Blackburn Rovers v Wrexham AFC

Championship · Kickoff 24 Oct 2026 15:00 BST (UK time)

Latest captured prices. Arrows compare with the first capture; tap an arrow to see it.

Prediction and market comparison

Championship table · selected teams

Current saved standings · 2026/2027 · Updated 21 Oct 2026 11:25 BST

League standings for the two teams in this match
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Last 6
10	Blackburn Rovers	11	4	3	4	1	15	Loss: LWin: WDraw: DWin: WWin: WLoss: L
14	Wrexham	11	3	5	3	-1	14	Draw: DLoss: LWin: WDraw: DLoss: LWin: W

Last six league matches · newest on the right. W = win, D = draw, L = loss.

Predicted lineups

Predicted starting lineups — subject to change · Captured 23 Oct 2026 10:59 BST.

Blackburn Rovers

Balázs Tóth 22 Goalkeeper
Harry Pickering 3 Left-back
Sean McLoughlin 15 Centre-back
Tom Atcheson 6 Centre-back
Ryan Alebiosu 2 Right-back
Kristi Montgomery 31 Defensive midfielder
Sam Morsy 40 Defensive midfielder
Oladapo Afolayan 21 Left attacking midfielder
Todd Cantwell 10 Attacking midfielder
Mathias Jørgensen 29 Right attacking midfielder
Andri Gudjohnsen 9 Forward

Wrexham AFC

Anthony Patterson 13 Goalkeeper
Callum Doyle 2 Centre-back
Joe Worrall 4 Centre-back
Dominic Hyam 5 Centre-back
Jacques Ekomié 3 Left wing-back
Benjamin Whiteman 4 Central midfielder
Matty James 37 Central midfielder
Issa Kaboré 78 Right wing-back
Callum O'Hare 10 Attacking midfielder
Sam Smith 28 Attacking midfielder
Kieffer Moore 19 Forward

Reported player availability

Published team news can change. “Out” means the source reports that player unavailable; “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Blackburn Rovers

Lewis Miller — Out · Injured
Yuki Ohashi — Out · Injured
Matty Litherland — Out · Injured
Yuri Ribeiro — Out · Injured
Adam Forshaw — Out · Injured
Ryoya Morishita — Out · Injured

Wrexham AFC

George Thomason — Out · Injured
Max Cleworth — Out · Injured
Nathan Broadhead — Out · Injured
Ben Sheaf — Out · Injured
Josh Windass — Out · Injured
Liberato Cacace — Out · Unfit

We check for confirmed lineups from 70 minutes before kickoff.

Choose Home, Draw or Away below to make a virtual bet at the highest available captured price.

Bet	Model chances	Market estimate	Market Highest Odds
Home	36.0%	35.0% First captured 35.5% 17 Oct 15:43 BST	2.90 (19/10) First captured 2.65 (≈13/8) 17 Oct 15:43 BST Matchbook
Draw	28.3%	29.2% First captured 28.3% 17 Oct 15:43 BST	3.35 (≈23/10) First captured 3.40 (12/5) 17 Oct 15:43 BST Betfair Exchange, Matchbook
Away	35.8%	35.8% First captured 36.2% 17 Oct 15:43 BST	2.80 (9/5) First captured 2.62 (≈13/8) 17 Oct 15:43 BST Betfair Exchange, Matchbook

Market estimate: average of 21 bookmaker price sets after proportional margin adjustment. It is an estimate, not the true chance.

Two-outcome de-riskingand Dutching options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 64.2%

Primary: £6.96 on Home at 2.70 with Betway — returns £18.79
Cover: £3.04 on Draw at 3.30 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.03

The primary outcome makes £8.79 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.03. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 35.8%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £14.85 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 64.2%

Primary: £6.29 on Draw at 3.30 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £20.76
Cover: £3.71 on Home at 2.70 with Betway — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £10.76 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 35.8%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 71.7%

Primary: £6.36 on Home at 2.70 with Betway — returns £17.17
Cover: £3.64 on Away at 2.75 with Betfred — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £7.17 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 28.3%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.62 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 71.7%

Primary: £6.29 on Away at 2.75 with Betfred — returns £17.30
Cover: £3.71 on Home at 2.70 with Betway — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £7.30 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 28.3%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 64.0%

Primary: £6.36 on Draw at 3.30 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £20.99
Cover: £3.64 on Away at 2.75 with Betfred — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £10.99 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 36.0%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £15.00 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 64.0%

Primary: £6.96 on Away at 2.75 with Betfred — returns £19.14
Cover: £3.04 on Draw at 3.30 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.03

The primary outcome makes £9.14 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.03. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 36.0%), the full £10.00 is lost.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Confidence is the predicted probability of each outcome. Model enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-draw-v3-opening; data frozen-13d66041ec2f7404b1ccad7c2ca36f80596df071a0445b8ad6f781c782382a02; generated 23 Oct 2026 00:16 BST (UK time). Published as main-model-sofascore/fallback-full-20261023-v1-1dad6975e4be6224.

Published main-model release

Release enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-draw-v3-opening · Feature schema eg2-s1-h2-draw-v3 · Forecast snapshot a534afa7e74d535c98138661462861f4

Model code SHA-256: b31c10d9ed8b715a6089f72e402584000d731c62bd860d7f955da3d3fee8110d.

Statistics used by this prediction

These are the saved inputs that contribute to this forecast. Trailing zeroes are shortened for display; match and player counts are whole numbers. Arrows compare the original values; = means equal.

Overall team comparison

Based on which team has more green arrows in the statistics below; this is not the model prediction.

Home · Blackburn Rovers ↑	Away · Wrexham AFC ↓

Team performance

Current season, recent form and home/away performance.

Home · Blackburn Rovers		Away · Wrexham AFC
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
↑Current points per game	1.363636363636	↓Current points per game	1.272727272727
=Current matches	11	=Current matches	11
↑Current form points per game	2.00	↓Current form points per game	1.40
=Current form matches	5	=Current form matches	5
↑Current venue points per game	1.80	↓Current venue points per game	1.20
=Current venue matches	5	=Current venue matches	5
↑Current goals scored per game	1.545454545455	↓Current goals scored per game	1.363636363636
=Current goals conceded per game	1.454545454545	=Current goals conceded per game	1.454545454545
↑Current form goals scored per game	2.00	↓Current form goals scored per game	1.60
↓Current form goals conceded per game	1.40	↑Current form goals conceded per game	2.20
↑Current venue goals scored per game	1.80	↓Current venue goals scored per game	1.00
↓Current venue goals conceded per game	1.40	↑Current venue goals conceded per game	1.60

Player pool

Minutes-weighted player performance across the active squad.

Home · Blackburn Rovers		Away · Wrexham AFC
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
↓Rating	6.856329946943	↑Rating	6.883882465192
↑Minutes-weighted prior minutes	718.272898552028	↓Minutes-weighted prior minutes	654.280971056808
↑Minutes-weighted prior appearances	9.423415433177	↓Minutes-weighted prior appearances	9.057844666474
↑Active pool players	23	↓Active pool players	21
↑Goals per 90	0.128037722078	↓Goals per 90	0.119976041184
↑Assists per 90	0.106377254168	↓Assists per 90	0.08648206401
↓Shots per 90	0.987266110569	↑Shots per 90	1.057522509945
↓Shots on target per 90	0.338893771061	↑Shots on target per 90	0.352840429098
↑Key passes per 90	0.766944714849	↓Key passes per 90	0.666255184807
↓Saves per 90	0.224376047772	↑Saves per 90	0.230645995627

Goalkeepers

Goalkeeper contribution used by the model.

Home · Blackburn Rovers		Away · Wrexham AFC
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
↑Goalkeeper save proportion	0.703703703704	↓Goalkeeper save proportion	0.576923076923
↑Goalkeeper rating	7.10	↓Goalkeeper rating	6.44

Team strength

Longer-term team-strength ratings and their evidence base.

Home · Blackburn Rovers		Away · Wrexham AFC
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
↓Strength rating rating	1486.517344571169	↑Strength rating rating	1568.819447492517
↑Strength rating prior matches	287.00	↓Strength rating prior matches	149.00

Defensive pressure

How each side has limited shots, shots on target and key passes.

Home · Blackburn Rovers		Away · Wrexham AFC
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
↑Shot suppression ratio	1.369243982237	↓Shot suppression ratio	1.03721990128
↓Shots on target suppression ratio	1.009760107817	↑Shots on target suppression ratio	1.107263729246
↑Keypass suppression ratio	1.383034072095	↓Keypass suppression ratio	1.184355740388

Prices are from published captures. Virtual bets use your competition bankroll. Virtual balances have no cash value.