West Ham United v Southampton

Championship · Kickoff 24 Oct 2026 15:00 BST (UK time)

Bookmaker odds

Latest captured prices. Arrows compare with the first capture; tap an arrow to see it.

Prediction and market comparison

Championship table · selected teams

Current saved standings · 2026/2027 · Updated 21 Oct 2026 11:25 BST

#TeamPWDLGDPtsLast 6
2West Ham United116411822WWDDWW
8Southampton116321117WWLWWD

Last six league matches · newest on the right. W = win, D = draw, L = loss.

Predicted lineups

Predicted starting lineups — subject to change · Captured 23 Oct 2026 10:59 BST.

West Ham United

  1. Mads Hermansen 1 Goalkeeper
  2. Morato 4 Left-back
  3. Maximilian Kilman 3 Centre-back
  4. Konstantinos Mavropanos 15 Centre-back
  5. Joël Veltman 34 Right-back
  6. Manor Solomon 27 Left midfielder
  7. Arne Engels 7 Central midfielder
  8. Mohamadou Kanté 17 Central midfielder
  9. Jarrod Bowen 20 Right midfielder
  10. Divine Mukasa 29 Attacking midfielder
  11. Valentín Castellanos 11 Forward

Southampton

  1. Daniel Peretz 41 Goalkeeper
  2. Ryan Manning 3 Left-back
  3. Keven Schlotterbeck 13 Centre-back
  4. Jack Stephens 5 Centre-back
  5. James Bree 14 Right-back
  6. James Ward-Prowse 20 Defensive midfielder
  7. Cameron Bragg 26 Defensive midfielder
  8. Léo Scienza 7 Left attacking midfielder
  9. Finn Azaz 10 Attacking midfielder
  10. Kuryu Matsuki 27 Right attacking midfielder
  11. Cyle Larin 9 Forward

Reported player availability

Published team news can change. “Out” means the source reports that player unavailable; “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

West Ham United

  • Keiber Lamadrid — Out · Injured

Southampton

  • Mads Roerslev — Out · Injured
  • Cyle Larin — Doubtful · Injured doubtful
  • Flynn Downes — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

We check for confirmed lineups from 70 minutes before kickoff.

Choose Home, Draw or Away below to make a virtual bet at the highest available captured price.

BetModel chancesMarket estimateMarket
Highest Odds
Home
51.1%
55.6%
First captured 55.8%
17 Oct 15:43 BST
1.77 (≈4/5)
First captured 1.73 (≈8/11)
17 Oct 15:43 BST

Matchbook
Draw
24.5%
22.6%
4.40 (≈10/3)
First captured 4.33 (≈10/3)
17 Oct 15:43 BST

Betfair Exchange, Matchbook
Away
24.3%
21.7%
First captured 21.6%
17 Oct 15:43 BST
4.60 (≈7/2)

Betfair Exchange, Matchbook

Market estimate: average of 20 bookmaker price sets after proportional margin adjustment. It is an estimate, not the true chance.

Two-outcome de-riskingand Dutching options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 75.7%

  • Primary: £7.64 on Home at 1.70 with Betfred — returns £12.99
  • Cover: £2.36 on Draw at 4.25 with Unibet — returns £10.03

The primary outcome makes £2.99 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.03. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 24.3%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.14 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 75.7%

  • Primary: £4.11 on Draw at 4.25 with Unibet — returns £17.47
  • Cover: £5.89 on Home at 1.70 with Betfred — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £7.47 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 24.3%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.14 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 75.5%

  • Primary: £7.72 on Home at 1.70 with Betfred — returns £13.12
  • Cover: £2.28 on Away at 4.40 with Casumo — returns £10.03

The primary outcome makes £3.12 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.03. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 24.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.26 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 75.5%

  • Primary: £4.11 on Away at 4.40 with Casumo — returns £18.08
  • Cover: £5.89 on Home at 1.70 with Betfred — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £8.08 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 24.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.26 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 48.9%

  • Primary: £7.72 on Draw at 4.25 with Unibet — returns £32.81
  • Cover: £2.28 on Away at 4.40 with Casumo — returns £10.03

The primary outcome makes £22.81 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.03. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 51.1%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £21.62 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 48.9%

  • Primary: £7.64 on Away at 4.40 with Casumo — returns £33.62
  • Cover: £2.36 on Draw at 4.25 with Unibet — returns £10.03

The primary outcome makes £23.62 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.03. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 51.1%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £21.62 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Confidence is the predicted probability of each outcome. Model enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-draw-v3-opening; data frozen-13d66041ec2f7404b1ccad7c2ca36f80596df071a0445b8ad6f781c782382a02; generated 23 Oct 2026 00:16 BST (UK time). Published as main-model-sofascore/fallback-full-20261023-v1-1dad6975e4be6224.

Published main-model release

Release enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-draw-v3-opening · Feature schema eg2-s1-h2-draw-v3 · Forecast snapshot a2a87dbea74432657df646fea9e798f5

Model code SHA-256: b31c10d9ed8b715a6089f72e402584000d731c62bd860d7f955da3d3fee8110d.

Statistics used by this prediction

These are the saved inputs that contribute to this forecast. Trailing zeroes are shortened for display; match and player counts are whole numbers. Arrows compare the original values; = means equal.

Overall team comparison

Based on which team has more green arrows in the statistics below; this is not the model prediction.

Home · West Ham United ↑ Away · Southampton ↓

Team performance

Current season, recent form and home/away performance.

Home · West Ham UnitedAway · Southampton
StatisticValueStatisticValue
↑Current points per game 2.00 ↓Current points per game1.909090909091
=Current matches 11 =Current matches11
↑Current form points per game 2.20 ↓Current form points per game2.00
=Current form matches 5 =Current form matches5
↑Current venue points per game 2.00 ↓Current venue points per game1.00
=Current venue matches 5 =Current venue matches5
↑Current goals scored per game 2.727272727273 ↓Current goals scored per game1.909090909091
↑Current goals conceded per game 1.090909090909 ↓Current goals conceded per game0.909090909091
↑Current form goals scored per game 3.20 ↓Current form goals scored per game1.40
=Current form goals conceded per game 0.60 =Current form goals conceded per game0.60
↑Current venue goals scored per game 3.00 ↓Current venue goals scored per game1.00
↓Current venue goals conceded per game 1.00 ↑Current venue goals conceded per game1.20

Player pool

Minutes-weighted player performance across the active squad.

Home · West Ham UnitedAway · Southampton
StatisticValueStatisticValue
↑Rating 7.122082561297 ↓Rating7.081780777672
↑Minutes-weighted prior minutes 706.932901324823 ↓Minutes-weighted prior minutes694.211557954363
↑Minutes-weighted prior appearances 9.521352326051 ↓Minutes-weighted prior appearances9.350712170782
↑Active pool players 22 ↓Active pool players20
↑Goals per 90 0.241309835725 ↓Goals per 900.169467123483
↑Assists per 90 0.175968527688 ↓Assists per 900.12873667768
↑Shots per 90 1.484846865783 ↓Shots per 901.35537910254
↑Shots on target per 90 0.572378978235 ↓Shots on target per 900.401625908042
↑Key passes per 90 1.172345478688 ↓Key passes per 901.005367912843
↓Saves per 90 0.181993547737 ↑Saves per 900.280364621143

Goalkeepers

Goalkeeper contribution used by the model.

Home · West Ham UnitedAway · Southampton
StatisticValueStatisticValue
↓Goalkeeper save proportion 0.666666666667 ↑Goalkeeper save proportion0.842105263158
↓Goalkeeper rating 7.00 ↑Goalkeeper rating7.88

Team strength

Longer-term team-strength ratings and their evidence base.

Home · West Ham UnitedAway · Southampton
StatisticValueStatisticValue
↑Strength rating rating 1610.762699456927 ↓Strength rating rating1602.02561188279
↓Strength rating prior matches 315.00 ↑Strength rating prior matches336.00

Defensive pressure

How each side has limited shots, shots on target and key passes.

Home · West Ham UnitedAway · Southampton
StatisticValueStatisticValue
↓Shot suppression ratio 0.741642500618 ↑Shot suppression ratio1.061926459753
↓Shots on target suppression ratio 0.543096438445 ↑Shots on target suppression ratio0.944116015972
↓Keypass suppression ratio 0.560771220143 ↑Keypass suppression ratio1.106079872006

Prices are from published captures. Virtual bets use your competition bankroll. Virtual balances have no cash value.