doubtful · Injured doubtful
  • Pedro Porro — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

We check for confirmed lineups from 70 minutes before kickoff.

Choose Home, Draw or Away below to make a virtual bet at the highest available captured price.

BetModel chancesMarket estimateMarket
Highest Odds
Home
61.4%
55.2%
First captured 51.9%
17 Oct 21:15 BST
1.81 (≈4/5)
First captured 1.88 (≈10/11)
17 Oct 21:15 BST

Betfair Exchange
Draw
24.7%
22.9%
First captured 24.0%
17 Oct 21:15 BST
4.30 (≈10/3)
First captured 4.20 (≈10/3)
17 Oct 21:15 BST

Betfair Exchange, Matchbook, Smarkets
Away
13.9%
21.9%
First captured 24.1%
17 Oct 21:15 BST
4.60 (≈7/2)
First captured 4.30 (≈10/3)
17 Oct 21:15 BST

Betfair Exchange, Matchbook, Smarkets

Market estimate: average of 21 bookmaker price sets after proportional margin adjustment. It is an estimate, not the true chance.

Two-outcome de-riskingand Dutching options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 86.1%

  • Primary: £7.61 on Home at 1.75 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £13.32
  • Cover: £2.39 on Draw at 4.20 with Betfred — returns £10.04

The primary outcome makes £3.32 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.04. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 13.9%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.35 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 86.1%

  • Primary: £4.28 on Draw at 4.20 with Betfred — returns £17.98
  • Cover: £5.72 on Home at 1.75 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £7.98 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 13.9%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.35 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 75.3%

  • Primary: £7.77 on Home at 1.75 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £13.60
  • Cover: £2.23 on Away at 4.50 with Casumo — returns £10.04

The primary outcome makes £3.60 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.04. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 24.7%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.60 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 75.3%

  • Primary: £4.28 on Away at 4.50 with Casumo — returns £19.26
  • Cover: £5.72 on Home at 1.75 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £9.26 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 24.7%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.60 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 38.6%

  • Primary: £7.77 on Draw at 4.20 with Betfred — returns £32.63
  • Cover: £2.23 on Away at 4.50 with Casumo — returns £10.04

The primary outcome makes £22.63 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.04. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 61.4%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £21.72 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 38.6%

  • Primary: £7.61 on Away at 4.50 with Casumo — returns £34.25
  • Cover: £2.39 on Draw at 4.20 with Betfred — returns £10.04

The primary outcome makes £24.25 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.04. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 61.4%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £21.72 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Team-data forecast: recent player stats were pending when these chances were published. An updated forecast may replace it before kickoff.

Confidence is the predicted probability of each outcome. Model enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v8; data frozen-76beb185609d01901bd3e9ac04317ee37660b238f01df117713fccac5615c8cc; generated 23 Oct 2026 10:11 BST (UK time). Published as main-model-sofascore/lineup-1983618-predicted-9d4411e331d7-4cce263e8019f9f7.

Published main-model release

Release enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v8 · Feature schema eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v6 · Forecast snapshot 9cb32ba9f360a7d674843392daedf2ad

Model code SHA-256: 92fe2f81b13e8a75a998b54ca6d4c2879d837b53bf936a65d6ba7249ea405be8.

Statistics used by this prediction

These are the saved inputs that contribute to this forecast. Trailing zeroes are shortened for display; match and player counts are whole numbers. Arrows compare the original values; = means equal.

Overall team comparison

Based on which team has more green arrows in the statistics below; this is not the model prediction.

Home · Chelsea ↑ Away · Tottenham Hotspur ↓

Team performance

Current season, recent form and home/away performance.

Home · ChelseaAway · Tottenham Hotspur
StatisticValueStatisticValue
↑Current points per game 1.857142857143 ↓Current points per game0.50
↑Current matches 7 ↓Current matches6
↑Current form points per game 1.40 ↓Current form points per game0.60
=Current form matches 5 =Current form matches5
↑Current venue points per game 2.333333333333 ↓Current venue points per game0.666666666667
=Current venue matches 3 =Current venue matches3
↑Current goals scored per game 2.428571428571 ↓Current goals scored per game0.50
↑Current goals conceded per game 1.857142857143 ↓Current goals conceded per game1.50
↑Current form goals scored per game 2.00 ↓Current form goals scored per game0.60
↑Current form goals conceded per game 1.60 ↓Current form goals conceded per game1.20
↑Current venue goals scored per game 3.666666666667 ↓Current venue goals scored per game0.333333333333
↑Current venue goals conceded per game 2.00 ↓Current venue goals conceded per game1.333333333333

Prices are from published captures. Virtual bets use your competition bankroll. Virtual balances have no cash value.