Queens Park Rangers v Swansea City

Championship · Kickoff 24 Oct 2026 15:00 BST (UK time)

Bookmaker odds

Latest captured prices. Arrows compare with the first capture; tap an arrow to see it.

Prediction and market comparison

Championship table · selected teams

Current saved standings · 2026/2027 · Updated 21 Oct 2026 11:25 BST

#TeamPWDLGDPtsLast 6
1Swansea City11722823LWWWWL
9Queens Park Rangers11452317DDDDWL

Last six league matches · newest on the right. W = win, D = draw, L = loss.

Predicted lineups

Predicted starting lineups — subject to change · Captured 23 Oct 2026 10:59 BST.

Queens Park Rangers

  1. Pierce Charles 1 Goalkeeper
  2. Boy Kemper 12 Left-back
  3. Jake Clarke-Salter 6 Centre-back
  4. Jimmy Dunne 3 Centre-back
  5. Kealey Adamson 2 Right-back
  6. Glen Kamara 18 Central midfielder
  7. Ronnie Edwards 5 Central midfielder
  8. Nicolas Madsen 24 Central midfielder
  9. Kwame Poku 17 Left forward
  10. Richard Kone 22 Forward
  11. Paul Smyth 11 Right forward

Swansea City

  1. Lawrence Vigouroux 22 Goalkeeper
  2. Josh Tymon 14 Left-back
  3. Stephen Welsh 23 Centre-back
  4. Ben Cabango 5 Centre-back
  5. Filip Lissah 26 Right-back
  6. Marko Stamenic 6 Central midfielder
  7. Stephen Eustaquio 46 Central midfielder
  8. Gonçalo Franco 17 Central midfielder
  9. Moussa Yeo 49 Left forward
  10. Adam Idah 33 Forward
  11. Joseph Opoku 30 Right forward

Reported player availability

Published team news can change. “Out” means the source reports that player unavailable; “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Queens Park Rangers

  • Karamoko Dembélé — Out · Injured
  • Ilias Chair — Out · Injured
  • Tariq Lamptey — Out · Injured
  • Amadou Mbengue — Out · Injured
  • Rumarn Burrell — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

Swansea City

  • Cameron Burgess — Out · Injured
  • Joshua Key — Out · Injured

We check for confirmed lineups from 70 minutes before kickoff.

Choose Home, Draw or Away below to make a virtual bet at the highest available captured price.

BetModel chancesMarket estimateMarket
Highest Odds
Home
40.5%
38.5%
First captured 41.3%
17 Oct 15:43 BST
2.60 (8/5)
First captured 2.30 (13/10)
17 Oct 15:43 BST

Betfair Exchange, Matchbook
Draw
26.5%
27.8%
First captured 27.1%
17 Oct 15:43 BST
3.55 (≈5/2)
First captured 3.50 (5/2)
17 Oct 15:43 BST

Betfair Exchange, Matchbook
Away
33.0%
33.7%
First captured 31.5%
17 Oct 15:43 BST
2.92 (≈19/10)
First captured 3.00 (2/1)
17 Oct 15:43 BST

Betfair Exchange, Matchbook

Market estimate: average of 20 bookmaker price sets after proportional margin adjustment. It is an estimate, not the true chance.

Two-outcome de-riskingand Dutching options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 67.0%

  • Primary: £7.14 on Home at 2.50 with Betano — returns £17.85
  • Cover: £2.86 on Draw at 3.50 with Betfred — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £7.85 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 33.0%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £14.58 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 67.0%

  • Primary: £6.00 on Draw at 3.50 with Betfred — returns £21.00
  • Cover: £4.00 on Home at 2.50 with Betano — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £11.00 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 33.0%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £14.58 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 73.5%

  • Primary: £6.55 on Home at 2.50 with Betano — returns £16.38
  • Cover: £3.45 on Away at 2.90 with Casumo — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £6.38 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 26.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.43 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 73.5%

  • Primary: £6.00 on Away at 2.90 with Casumo — returns £17.40
  • Cover: £4.00 on Home at 2.50 with Betano — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £7.40 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 26.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.43 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 59.5%

  • Primary: £6.55 on Draw at 3.50 with Betfred — returns £22.93
  • Cover: £3.45 on Away at 2.90 with Casumo — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £12.93 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 40.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £15.86 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 59.5%

  • Primary: £7.14 on Away at 2.90 with Casumo — returns £20.71
  • Cover: £2.86 on Draw at 3.50 with Betfred — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £10.71 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 40.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £15.86 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Confidence is the predicted probability of each outcome. Model enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-draw-v3-opening; data frozen-13d66041ec2f7404b1ccad7c2ca36f80596df071a0445b8ad6f781c782382a02; generated 23 Oct 2026 00:16 BST (UK time). Published as main-model-sofascore/fallback-full-20261023-v1-1dad6975e4be6224.

Published main-model release

Release enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-draw-v3-opening · Feature schema eg2-s1-h2-draw-v3 · Forecast snapshot 59b8ad839794949fef55741b2a9f40a2

Model code SHA-256: b31c10d9ed8b715a6089f72e402584000d731c62bd860d7f955da3d3fee8110d.

Statistics used by this prediction

These are the saved inputs that contribute to this forecast. Trailing zeroes are shortened for display; match and player counts are whole numbers. Arrows compare the original values; = means equal.

Overall team comparison

Based on which team has more green arrows in the statistics below; this is not the model prediction.

Home · Queens Park Rangers ↓ Away · Swansea City ↑

Team performance

Current season, recent form and home/away performance.

Home · Queens Park RangersAway · Swansea City
StatisticValueStatisticValue
↓Current points per game 1.545454545455 ↑Current points per game2.090909090909
=Current matches 11 =Current matches11
↓Current form points per game 1.20 ↑Current form points per game2.40
=Current form matches 5 =Current form matches5
↓Current venue points per game 1.60 ↑Current venue points per game2.40
=Current venue matches 5 =Current venue matches5
↓Current goals scored per game 1.363636363636 ↑Current goals scored per game1.454545454545
↑Current goals conceded per game 1.090909090909 ↓Current goals conceded per game0.727272727273
=Current form goals scored per game 1.60 =Current form goals scored per game1.60
↑Current form goals conceded per game 1.60 ↓Current form goals conceded per game0.80
↓Current venue goals scored per game 1.60 ↑Current venue goals scored per game1.80
=Current venue goals conceded per game 1.00 =Current venue goals conceded per game1.00

Player pool

Minutes-weighted player performance across the active squad.

Home · Queens Park RangersAway · Swansea City
StatisticValueStatisticValue
↓Rating 6.941262819728 ↑Rating6.963359100677
↓Minutes-weighted prior minutes 622.122339701952 ↑Minutes-weighted prior minutes673.012193697654
↓Minutes-weighted prior appearances 8.845942199627 ↑Minutes-weighted prior appearances9.752485132511
↑Active pool players 23 ↓Active pool players20
↓Goals per 90 0.106842428621 ↑Goals per 900.128802383272
↓Assists per 90 0.054034451834 ↑Assists per 900.100292504037
↑Shots per 90 1.286147059643 ↓Shots per 901.094049008957
↑Shots on target per 90 0.431578214 ↓Shots on target per 900.395785947891
↑Key passes per 90 1.040309855495 ↓Key passes per 900.841160720583
↑Saves per 90 0.269402453127 ↓Saves per 900.229642701202

Goalkeepers

Goalkeeper contribution used by the model.

Home · Queens Park RangersAway · Swansea City
StatisticValueStatisticValue
↓Goalkeeper save proportion 0.666666666667 ↑Goalkeeper save proportion0.818181818182
↓Goalkeeper rating 6.90 ↑Goalkeeper rating7.34

Team strength

Longer-term team-strength ratings and their evidence base.

Home · Queens Park RangersAway · Swansea City
StatisticValueStatisticValue
↓Strength rating rating 1494.014423507081 ↑Strength rating rating1567.115749458603
↓Strength rating prior matches 287.00 ↑Strength rating prior matches290.00

Defensive pressure

How each side has limited shots, shots on target and key passes.

Home · Queens Park RangersAway · Swansea City
StatisticValueStatisticValue
↑Shot suppression ratio 1.017301587302 ↓Shot suppression ratio0.846038833028
↑Shots on target suppression ratio 1.15759748269 ↓Shots on target suppression ratio1.129675324675
↑Keypass suppression ratio 0.991027453592 ↓Keypass suppression ratio0.808936015948

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