Stevenage v Milton Keynes Dons

League One · Kickoff 24 Oct 2026 15:00 BST (UK time)

Bookmaker odds

Latest captured prices. Arrows compare with the first capture; tap an arrow to see it.

Prediction and market comparison

League 1 table · selected teams

Current saved standings · 2026/2027 · Updated 22 Oct 2026 02:20 BST

#TeamPWDLGDPtsLast 6
9Stevenage10433515WWLWLW
20MK Dons10163-79DDDLWL

Last six league matches · newest on the right. W = win, D = draw, L = loss.

Predicted lineups

Predicted starting lineups — subject to change · Captured 23 Oct 2026 10:59 BST.

Stevenage

  1. Tommy Setford 35 Goalkeeper
  2. Saxon Earley 14 Left-back
  3. Carl Piergianni 5 Centre-back
  4. Terence Vancooten 5 Centre-back
  5. Luther James-Wildin 2 Right-back
  6. Ben Broggio 62 Left midfielder
  7. Daniel Phillips 8 Central midfielder
  8. Phoenix Patterson 44 Central midfielder
  9. Oliver Sanderson 18 Right midfielder
  10. Dan Kemp 10 Attacking midfielder
  11. Josh Magennis 27 Forward

Milton Keynes Dons

  1. Will Dennis 40 Goalkeeper
  2. Jack Sanders 32 Centre-back
  3. Marvin Ekpiteta 21 Centre-back
  4. Charlie Goode 15 Centre-back
  5. Elijah Campbell 27 Left wing-back
  6. Ryan Wintle 6 Central midfielder
  7. Alex Gilbey 8 Central midfielder
  8. Ben Wiles 26 Central midfielder
  9. Sam Silvera 22 Right wing-back
  10. Sam Nombe 10 Forward
  11. Aaron Collins 10 Forward

Reported player availability

Published team news can change. “Out” means the source reports that player unavailable; “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Stevenage

  • Jasper Pattenden — Out · Injured
  • Jordan Roberts — Out · Injured
  • Wanya Marçal — Out · Injured
  • Louis Thompson — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

Milton Keynes Dons

  • Kane Wilson — Out · Injured
  • Rushian Hepburn-Murphy — Out · Injured
  • Callum Paterson — Out · Injured
  • Craig MacGillivray — Out · Injured
  • Ryan Barnett — Out · Injured

We check for confirmed lineups from 70 minutes before kickoff.

Choose Home, Draw or Away below to make a virtual bet at the highest available captured price.

BetModel chancesMarket estimateMarket
Highest Odds
Home
49.4%
47.0%
First captured 39.6%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
2.08 (≈11/10)
First captured 2.35 (≈11/8)
17 Oct 20:46 BST

Betfair Exchange, Matchbook
Draw
26.0%
27.9%
First captured 29.0%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
3.55 (≈5/2)
First captured 3.30 (23/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST

Betfair Exchange, Matchbook
Away
24.6%
25.1%
First captured 31.4%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
4.10 (≈3/1)
First captured 3.05 (≈2/1)
17 Oct 20:46 BST

Matchbook

Market estimate: average of 21 bookmaker price sets after proportional margin adjustment. It is an estimate, not the true chance.

Two-outcome de-riskingand Dutching options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 75.4%

  • Primary: £7.10 on Home at 2.05 with Coral — returns £14.56
  • Cover: £2.90 on Draw at 3.45 with Casumo — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £4.56 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 24.6%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.86 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 75.4%

  • Primary: £5.12 on Draw at 3.45 with Casumo — returns £17.66
  • Cover: £4.88 on Home at 2.05 with Coral — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £7.66 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 24.6%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.86 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 74.0%

  • Primary: £7.43 on Home at 2.05 with Coral — returns £15.23
  • Cover: £2.57 on Away at 3.90 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £5.23 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 26.0%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.44 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 74.0%

  • Primary: £5.12 on Away at 3.90 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £19.97
  • Cover: £4.88 on Home at 2.05 with Coral — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £9.97 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 26.0%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.44 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 50.6%

  • Primary: £7.43 on Draw at 3.45 with Casumo — returns £25.63
  • Cover: £2.57 on Away at 3.90 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £15.63 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 49.4%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £18.31 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 50.6%

  • Primary: £7.10 on Away at 3.90 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £27.69
  • Cover: £2.90 on Draw at 3.45 with Casumo — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £17.69 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 49.4%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £18.31 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Team-data forecast: recent player stats were pending when these chances were published. An updated forecast may replace it before kickoff.

Confidence is the predicted probability of each outcome. Model enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v8; data frozen-6a0dca6671b00c59c57d58866069c0abdfc18d9c7fa23224c64c2253791b9acf; generated 23 Oct 2026 09:56 BST (UK time). Published as main-model-sofascore/lineup-1989450-predicted-b78928e847eb-fb9febf2110e4661.

Published main-model release

Release enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v8 · Feature schema eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v6 · Forecast snapshot 36f518754b75ac7a4424d9cce212310a

Model code SHA-256: 92fe2f81b13e8a75a998b54ca6d4c2879d837b53bf936a65d6ba7249ea405be8.

Statistics used by this prediction

These are the saved inputs that contribute to this forecast. Trailing zeroes are shortened for display; match and player counts are whole numbers. Arrows compare the original values; = means equal.

Overall team comparison

Based on which team has more green arrows in the statistics below; this is not the model prediction.

Home · Stevenage ↑ Away · Milton Keynes Dons ↓

Team performance

Current season, recent form and home/away performance.

Home · StevenageAway · Milton Keynes Dons
StatisticValueStatisticValue
↑Current points per game 1.333333333333 ↓Current points per game1.00
=Current matches 9 =Current matches9
↑Current form points per game 1.80 ↓Current form points per game1.20
=Current form matches 5 =Current form matches5
↑Current venue points per game 1.75 ↓Current venue points per game0.75
=Current venue matches 4 =Current venue matches4
↑Current goals scored per game 1.333333333333 ↓Current goals scored per game1.222222222222
↓Current goals conceded per game 1.111111111111 ↑Current goals conceded per game1.777777777778
↑Current form goals scored per game 1.60 ↓Current form goals scored per game1.40
↓Current form goals conceded per game 1.00 ↑Current form goals conceded per game2.00
=Current venue goals scored per game 1.50 =Current venue goals scored per game1.50
↓Current venue goals conceded per game 1.25 ↑Current venue goals conceded per game2.00

Prices are from published captures. Virtual bets use your competition bankroll. Virtual balances have no cash value.