Luton v Leicester City

League One · Kickoff 24 Oct 2026 12:30 BST (UK time)

Bookmaker odds

Latest captured prices. Arrows compare with the first capture; tap an arrow to see it.

Prediction and market comparison

League 1 table · selected teams

Current saved standings · 2026/2027 · Updated 22 Oct 2026 02:20 BST

#TeamPWDLGDPtsLast 6
10Leicester City10433115LWDLWW
13Luton Town10424114DLLWLW

Last six league matches · newest on the right. W = win, D = draw, L = loss.

Predicted lineups

Predicted starting lineups — subject to change · Captured 23 Oct 2026 10:59 BST.

Luton

  1. James Shea 1 Goalkeeper
  2. Kal Naismith 3 Left-back
  3. George Johnston 6 Centre-back
  4. Mads Andersen 5 Centre-back
  5. Isaiah Jones 25 Right-back
  6. Jordan Clark 18 Defensive midfielder
  7. Liam Walsh 8 Defensive midfielder
  8. Kasey Palmer 45 Left attacking midfielder
  9. Jamie Donley 33 Attacking midfielder
  10. Tudor Mendel 17 Right attacking midfielder
  11. Nahki Wells 21 Forward

Leicester City

  1. Alex McCarthy 1 Goalkeeper
  2. Harry Souttar 15 Centre-back
  3. Warren O'Hora 16 Centre-back
  4. Caleb Okoli 5 Centre-back
  5. Luke Thomas 33 Left wing-back
  6. Louis Page 25 Central midfielder
  7. John Lundstram 5 Central midfielder
  8. Will Alves 27 Right wing-back
  9. Sammy Braybrooke 36 Attacking midfielder
  10. Will Smallbone Attacking midfielder
  11. Emil Riis 18 Forward

Reported player availability

Published team news can change. “Out” means the source reports that player unavailable; “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Luton

  • Jayden Luker — Out · Injured
  • Gideon Kodua — Out · Injured
  • Sverre Sandal — Out · Injured
  • Hakeem Odoffin — Out · Injured

Leicester City

  • Jakub Stolarczyk — Out · Injured
  • Ben Nelson — Out · Injured
  • Jayden Joseph — Out · Injured
  • Christian McFarlane — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

We check for confirmed lineups from 70 minutes before kickoff.

Choose Home, Draw or Away below to make a virtual bet at the highest available captured price.

BetModel chancesMarket estimateMarket
Highest Odds
Home
45.0%
42.5%
First captured 43.5%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
2.36 (≈11/8)
First captured 2.12 (≈11/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST

Betfair Exchange, Matchbook, Smarkets
Draw
27.8%
24.7%
First captured 25.4%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
4.10 (≈3/1)
First captured 3.80 (14/5)
17 Oct 20:46 BST

Betfair Exchange, Matchbook, Smarkets
Away
27.2%
32.7%
First captured 31.1%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
3.00 (2/1)
First captured 3.05 (≈2/1)
17 Oct 20:46 BST

Casumo

Market estimate: average of 21 bookmaker price sets after proportional margin adjustment. It is an estimate, not the true chance.

Two-outcome de-riskingand Dutching options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 72.8%

  • Primary: £7.50 on Home at 2.20 with Betano — returns £16.50
  • Cover: £2.50 on Draw at 4.00 with Betway — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £6.50 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 27.2%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £14.19 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 72.8%

  • Primary: £5.45 on Draw at 4.00 with Betway — returns £21.80
  • Cover: £4.55 on Home at 2.20 with Betano — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £11.80 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 27.2%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £14.19 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 72.2%

  • Primary: £6.66 on Home at 2.20 with Betano — returns £14.65
  • Cover: £3.34 on Away at 3.00 with Casumo — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £4.65 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 27.8%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.69 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 72.2%

  • Primary: £5.45 on Away at 3.00 with Casumo — returns £16.35
  • Cover: £4.55 on Home at 2.20 with Betano — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £6.35 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 27.8%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.69 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 55.0%

  • Primary: £6.66 on Draw at 4.00 with Betway — returns £26.64
  • Cover: £3.34 on Away at 3.00 with Casumo — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £16.64 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 45.0%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £17.14 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 55.0%

  • Primary: £7.50 on Away at 3.00 with Casumo — returns £22.50
  • Cover: £2.50 on Draw at 4.00 with Betway — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £12.50 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 45.0%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £17.14 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Team-data forecast: recent player stats were pending when these chances were published. An updated forecast may replace it before kickoff.

Confidence is the predicted probability of each outcome. Model enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v9-1102ac8ddf1c; data frozen-efc19439597036af5ed253495ed3895608e4fa2e0a083d89ae8315db8e3ca7c6; generated 23 Oct 2026 10:33 BST (UK time). Published as main-model-sofascore/lineup-1989446-predicted-400aad597814-bffe8c8358de4490.

Published main-model release

Release enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v9-1102ac8ddf1c · Feature schema eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v6 · Forecast snapshot 19ccc8b5d97eaffaacab87331d04ef38

Model code SHA-256: 1102ac8ddf1c2edcc173085f88492b5035b1713375317c7b06d0a96cb167c548.

Statistics used by this prediction

These are the saved inputs that contribute to this forecast. Trailing zeroes are shortened for display; match and player counts are whole numbers. Arrows compare the original values; = means equal.

Overall team comparison

Based on which team has more green arrows in the statistics below; this is not the model prediction.

Home · Luton ↓ Away · Leicester City ↑

Team performance

Current season, recent form and home/away performance.

Home · LutonAway · Leicester City
StatisticValueStatisticValue
↓Current points per game 1.222222222222 ↑Current points per game1.333333333333
=Current matches 9 =Current matches9
↓Current form points per game 0.80 ↑Current form points per game1.40
=Current form matches 5 =Current form matches5
↓Current venue points per game 1.25 ↑Current venue points per game1.50
=Current venue matches 4 =Current venue matches4
↑Current goals scored per game 1.888888888889 ↓Current goals scored per game1.333333333333
↑Current goals conceded per game 1.888888888889 ↓Current goals conceded per game1.666666666667
↓Current form goals scored per game 1.40 ↑Current form goals scored per game1.60
↓Current form goals conceded per game 1.40 ↑Current form goals conceded per game2.40
↓Current venue goals scored per game 1.25 ↑Current venue goals scored per game1.50
↓Current venue goals conceded per game 1.00 ↑Current venue goals conceded per game1.25

Prices are from published captures. Virtual bets use your competition bankroll. Virtual balances have no cash value.