Rochdale v Accrington Stanley

League Two · Kickoff 24 Oct 2026 15:00 BST (UK time)

Bookmaker odds

Latest captured prices. Arrows compare with the first capture; tap an arrow to see it.

Prediction and market comparison

League 2 table · selected teams

Current saved standings · 2026/2027 · Updated 22 Oct 2026 14:55 BST

#TeamPWDLGDPtsLast 6
11Accrington Stanley12363115DDWDWD
14Rochdale12435-215WWWDLD

Last six league matches · newest on the right. W = win, D = draw, L = loss.

Predicted lineups

Predicted starting lineups — subject to change · Captured 23 Oct 2026 10:59 BST.

Rochdale

  1. Sam Waller 33 Goalkeeper
  2. Charlie Tasker 47 Left-back
  3. Kaiden Wilson 3 Centre-back
  4. Aden Flint 4 Centre-back
  5. Sam Sherring 24 Right-back
  6. Harvey Gilmour 8 Defensive midfielder
  7. Baba Adeeko 16 Defensive midfielder
  8. Glenn Middleton 17 Left attacking midfielder
  9. Ed Francis 8 Attacking midfielder
  10. Dajaune Brown 39 Right attacking midfielder
  11. Ian Henderson 40 Forward

Accrington Stanley

  1. Louie Moulden 31 Goalkeeper
  2. Joe Anderson 22 Centre-back
  3. Devon Matthews 17 Centre-back
  4. Donald Love 2 Centre-back
  5. David Tutonda 33 Left wing-back
  6. Josh Woods 39 Central midfielder
  7. Stefan Mols 14 Central midfielder
  8. Aidan Borland 25 Central midfielder
  9. Connor O'Brien 38 Right wing-back
  10. Charlie Warren 24 Forward
  11. Tyler Walton 23 Forward

Reported player availability

Published team news can change. “Out” means the source reports that player unavailable; “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Rochdale

  • Jonny Smith — Out · Injured
  • Will Jenkins — Out · Injured
  • Casey Pettit — Out · Injured
  • Ryan East — Out · Injured
  • Ethan Ebanks-Landell — Out · Injured
  • Dan Moss — Out · Injured
  • Laurence Maguire — Out · Injured
  • Bryant Bilongo — Out · Injured
  • Devante Rodney — Out · Injured
  • Emmanuel Dieseruvwe — Out · Injured
  • Nils Ramming — Out · Injured
  • Tobi Adebayo-Rowling — Doubtful · Injured doubtful
  • Kane Taylor — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

Accrington Stanley

  • Isaac Sinclair — Out · Injured
  • Freddie Sass — Out · Injured
  • Charlie Caton — Out · Injured
  • Farrend Rawson — Out · Injured
  • Shaun Whalley — Out · Injured
  • Séamus Conneely — Doubtful · Injured doubtful
  • Alex Henderson — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

We check for confirmed lineups from 70 minutes before kickoff.

Choose Home, Draw or Away below to make a virtual bet at the highest available captured price.

BetModel chancesMarket estimateMarket
Highest Odds
Home
49.3%
37.4%
First captured 39.0%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
2.60 (8/5)
First captured 2.38 (≈11/8)
17 Oct 20:46 BST

Matchbook
Draw
28.7%
27.9%
First captured 28.7%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
3.50 (5/2)
First captured 3.40 (12/5)
17 Oct 20:46 BST

Betfair Sportsbook
Away
22.0%
34.7%
First captured 32.4%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
2.82 (≈9/5)
First captured 2.88 (≈15/8)
17 Oct 20:46 BST

Betfair Exchange, Matchbook

Market estimate: average of 21 bookmaker price sets after proportional margin adjustment. It is an estimate, not the true chance.

Two-outcome de-riskingand Dutching options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 78.0%

  • Primary: £7.14 on Home at 2.55 with Betano — returns £18.21
  • Cover: £2.86 on Draw at 3.50 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £8.21 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 22.0%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £14.75 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 78.0%

  • Primary: £6.07 on Draw at 3.50 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £21.25
  • Cover: £3.93 on Home at 2.55 with Betano — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £11.25 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 22.0%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £14.75 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 71.3%

  • Primary: £6.36 on Home at 2.55 with Betano — returns £16.22
  • Cover: £3.64 on Away at 2.75 with Coral — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £6.22 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 28.7%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.23 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 71.3%

  • Primary: £6.07 on Away at 2.75 with Coral — returns £16.69
  • Cover: £3.93 on Home at 2.55 with Betano — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £6.69 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 28.7%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.23 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 50.7%

  • Primary: £6.36 on Draw at 3.50 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £22.26
  • Cover: £3.64 on Away at 2.75 with Coral — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £12.26 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 49.3%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £15.40 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 50.7%

  • Primary: £7.14 on Away at 2.75 with Coral — returns £19.64
  • Cover: £2.86 on Draw at 3.50 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £9.64 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 49.3%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £15.40 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Team-data forecast: recent player stats were pending when these chances were published. An updated forecast may replace it before kickoff.

Confidence is the predicted probability of each outcome. Model enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v7; data frozen-38062feffd5dfc47b2cd5621881dc509b24ab2874fea4134acab30cec6dee41a; generated 22 Oct 2026 17:10 BST (UK time). Published as main-model-sofascore/lineup-1990212-predicted-ec3a0a421608-763e304881006f7e.

Published main-model release

Release enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v7 · Feature schema eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v6 · Forecast snapshot 9dba4786c76fb20b317b4bd43c630e66

Model code SHA-256: 5129d61caf26db60e08c6ca1de0d90ba9265bd32610c59ad61ecdeb513de7237.

Statistics used by this prediction

These are the saved inputs that contribute to this forecast. Trailing zeroes are shortened for display; match and player counts are whole numbers. Arrows compare the original values; = means equal.

Overall team comparison

Based on which team has more green arrows in the statistics below; this is not the model prediction.

Home · Rochdale ↑ Away · Accrington Stanley ↓

Team performance

Current season, recent form and home/away performance.

Home · RochdaleAway · Accrington Stanley
StatisticValueStatisticValue
=Current points per game 1.272727272727 =Current points per game1.272727272727
=Current matches 11 =Current matches11
↑Current form points per game 2.00 ↓Current form points per game1.80
=Current form matches 5 =Current form matches5
↑Current venue points per game 1.80 ↓Current venue points per game0.40
=Current venue matches 5 =Current venue matches5
↓Current goals scored per game 1.181818181818 ↑Current goals scored per game1.454545454545
=Current goals conceded per game 1.363636363636 =Current goals conceded per game1.363636363636
↑Current form goals scored per game 1.60 ↓Current form goals scored per game1.20
↑Current form goals conceded per game 1.00 ↓Current form goals conceded per game0.40
↑Current venue goals scored per game 1.60 ↓Current venue goals scored per game0.80
↓Current venue goals conceded per game 1.20 ↑Current venue goals conceded per game1.60

Prices are from published captures. Virtual bets use your competition bankroll. Virtual balances have no cash value.