York City v Port Vale

League Two · Kickoff 24 Oct 2026 15:00 BST (UK time)

Bookmaker odds

Latest captured prices. Arrows compare with the first capture; tap an arrow to see it.

Prediction and market comparison

League 2 table · selected teams

Current saved standings · 2026/2027 · Updated 22 Oct 2026 14:55 BST

#TeamPWDLGDPtsLast 6
6York City11452617WLWDDD
20Port Vale10334-412LWLWWD

Last six league matches · newest on the right. W = win, D = draw, L = loss.

Predicted lineups

Predicted starting lineups — subject to change · Captured 23 Oct 2026 10:59 BST.

York City

  1. Alfie McNally 40 Goalkeeper
  2. Mark Kitching 3 Centre-back
  3. Zak Johnson 29 Centre-back
  4. Ryan Fallowfield 2 Centre-back
  5. Harry Boyes 33 Left wing-back
  6. Ollie Banks 28 Central midfielder
  7. Alex Hunt 8 Central midfielder
  8. Joe Felix 23 Right wing-back
  9. Joe Grey 7 Attacking midfielder
  10. Alex Newby 30 Attacking midfielder
  11. Ollie Pearce 10 Forward

Port Vale

  1. Marko Marosi 20 Goalkeeper
  2. Jasper Moon 18 Centre-back
  3. Connor Hall 5 Centre-back
  4. Cameron Humphreys 25 Centre-back
  5. Jaheim Headley 3 Left wing-back
  6. Ben Garrity 8 Central midfielder
  7. George Byers 7 Central midfielder
  8. Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel 6 Right wing-back
  9. Onel Hernández 11 Attacking midfielder
  10. Kyle Dempsey 22 Attacking midfielder
  11. Keyrol Figueroa 64 Forward

Reported player availability

Published team news can change. “Out” means the source reports that player unavailable; “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

York City

  • Zech Medley — Out · Injured
  • Craig Hewitt — Out · Injured
  • Jovan Malcolm — Out · Suspended
  • Josh Stones — Out · Unfit

Port Vale

  • Matthew Craig — Out · Injured
  • Mo Faal — Out · Injured
  • Tyreece Simpson — Out · Unfit

We check for confirmed lineups from 70 minutes before kickoff.

Choose Home, Draw or Away below to make a virtual bet at the highest available captured price.

BetModel chancesMarket estimateMarket
Highest Odds
Home
62.5%
46.7%
First captured 49.6%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
2.06 (≈21/20)
First captured 1.88 (≈10/11)
17 Oct 20:46 BST

Betfair Exchange, Matchbook
Draw
26.0%
27.0%
First captured 26.3%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
3.60 (13/5)

Betway, Coral
Away
11.5%
26.3%
First captured 24.1%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
3.80 (14/5)
First captured 3.90 (≈14/5)
17 Oct 20:46 BST

Betfair Exchange, Matchbook

Market estimate: average of 20 bookmaker price sets after proportional margin adjustment. It is an estimate, not the true chance.

Two-outcome de-riskingand Dutching options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 88.5%

  • Primary: £7.22 on Home at 2.02 with Virgin Bet — returns £14.58
  • Cover: £2.78 on Draw at 3.60 with Betway — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £4.58 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 11.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.94 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 88.5%

  • Primary: £5.04 on Draw at 3.60 with Betway — returns £18.14
  • Cover: £4.96 on Home at 2.02 with Virgin Bet — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £8.14 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 11.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.94 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 74.0%

  • Primary: £7.22 on Home at 2.02 with Virgin Bet — returns £14.58
  • Cover: £2.78 on Away at 3.60 with Betano — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £4.58 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 26.0%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.94 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 74.0%

  • Primary: £5.04 on Away at 3.60 with Betano — returns £18.14
  • Cover: £4.96 on Home at 2.02 with Virgin Bet — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £8.14 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 26.0%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.94 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 37.5%

  • Primary: £7.22 on Draw at 3.60 with Betway — returns £25.99
  • Cover: £2.78 on Away at 3.60 with Betano — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £15.99 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 62.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £18.00 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 37.5%

  • Primary: £7.22 on Away at 3.60 with Betano — returns £25.99
  • Cover: £2.78 on Draw at 3.60 with Betway — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £15.99 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 62.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £18.00 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Team-data forecast: recent player stats were pending when these chances were published. An updated forecast may replace it before kickoff.

Confidence is the predicted probability of each outcome. Model enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v8; data frozen-e8d2136cf93ad20faae6dcbf9aa1b1353b8bb3453c2529668bf1e828237ba33c; generated 23 Oct 2026 10:09 BST (UK time). Published as main-model-sofascore/lineup-1990218-predicted-8596fe046faf-098b2e8ea2c1b97f.

Published main-model release

Release enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v8 · Feature schema eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v6 · Forecast snapshot 6382e07931ce2e7a9e9a6a0a7b19d69a

Model code SHA-256: 92fe2f81b13e8a75a998b54ca6d4c2879d837b53bf936a65d6ba7249ea405be8.

Statistics used by this prediction

These are the saved inputs that contribute to this forecast. Trailing zeroes are shortened for display; match and player counts are whole numbers. Arrows compare the original values; = means equal.

Overall team comparison

Based on which team has more green arrows in the statistics below; this is not the model prediction.

Home · York City ↑ Away · Port Vale ↓

Team performance

Current season, recent form and home/away performance.

Home · York CityAway · Port Vale
StatisticValueStatisticValue
↑Current points per game 1.60 ↓Current points per game1.222222222222
↑Current matches 10 ↓Current matches9
↓Current form points per game 1.60 ↑Current form points per game1.80
=Current form matches 5 =Current form matches5
↑Current venue points per game 2.60 ↓Current venue points per game0.00
↑Current venue matches 5 ↓Current venue matches4
↑Current goals scored per game 1.80 ↓Current goals scored per game0.555555555556
↑Current goals conceded per game 1.20 ↓Current goals conceded per game1.00
↑Current form goals scored per game 1.80 ↓Current form goals scored per game0.60
↑Current form goals conceded per game 0.80 ↓Current form goals conceded per game0.60
↑Current venue goals scored per game 2.60 ↓Current venue goals scored per game0.25
↓Current venue goals conceded per game 0.80 ↑Current venue goals conceded per game2.00

Prices are from published captures. Virtual bets use your competition bankroll. Virtual balances have no cash value.