Cheltenham Town v Newport County

League Two · Kickoff 24 Oct 2026 12:30 BST (UK time)

Latest captured prices. Arrows compare with the first capture; tap an arrow to see it.

Prediction and market comparison

League 2 table · selected teams

Current saved standings · 2026/2027 · Updated 22 Oct 2026 14:55 BST

League standings for the two teams in this match
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Last 6
5	Cheltenham Town	12	5	3	4	-1	18	Draw: DWin: WLoss: LLoss: LLoss: LWin: W
12	Newport County	12	3	6	3	1	15	Draw: DWin: WDraw: DWin: WDraw: DDraw: D

Last six league matches · newest on the right. W = win, D = draw, L = loss.

Predicted lineups

Predicted starting lineups — subject to change · Captured 23 Oct 2026 10:59 BST.

Cheltenham Town

Wyll Stanway 1 Goalkeeper
Jordan Shipley 26 Left-back
James Wilson 6 Centre-back
Pierce Sweeney 26 Centre-back
Jonathan Tomkinson 3 Right-back
Ben Stevenson 7 Defensive midfielder
Kirsten Otchere 9 Left midfielder
Freddy Willcox 33 Central midfielder
Charlie McCann 14 Central midfielder
Jake Evans 65 Right midfielder
Andreas Weimann 14 Forward

Newport County

Jordan Wright 1 Goalkeeper
Joe Thomas 12 Centre-back
Kyle Cameron 6 Centre-back
Lee Jenkins 5 Centre-back
Alfie Merritt Left wing-back
Ciarán Brennan 6 Central midfielder
Matt Smith 8 Central midfielder
Cameron Norman 2 Right wing-back
Harrison Biggins 10 Left forward
Kion Etete Forward
Michael Adu-Poku 48 Right forward

Reported player availability

Published team news can change. “Out” means the source reports that player unavailable; “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Cheltenham Town

Favour Onukwuli — Out · Injured
Mark Barber — Out · Injured
Harry Tustin — Out · Injured
Joe Day — Out · Injured
Joe Tomlinson — Out · Injured

Newport County

James Crole — Out · Injured
Harrison Pugh — Out · Injured
Christian Doidge — Out · Injured
Shaquille Gwengwe — Out · Suspended
Matty Jacob — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

We check for confirmed lineups from 70 minutes before kickoff.

Choose Home, Draw or Away below to make a virtual bet at the highest available captured price.

Bet	Model chances	Market estimate	Market Highest Odds
Home	46.9%	37.7% First captured 39.6% 17 Oct 20:46 BST	2.64 (≈13/8) First captured 2.30 (13/10) 17 Oct 20:46 BST Matchbook, Smarkets
Draw	28.9%	27.4% First captured 28.5% 17 Oct 20:46 BST	3.60 (13/5) First captured 3.40 (12/5) 17 Oct 20:46 BST Sky Bet
Away	24.2%	34.9% First captured 31.9% 17 Oct 20:46 BST	2.80 (9/5) First captured 2.95 (≈19/10) 17 Oct 20:46 BST Betfair Exchange, Matchbook, Smarkets, Virgin Bet

Market estimate: average of 21 bookmaker price sets after proportional margin adjustment. It is an estimate, not the true chance.

Two-outcome de-riskingand Dutching options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 75.8%

Primary: £7.22 on Home at 2.60 with Coral — returns £18.77
Cover: £2.78 on Draw at 3.60 with Sky Bet — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £8.77 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 24.2%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £15.10 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 75.8%

Primary: £6.15 on Draw at 3.60 with Sky Bet — returns £22.14
Cover: £3.85 on Home at 2.60 with Coral — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £12.14 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 24.2%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 71.1%

Primary: £6.42 on Home at 2.60 with Coral — returns £16.69
Cover: £3.58 on Away at 2.80 with Virgin Bet — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £6.69 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 28.9%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.48 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 71.1%

Primary: £6.15 on Away at 2.80 with Virgin Bet — returns £17.22
Cover: £3.85 on Home at 2.60 with Coral — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £7.22 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 28.9%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 53.1%

Primary: £6.42 on Draw at 3.60 with Sky Bet — returns £23.11
Cover: £3.58 on Away at 2.80 with Virgin Bet — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £13.11 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 46.9%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £15.75 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 53.1%

Primary: £7.22 on Away at 2.80 with Virgin Bet — returns £20.22
Cover: £2.78 on Draw at 3.60 with Sky Bet — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £10.22 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 46.9%), the full £10.00 is lost.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Team-data forecast: recent player stats were pending when these chances were published. An updated forecast may replace it before kickoff.

Confidence is the predicted probability of each outcome. Model enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v9-1102ac8ddf1c; data frozen-05f94672883e278c2aec7f01863448f2f3d8ce9514e755769ff2331fd2f520d7; generated 23 Oct 2026 10:37 BST (UK time). Published as main-model-sofascore/lineup-1990200-predicted-62e569e95289-0572dce763401b9d.

Published main-model release

Release enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v9-1102ac8ddf1c · Feature schema eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v6 · Forecast snapshot 42239b84b69205155b8185c3d236725f

Model code SHA-256: 1102ac8ddf1c2edcc173085f88492b5035b1713375317c7b06d0a96cb167c548.

Statistics used by this prediction

These are the saved inputs that contribute to this forecast. Trailing zeroes are shortened for display; match and player counts are whole numbers. Arrows compare the original values; = means equal.

Overall team comparison

Based on which team has more green arrows in the statistics below; this is not the model prediction.

Home · Cheltenham Town ↑	Away · Newport County ↓

Team performance

Current season, recent form and home/away performance.

Home · Cheltenham Town		Away · Newport County
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
↑Current points per game	1.363636363636	↓Current points per game	1.272727272727
=Current matches	11	=Current matches	11
↓Current form points per game	0.80	↑Current form points per game	1.80
=Current form matches	5	=Current form matches	5
↑Current venue points per game	2.00	↓Current venue points per game	0.40
=Current venue matches	5	=Current venue matches	5
↑Current goals scored per game	1.545454545455	↓Current goals scored per game	1.272727272727
↑Current goals conceded per game	1.818181818182	↓Current goals conceded per game	1.181818181818
=Current form goals scored per game	0.80	=Current form goals scored per game	0.80
↑Current form goals conceded per game	2.00	↓Current form goals conceded per game	0.40
↑Current venue goals scored per game	1.80	↓Current venue goals scored per game	0.80
=Current venue goals conceded per game	1.60	=Current venue goals conceded per game	1.60

Prices are from published captures. Virtual bets use your competition bankroll. Virtual balances have no cash value.