Gillingham v Grimsby Town

League Two · Kickoff 24 Oct 2026 15:00 BST (UK time)

Latest captured prices. Arrows compare with the first capture; tap an arrow to see it.

Prediction and market comparison

League 2 table · selected teams

Current saved standings · 2026/2027 · Updated 22 Oct 2026 14:55 BST

League standings for the two teams in this match
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Last 6
7	Gillingham	12	4	5	3	3	17	Win: WLoss: LDraw: DWin: WLoss: LDraw: D
17	Grimsby Town	12	3	5	4	0	14	Win: WLoss: LLoss: LLoss: LLoss: LDraw: D

Last six league matches · newest on the right. W = win, D = draw, L = loss.

Predicted lineups

Predicted starting lineups — subject to change · Captured 23 Oct 2026 10:59 BST.

Gillingham

Ollie Wright 13 Goalkeeper
Jack Daley 20 Centre-back
Omar Beckles 19 Centre-back
Andy Smith 5 Centre-back
Conor McManus 51 Left wing-back
Armani Little 8 Central midfielder
Robbie McKenzie 14 Central midfielder
Nick Freeman 16 Right wing-back
James Brophy 7 Attacking midfielder
Ronan Hale 10 Attacking midfielder
Tom Eaves 9 Forward

Grimsby Town

Christy Pym 31 Goalkeeper
Joe Foulkes 12 Centre-back
Maldini Kacurri 2 Centre-back
Harvey Rodgers 5 Centre-back
Charles Vernam 30 Left wing-back
Géza Turi 15 Central midfielder
Jamie Walker 7 Central midfielder
Justin Amaluzor 14 Right wing-back
Kieran Green 4 Attacking midfielder
Iwan Morgan 19 Attacking midfielder
Andy Cook 39 Forward

Reported player availability

Published team news can change. “Out” means the source reports that player unavailable; “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Gillingham

Zech Obiero — Out · Injured
Will Goodwin — Out · Injured
Kadeem Harris — Out · Injured
Liam Gordon — Out · Injured
Lennon MacLorg — Out · Injured
Eli King — Out · Injured
Lamin Sillah — Out · Injured

Grimsby Town

Cameron McJannet — Out · Injured
Josh Andrews — Out · Injured
Reece Staunton — Out · Injured
Mark Shelton — Out · Injured
Edon Pruti — Out · Injured
Jayden Sweeney — Out · Injured
Cameron Gardner — Out · Injured
Doug Tharme — Out · Injured

We check for confirmed lineups from 70 minutes before kickoff.

Choose Home, Draw or Away below to make a virtual bet at the highest available captured price.

Bet	Model chances	Market estimate	Market Highest Odds
Home	53.4%	29.5% First captured 29.7% 17 Oct 20:46 BST	3.35 (≈23/10) First captured 3.20 (11/5) 17 Oct 20:46 BST Betfair Exchange
Draw	27.4%	27.0% First captured 28.3% 17 Oct 20:46 BST	3.75 (11/4) First captured 3.50 (5/2) 17 Oct 20:46 BST Betfair Exchange, Matchbook
Away	19.2%	43.6% First captured 42.1% 17 Oct 20:46 BST	2.22 (≈6/5) First captured 2.15 (≈11/10) 17 Oct 20:46 BST Betfair Exchange, Matchbook

Market estimate: average of 20 bookmaker price sets after proportional margin adjustment. It is an estimate, not the true chance.

Two-outcome de-riskingand Dutching options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 80.8%

Primary: £7.22 on Home at 3.20 with Betano — returns £23.10
Cover: £2.78 on Draw at 3.60 with Paddy Power — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £13.10 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 19.2%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £16.94 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 80.8%

Primary: £6.87 on Draw at 3.60 with Paddy Power — returns £24.73
Cover: £3.13 on Home at 3.20 with Betano — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £14.73 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 19.2%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 72.6%

Primary: £5.41 on Home at 3.20 with Betano — returns £17.31
Cover: £4.59 on Away at 2.18 with Virgin Bet — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £7.31 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 27.4%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.97 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 72.6%

Primary: £6.87 on Away at 2.18 with Virgin Bet — returns £14.98
Cover: £3.13 on Home at 3.20 with Betano — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £4.98 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 27.4%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 46.6%

Primary: £5.41 on Draw at 3.60 with Paddy Power — returns £19.48
Cover: £4.59 on Away at 2.18 with Virgin Bet — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £9.48 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 53.4%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.58 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 46.6%

Primary: £7.22 on Away at 2.18 with Virgin Bet — returns £15.74
Cover: £2.78 on Draw at 3.60 with Paddy Power — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £5.74 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 53.4%), the full £10.00 is lost.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Team-data forecast: recent player stats were pending when these chances were published. An updated forecast may replace it before kickoff.

Confidence is the predicted probability of each outcome. Model enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v7; data frozen-41896076a98dd61d8b2fb622ddc979e6019a7fa42894f31fe3b6bb929c2c0810; generated 22 Oct 2026 17:15 BST (UK time). Published as main-model-sofascore/lineup-1990208-predicted-0b11d3dfdb8f-512922b1f25922a7.

Published main-model release

Release enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v7 · Feature schema eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v6 · Forecast snapshot d38624c51852c061aa749738d5888f2d

Model code SHA-256: 5129d61caf26db60e08c6ca1de0d90ba9265bd32610c59ad61ecdeb513de7237.

Statistics used by this prediction

These are the saved inputs that contribute to this forecast. Trailing zeroes are shortened for display; match and player counts are whole numbers. Arrows compare the original values; = means equal.

Overall team comparison

Based on which team has more green arrows in the statistics below; this is not the model prediction.

Home · Gillingham ↑	Away · Grimsby Town ↓

Team performance

Current season, recent form and home/away performance.

Home · Gillingham		Away · Grimsby Town
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
↑Current points per game	1.454545454545	↓Current points per game	1.181818181818
=Current matches	11	=Current matches	11
↑Current form points per game	1.40	↓Current form points per game	0.60
=Current form matches	5	=Current form matches	5
↑Current venue points per game	1.60	↓Current venue points per game	0.60
=Current venue matches	5	=Current venue matches	5
↑Current goals scored per game	1.454545454545	↓Current goals scored per game	1.181818181818
=Current goals conceded per game	1.181818181818	=Current goals conceded per game	1.181818181818
↑Current form goals scored per game	1.60	↓Current form goals scored per game	0.80
=Current form goals conceded per game	1.40	=Current form goals conceded per game	1.40
↑Current venue goals scored per game	1.20	↓Current venue goals scored per game	1.00
↓Current venue goals conceded per game	0.80	↑Current venue goals conceded per game	1.40

Prices are from published captures. Virtual bets use your competition bankroll. Virtual balances have no cash value.