Bristol Rovers v Swindon Town

League Two · Kickoff 24 Oct 2026 12:30 BST (UK time)

Bookmaker odds

Latest captured prices. Arrows compare with the first capture; tap an arrow to see it.

Prediction and market comparison

League 2 table · selected teams

Current saved standings · 2026/2027 · Updated 22 Oct 2026 14:55 BST

#TeamPWDLGDPtsLast 6
15Swindon Town12435-315LDLLDW
16Bristol Rovers12507-415LWLLLL

Last six league matches · newest on the right. W = win, D = draw, L = loss.

Predicted lineups

Predicted starting lineups — subject to change · Captured 23 Oct 2026 10:59 BST.

Bristol Rovers

  1. Brad Young 1 Goalkeeper
  2. Ciarán Kelly 18 Centre-back
  3. Alfie Kilgour 5 Centre-back
  4. Kofi Balmer 17 Centre-back
  5. Jack Sparkes 3 Left midfielder
  6. Clinton Mola 6 Central midfielder
  7. Keenan Gough Central midfielder
  8. Tom James 2 Right midfielder
  9. Reiss-Alexander Russell-Denny 53 Attacking midfielder
  10. Ellis Harrison 19 Forward
  11. Fabrizio Cavegn 29 Forward

Swindon Town

  1. Connor Ripley 1 Goalkeeper
  2. Sam Inwood 33 Centre-back
  3. Stephan Negru 28 Centre-back
  4. Kaelan Majekodunmi 21 Centre-back
  5. Billy Kirkman 34 Left wing-back
  6. Jack Thomson Central midfielder
  7. James Ball 6 Central midfielder
  8. Mitchell Clark 24 Right wing-back
  9. Joe Snowdon 19 Attacking midfielder
  10. Matty Virtue 8 Attacking midfielder
  11. Aaron Drinan 23 Forward

Reported player availability

Published team news can change. “Out” means the source reports that player unavailable; “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Bristol Rovers

  • Riley Harbottle — Out · Injured
  • Jack Aitchison — Out · Injured
  • Tommy Leigh — Out · Suspended

Swindon Town

  • Gavin Kilkenny — Out · Injured
  • Daniel Butterworth — Out · Injured
  • Harry Smith — Out · Injured
  • Ollie Palmer — Out · Injured
  • Dan Butler — Out · Injured
  • Ollie Clarke — Out · Injured
  • Ryan Tafazolli — Out · Injured
  • Anthony Munda — Out · Injured
  • Ben Middlemas — Out · Injured
  • Joel McGregor — Doubtful · Unfit
  • Paul Glatzel — Out · Unfit

We check for confirmed lineups from 70 minutes before kickoff.

Choose Home, Draw or Away below to make a virtual bet at the highest available captured price.

BetModel chancesMarket estimateMarket
Highest Odds
Home
51.8%
58.8%
First captured 55.2%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
1.65 (≈4/6)
First captured 1.62 (≈8/13)
17 Oct 20:46 BST

Betfair Exchange, Matchbook
Draw
28.2%
22.5%
First captured 24.7%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
4.50 (7/2)
First captured 4.00 (3/1)
17 Oct 20:46 BST

Sky Bet
Away
20.0%
18.8%
First captured 20.1%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
5.50 (9/2)
First captured 5.25 (≈4/1)
17 Oct 20:46 BST

Betano, Bet Victor

Market estimate: average of 21 bookmaker price sets after proportional margin adjustment. It is an estimate, not the true chance.

Two-outcome de-riskingand Dutching options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 80.0%

  • Primary: £7.77 on Home at 1.64 with Virgin Bet — returns £12.74
  • Cover: £2.23 on Draw at 4.50 with Sky Bet — returns £10.04

The primary outcome makes £2.74 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.04. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 20.0%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.02 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 80.0%

  • Primary: £3.90 on Draw at 4.50 with Sky Bet — returns £17.55
  • Cover: £6.10 on Home at 1.64 with Virgin Bet — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £7.55 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 20.0%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.02 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 71.8%

  • Primary: £8.18 on Home at 1.64 with Virgin Bet — returns £13.42
  • Cover: £1.82 on Away at 5.50 with Betano — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £3.42 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 28.2%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.63 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 71.8%

  • Primary: £3.90 on Away at 5.50 with Betano — returns £21.45
  • Cover: £6.10 on Home at 1.64 with Virgin Bet — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £11.45 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 28.2%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.63 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 48.2%

  • Primary: £8.18 on Draw at 4.50 with Sky Bet — returns £36.81
  • Cover: £1.82 on Away at 5.50 with Betano — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £26.81 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 51.8%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £24.75 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 48.2%

  • Primary: £7.77 on Away at 5.50 with Betano — returns £42.74
  • Cover: £2.23 on Draw at 4.50 with Sky Bet — returns £10.04

The primary outcome makes £32.74 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.04. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 51.8%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £24.75 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Team-data forecast: recent player stats were pending when these chances were published. An updated forecast may replace it before kickoff.

Confidence is the predicted probability of each outcome. Model enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v7; data frozen-853446f5b2862afd0bc4784ac39e3a0561f53a32fd3515b8d18ed55af12f95f9; generated 22 Oct 2026 17:19 BST (UK time). Published as main-model-sofascore/lineup-1990198-predicted-3c4d4750c1b1-99d78d6fd18bc785.

Published main-model release

Release enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v7 · Feature schema eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v6 · Forecast snapshot dda50bb1e898a375c75847ee23ddc420

Model code SHA-256: 5129d61caf26db60e08c6ca1de0d90ba9265bd32610c59ad61ecdeb513de7237.

Statistics used by this prediction

These are the saved inputs that contribute to this forecast. Trailing zeroes are shortened for display; match and player counts are whole numbers. Arrows compare the original values; = means equal.

Overall team comparison

Based on which team has more green arrows in the statistics below; this is not the model prediction.

Home · Bristol Rovers ↑ Away · Swindon Town ↓

Team performance

Current season, recent form and home/away performance.

Home · Bristol RoversAway · Swindon Town
StatisticValueStatisticValue
↑Current points per game 1.363636363636 ↓Current points per game1.090909090909
=Current matches 11 =Current matches11
↑Current form points per game 0.60 ↓Current form points per game0.40
=Current form matches 5 =Current form matches5
↑Current venue points per game 2.40 ↓Current venue points per game0.20
=Current venue matches 5 =Current venue matches5
↑Current goals scored per game 1.363636363636 ↓Current goals scored per game0.909090909091
↑Current goals conceded per game 1.636363636364 ↓Current goals conceded per game1.363636363636
↑Current form goals scored per game 0.60 ↓Current form goals scored per game0.40
↑Current form goals conceded per game 2.00 ↓Current form goals conceded per game1.00
↑Current venue goals scored per game 2.00 ↓Current venue goals scored per game0.00
↓Current venue goals conceded per game 1.20 ↑Current venue goals conceded per game1.80

Prices are from published captures. Virtual bets use your competition bankroll. Virtual balances have no cash value.