Northampton Town v Colchester United

League Two · Kickoff 24 Oct 2026 12:30 BST (UK time)

Bookmaker odds

Latest captured prices. Arrows compare with the first capture; tap an arrow to see it.

Prediction and market comparison

League 2 table · selected teams

Current saved standings · 2026/2027 · Updated 22 Oct 2026 14:55 BST

#TeamPWDLGDPtsLast 6
19Colchester United11263-312DDDLDD
23Northampton Town10244-210WLLDWL

Last six league matches · newest on the right. W = win, D = draw, L = loss.

Predicted lineups

Predicted starting lineups — subject to change · Captured 23 Oct 2026 10:59 BST.

Northampton Town

  1. Zach Jeacock 13 Goalkeeper
  2. Jon Guthrie 5 Centre-back
  3. Elliott Moore 6 Centre-back
  4. Janoi Donacien 44 Centre-back
  5. James Maxwell 3 Left wing-back
  6. Joe O'Brien-Whitmarsh 37 Central midfielder
  7. Lee Evans 8 Central midfielder
  8. Joe Wormleighton 16 Right wing-back
  9. Connor Lemonheigh-Evans 24 Attacking midfielder
  10. Owen Dale 35 Attacking midfielder
  11. Matty Warhurst 9 Forward

Colchester United

  1. Thimothée Lo-Tutala 29 Goalkeeper
  2. Ellis Iandolo 3 Left-back
  3. Frankie Terry 24 Centre-back
  4. Jack Tucker 5 Centre-back
  5. Kane Vincent-Young 30 Right-back
  6. Jay Williams 26 Defensive midfielder
  7. Paul Digby 6 Defensive midfielder
  8. Jaden Williams 17 Left attacking midfielder
  9. Ben Perry Attacking midfielder
  10. Moses Sesay 47 Right attacking midfielder
  11. Bradley Ihionvien 9 Forward

Reported player availability

Published team news can change. “Out” means the source reports that player unavailable; “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Northampton Town

  • Liam Shaw — Out · Injured
  • Jack Burroughs — Out · Injured
  • Jack Perkins — Out · Injured

Colchester United

  • Teddy Bishop — Out · Injured
  • Jake Leake — Out · Injured
  • Kylian Kouassi — Out · Injured
  • Jack Payne — Out · Injured
  • Harry Anderson — Out · Injured
  • Tom Smith — Out · Injured

We check for confirmed lineups from 70 minutes before kickoff.

Choose Home, Draw or Away below to make a virtual bet at the highest available captured price.

BetModel chancesMarket estimateMarket
Highest Odds
Home
51.8%
46.3%
First captured 43.0%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
2.10 (11/10)

Betfair Exchange, Matchbook, Smarkets
Draw
27.5%
28.3%
First captured 29.1%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
3.50 (5/2)
First captured 3.35 (≈23/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST

Sky Bet
Away
20.7%
25.4%
First captured 27.9%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
4.00 (3/1)
First captured 3.40 (12/5)
17 Oct 20:46 BST

Betfair Exchange, Matchbook, Smarkets

Market estimate: average of 21 bookmaker price sets after proportional margin adjustment. It is an estimate, not the true chance.

Two-outcome de-riskingand Dutching options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 79.3%

  • Primary: £7.14 on Home at 2.05 with Coral — returns £14.64
  • Cover: £2.86 on Draw at 3.50 with Sky Bet — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £4.64 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 20.7%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.93 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 79.3%

  • Primary: £5.12 on Draw at 3.50 with Sky Bet — returns £17.92
  • Cover: £4.88 on Home at 2.05 with Coral — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £7.92 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 20.7%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.93 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 72.5%

  • Primary: £7.36 on Home at 2.05 with Coral — returns £15.09
  • Cover: £2.64 on Away at 3.80 with Betano — returns £10.03

The primary outcome makes £5.09 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.03. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 27.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.32 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 72.5%

  • Primary: £5.12 on Away at 3.80 with Betano — returns £19.46
  • Cover: £4.88 on Home at 2.05 with Coral — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £9.46 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 27.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.32 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 48.2%

  • Primary: £7.36 on Draw at 3.50 with Sky Bet — returns £25.76
  • Cover: £2.64 on Away at 3.80 with Betano — returns £10.03

The primary outcome makes £15.76 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.03. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 51.8%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £18.22 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 48.2%

  • Primary: £7.14 on Away at 3.80 with Betano — returns £27.13
  • Cover: £2.86 on Draw at 3.50 with Sky Bet — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £17.13 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 51.8%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £18.22 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Team-data forecast: recent player stats were pending when these chances were published. An updated forecast may replace it before kickoff.

Confidence is the predicted probability of each outcome. Model enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v7; data frozen-ecbeda68e9a8e53ff53c86456b9c473a00ab123f13957acda61af4fb636edd8b; generated 22 Oct 2026 17:17 BST (UK time). Published as main-model-sofascore/lineup-1990210-predicted-11bc0a38aaff-c708f6dfa3cc3214.

Published main-model release

Release enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v7 · Feature schema eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v6 · Forecast snapshot da7936fa5644b1d9d9f84e52e810ba04

Model code SHA-256: 5129d61caf26db60e08c6ca1de0d90ba9265bd32610c59ad61ecdeb513de7237.

Statistics used by this prediction

These are the saved inputs that contribute to this forecast. Trailing zeroes are shortened for display; match and player counts are whole numbers. Arrows compare the original values; = means equal.

Overall team comparison

Based on which team has more green arrows in the statistics below; this is not the model prediction.

Home · Northampton Town ↓ Away · Colchester United ↑

Team performance

Current season, recent form and home/away performance.

Home · Northampton TownAway · Colchester United
StatisticValueStatisticValue
↑Current points per game 1.111111111111 ↓Current points per game1.10
↓Current matches 9 ↑Current matches10
↑Current form points per game 1.40 ↓Current form points per game0.80
=Current form matches 5 =Current form matches5
↑Current venue points per game 1.25 ↓Current venue points per game0.40
↓Current venue matches 4 ↑Current venue matches5
↓Current goals scored per game 0.666666666667 ↑Current goals scored per game1.00
↓Current goals conceded per game 0.777777777778 ↑Current goals conceded per game1.30
=Current form goals scored per game 0.80 =Current form goals scored per game0.80
↓Current form goals conceded per game 0.80 ↑Current form goals conceded per game1.00
↓Current venue goals scored per game 0.50 ↑Current venue goals scored per game1.00
↓Current venue goals conceded per game 0.50 ↑Current venue goals conceded per game2.00

Prices are from published captures. Virtual bets use your competition bankroll. Virtual balances have no cash value.