Charlton Athletic v Norwich City

Championship · Kickoff 24 Oct 2026 12:30 BST (UK time)

Latest captured prices. Arrows compare with the first capture; tap an arrow to see it.

Prediction and market comparison

Championship table · selected teams

Current saved standings · 2026/2027 · Updated 21 Oct 2026 11:25 BST

League standings for the two teams in this match
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Last 6
17	Charlton Athletic	11	3	5	3	-5	14	Draw: DDraw: DLoss: LDraw: DDraw: DLoss: L
21	Norwich City	11	3	0	8	-4	9	Win: WLoss: LLoss: LLoss: LLoss: LLoss: L

Last six league matches · newest on the right. W = win, D = draw, L = loss.

Predicted lineups

Predicted starting lineups — subject to change · Captured 23 Oct 2026 13:57 BST.

Charlton Athletic

Arthur Okonkwo 1 Goalkeeper
Lloyd Jones 5 Centre-back
Billy Koumetio 12 Centre-back
Kayne Ramsay 2 Centre-back
Ivan Mesík 18 Left wing-back
Oliver Skipp 22 Central midfielder
Conor Coventry 6 Central midfielder
Dan McNamara 2 Right wing-back
Karlan Grant 10 Attacking midfielder
Tyreece Campbell 7 Attacking midfielder
Miles Leaburn 11 Forward

Norwich City

Daniel Grimshaw 32 Goalkeeper
Darlin Yongwa 13 Left-back
José Córdoba 33 Centre-back
Ruairi McConville 15 Centre-back
Jack Stacey 3 Right-back
Pelle Mattsson 7 Defensive midfielder
Jacob Wright 16 Defensive midfielder
Oscar Schwartau 29 Left attacking midfielder
Paris Maghoma 25 Attacking midfielder
Andre Brooks 11 Right attacking midfielder
Jovon Makama 24 Forward

Reported player availability

Published team news can change. “Out” means the source reports that player unavailable; “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Charlton Athletic

Collins Sichenje — Out · Injured
Matty Godden — Out · Injured
Rob Apter — Out · Injured

Norwich City

Ali Ahmed — Out · Injured
Mirko Topic — Out · Injured
Mohamed Touré — Out · Injured
Kenny McLean — Out · Injured
Vladan Kovacevic — Out · Injured
Gabriel Forsyth — Out · Unfit

We check for confirmed lineups from 70 minutes before kickoff.

Choose Home, Draw or Away below to make a virtual bet at the highest available captured price.

Bet	Model chances	Market estimate	Market Highest Odds
Home	28.0%	29.7% First captured 25.0% 17 Oct 12:43 BST	3.45 (≈12/5) First captured 3.75 (11/4) 17 Oct 12:43 BST Betfair Exchange, Matchbook, Smarkets
Draw	26.5%	27.4% First captured 26.2% 17 Oct 12:43 BST	3.60 (13/5) Betfair Exchange, Betfred, Matchbook, Smarkets
Away	45.5%	42.9% First captured 48.8% 17 Oct 12:43 BST	2.28 (≈13/10) First captured 1.91 (≈10/11) 17 Oct 12:43 BST Betfair Exchange, Matchbook, Smarkets

Market estimate: average of 21 bookmaker price sets after proportional margin adjustment. It is an estimate, not the true chance.

Two-outcome de-riskingand Dutching options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 54.5%

Primary: £7.22 on Home at 3.25 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £23.47
Cover: £2.78 on Draw at 3.60 with Betfred — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £13.47 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 45.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £17.08 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 54.5%

Primary: £6.92 on Draw at 3.60 with Betfred — returns £24.91
Cover: £3.08 on Home at 3.25 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £14.91 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 45.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 73.5%

Primary: £5.55 on Home at 3.25 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £18.04
Cover: £4.45 on Away at 2.25 with Coral — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £8.04 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 26.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.30 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 73.5%

Primary: £6.92 on Away at 2.25 with Coral — returns £15.57
Cover: £3.08 on Home at 3.25 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £5.57 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 26.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 72.0%

Primary: £5.55 on Draw at 3.60 with Betfred — returns £19.98
Cover: £4.45 on Away at 2.25 with Coral — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £9.98 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 28.0%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.85 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 72.0%

Primary: £7.22 on Away at 2.25 with Coral — returns £16.25
Cover: £2.78 on Draw at 3.60 with Betfred — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £6.25 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 28.0%), the full £10.00 is lost.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Confidence is the predicted probability of each outcome. Model enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-draw-v3-opening; data frozen-13d66041ec2f7404b1ccad7c2ca36f80596df071a0445b8ad6f781c782382a02; generated 23 Oct 2026 00:16 BST (UK time). Published as main-model-sofascore/fallback-full-20261023-v1-1dad6975e4be6224.

Published main-model release

Release enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-draw-v3-opening · Feature schema eg2-s1-h2-draw-v3 · Forecast snapshot fff7ba81266526091698b5e447dd42c8

Model code SHA-256: b31c10d9ed8b715a6089f72e402584000d731c62bd860d7f955da3d3fee8110d.

Statistics used by this prediction

These are the saved inputs that contribute to this forecast. Trailing zeroes are shortened for display; match and player counts are whole numbers. Arrows compare the original values; = means equal.

Overall team comparison

Based on which team has more green arrows in the statistics below; this is not the model prediction.

Home · Charlton Athletic ↓	Away · Norwich City ↑

Team performance

Current season, recent form and home/away performance.

Home · Charlton Athletic		Away · Norwich City
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
↑Current points per game	1.272727272727	↓Current points per game	0.818181818182
=Current matches	11	=Current matches	11
↑Current form points per game	0.60	↓Current form points per game	0.00
=Current form matches	5	=Current form matches	5
↑Current venue points per game	1.80	↓Current venue points per game	0.60
=Current venue matches	5	=Current venue matches	5
↓Current goals scored per game	0.909090909091	↑Current goals scored per game	1.545454545455
↓Current goals conceded per game	1.363636363636	↑Current goals conceded per game	1.909090909091
↓Current form goals scored per game	0.80	↑Current form goals scored per game	1.40
↓Current form goals conceded per game	1.60	↑Current form goals conceded per game	2.40
↓Current venue goals scored per game	0.80	↑Current venue goals scored per game	1.40
↓Current venue goals conceded per game	0.40	↑Current venue goals conceded per game	2.20

Player pool

Minutes-weighted player performance across the active squad.

Home · Charlton Athletic		Away · Norwich City
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
↑Rating	6.869953716538	↓Rating	6.744298822943
↑Minutes-weighted prior minutes	679.553328436829	↓Minutes-weighted prior minutes	625.628357123586
↑Minutes-weighted prior appearances	8.878122005769	↓Minutes-weighted prior appearances	8.825631039969
↓Active pool players	23	↑Active pool players	24
↓Goals per 90	0.093161584155	↑Goals per 90	0.131856764464
↓Assists per 90	0.045876172976	↑Assists per 90	0.120975188207
↓Shots per 90	0.893730325251	↑Shots per 90	1.21782889311
↓Shots on target per 90	0.260965605629	↑Shots on target per 90	0.4338575853
↓Key passes per 90	0.592818159772	↑Key passes per 90	1.015055039094
↑Saves per 90	0.374684577967	↓Saves per 90	0.181401131803

Goalkeepers

Goalkeeper contribution used by the model.

Home · Charlton Athletic		Away · Norwich City
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
Goalkeeper save proportion	0.714285714286	Goalkeeper save proportion	Missing
Goalkeeper rating	6.86	Goalkeeper rating	Missing

Team strength

Longer-term team-strength ratings and their evidence base.

Home · Charlton Athletic		Away · Norwich City
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
↑Strength rating rating	1488.777154766412	↓Strength rating rating	1479.862597911915
↓Strength rating prior matches	290.00	↑Strength rating prior matches	319.00

Defensive pressure

How each side has limited shots, shots on target and key passes.

Home · Charlton Athletic		Away · Norwich City
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
↑Shot suppression ratio	1.231258036825	↓Shot suppression ratio	0.842184394437
↑Shots on target suppression ratio	1.222397362397	↓Shots on target suppression ratio	1.049559789804
↑Keypass suppression ratio	1.134646305945	↓Keypass suppression ratio	0.786019455366

Prices are from published captures. Virtual bets use your competition bankroll. Virtual balances have no cash value.