Burton Albion v Leyton Orient

League One · Kickoff 24 Oct 2026 15:00 BST (UK time)

Bookmaker odds

Latest captured prices. Arrows compare with the first capture; tap an arrow to see it.

Prediction and market comparison

League 1 table · selected teams

Current saved standings · 2026/2027 · Updated 22 Oct 2026 02:20 BST

#TeamPWDLGDPtsLast 6
12Leyton Orient11425314LWLDWL
14Burton Albion12354-214DWLLDD

Last six league matches · newest on the right. W = win, D = draw, L = loss.

Predicted lineups

Predicted starting lineups — subject to change · Captured 23 Oct 2026 10:59 BST.

Burton Albion

  1. Corey Addai 34 Goalkeeper
  2. Jason Sraha 20 Centre-back
  3. Toby Sibbick 6 Centre-back
  4. Curtis Tilt 26 Centre-back
  5. Harvey Araujo 24 Left wing-back
  6. Will Collar 18 Central midfielder
  7. Kgaogelo Chauke 4 Central midfielder
  8. Raphael Borges Rodrigues 17 Right wing-back
  9. Caylan Vickers 7 Attacking midfielder
  10. Charlie Webster 8 Attacking midfielder
  11. Gbemi Arubi 9 Forward

Leyton Orient

  1. Nathan Baxter 12 Goalkeeper
  2. Alfie Gilchrist 14 Centre-back
  3. Will Forrester 6 Centre-back
  4. Phillip Chinedu 22 Centre-back
  5. James Morris 3 Left wing-back
  6. Alex Gilbert 14 Central midfielder
  7. Idris El Mizouni 8 Central midfielder
  8. Fin Stevens 2 Right wing-back
  9. Yusuf Akhamrich 10 Attacking midfielder
  10. Dane Scarlett 44 Attacking midfielder
  11. Jaze Kabia 9 Forward

Reported player availability

Published team news can change. “Out” means the source reports that player unavailable; “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Burton Albion

  • Tomas Kalinauskas — Out · Injured
  • Finn Delap — Out · Injured
  • Sulyman Krubally — Out · Suspended
  • George Evans — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

Leyton Orient

  • Somto Boniface — Out · Injured
  • Demetri Mitchell — Out · Injured
  • Oliver Dovin — Out · Injured
  • Joseph Olowu — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

We check for confirmed lineups from 70 minutes before kickoff.

Choose Home, Draw or Away below to make a virtual bet at the highest available captured price.

BetModel chancesMarket estimateMarket
Highest Odds
Home
35.4%
36.4%
First captured 37.4%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
2.72 (≈17/10)
First captured 2.60 (8/5)
17 Oct 20:46 BST

Betfair Exchange, Matchbook
Draw
26.5%
28.0%
First captured 28.2%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
3.50 (5/2)
First captured 3.40 (12/5)
17 Oct 20:46 BST

Betfair Sportsbook, Paddy Power
Away
38.2%
35.6%
First captured 34.5%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
2.82 (≈9/5)
First captured 2.85 (≈15/8)
17 Oct 20:46 BST

Betfair Exchange, Matchbook

Market estimate: average of 21 bookmaker price sets after proportional margin adjustment. It is an estimate, not the true chance.

Two-outcome de-riskingand Dutching options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 61.8%

  • Primary: £7.14 on Home at 2.63 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £18.78
  • Cover: £2.86 on Draw at 3.50 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £8.78 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 38.2%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £15.02 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 61.8%

  • Primary: £6.19 on Draw at 3.50 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £21.67
  • Cover: £3.81 on Home at 2.63 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £11.67 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 38.2%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £15.02 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 73.5%

  • Primary: £6.29 on Home at 2.63 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £16.54
  • Cover: £3.71 on Away at 2.70 with Casumo — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £6.54 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 26.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.32 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 73.5%

  • Primary: £6.19 on Away at 2.70 with Casumo — returns £16.71
  • Cover: £3.81 on Home at 2.63 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £6.71 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 26.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.32 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 64.6%

  • Primary: £6.29 on Draw at 3.50 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £22.02
  • Cover: £3.71 on Away at 2.70 with Casumo — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £12.02 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 35.4%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £15.24 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 64.6%

  • Primary: £7.14 on Away at 2.70 with Casumo — returns £19.28
  • Cover: £2.86 on Draw at 3.50 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £9.28 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 35.4%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £15.24 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Team-data forecast: recent player stats were pending when these chances were published. An updated forecast may replace it before kickoff.

Confidence is the predicted probability of each outcome. Model enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v8; data frozen-39baf036cd2ecda33cf21e53d53eb94efc55e94b27293e318c66eb3a7d666b29; generated 23 Oct 2026 10:04 BST (UK time). Published as main-model-sofascore/lineup-1989439-predicted-b784b345e72d-248bf43ccc638df7.

Published main-model release

Release enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v8 · Feature schema eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v6 · Forecast snapshot 41841e1298f7e86dcfc9e974aa24c529

Model code SHA-256: 92fe2f81b13e8a75a998b54ca6d4c2879d837b53bf936a65d6ba7249ea405be8.

Statistics used by this prediction

These are the saved inputs that contribute to this forecast. Trailing zeroes are shortened for display; match and player counts are whole numbers. Arrows compare the original values; = means equal.

Overall team comparison

Based on which team has more green arrows in the statistics below; this is not the model prediction.

Home · Burton Albion ↑ Away · Leyton Orient ↓

Team performance

Current season, recent form and home/away performance.

Home · Burton AlbionAway · Leyton Orient
StatisticValueStatisticValue
↓Current points per game 1.181818181818 ↑Current points per game1.40
↑Current matches 11 ↓Current matches10
↓Current form points per game 1.00 ↑Current form points per game1.40
=Current form matches 5 =Current form matches5
↓Current venue points per game 1.20 ↑Current venue points per game2.00
↑Current venue matches 5 ↓Current venue matches4
↓Current goals scored per game 1.454545454545 ↑Current goals scored per game1.50
↑Current goals conceded per game 1.636363636364 ↓Current goals conceded per game1.10
↑Current form goals scored per game 1.20 ↓Current form goals scored per game1.00
↑Current form goals conceded per game 1.60 ↓Current form goals conceded per game1.00
=Current venue goals scored per game 2.00 =Current venue goals scored per game2.00
↑Current venue goals conceded per game 1.80 ↓Current venue goals conceded per game0.25

Prices are from published captures. Virtual bets use your competition bankroll. Virtual balances have no cash value.