Barnet v York City
League Two · Kickoff 27 Oct 2026 19:45 GMT (UK time)
Latest captured prices. Arrows compare with the first capture; tap an arrow to see it.
Prediction and market comparison
League 2 table · selected teams
Current saved standings · 2026/2027 · Updated 22 Oct 2026 14:55 BST
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Last 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Barnet | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 21 | Draw: DWin: WWin: WWin: WWin: WLoss: L |
| 6 | York City | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17 | Win: WLoss: LWin: WDraw: DDraw: DDraw: D |
Last six league matches · newest on the right. W = win, D = draw, L = loss.
Predicted lineups
Lineups are not available yet.
We check for confirmed lineups from 70 minutes before kickoff.
Choose Home, Draw or Away below to make a virtual bet at the highest available captured price.
| Bet | Model chances | Market estimate | Market Highest Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 55.7%
| 41.2% First captured 40.7%22 Oct 21:04 BST |
2.30 (13/10)
Casumo, Virgin Bet |
| Draw | 27.7%
| 25.8% First captured 26.2%22 Oct 21:04 BST |
3.80 (14/5) First captured 3.60 (13/5)22 Oct 21:04 BST Paddy Power |
| Away | 16.6%
| 33.1%
|
2.90 (19/10) First captured 2.85 (≈15/8)22 Oct 21:04 BST Unibet |
Market estimate: average of 10 bookmaker price sets after proportional margin adjustment. It is an estimate, not the true chance.
Two-outcome de-riskingand Dutching options
Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:
This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.
Confidence is the predicted probability of each outcome. Model enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-draw-v3-opening; data frozen-16d1269a0f064dcd4fbcf0223c8a79f89f488d5118d6cc99f572a621c08fa5eb; generated 23 Oct 2026 00:24 BST (UK time). Published as main-model-sofascore/three-fixture-identity-20261023-v1-db9de16f808cf68c.
Published main-model release
Release enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-draw-v3-opening · Feature schema eg2-s1-h2-draw-v3 · Forecast snapshot fafd61f6d34d1546b1264a376eb81e34
Model code SHA-256: b31c10d9ed8b715a6089f72e402584000d731c62bd860d7f955da3d3fee8110d.
Statistics used by this prediction
These are the saved inputs that contribute to this forecast. Trailing zeroes are shortened for display; match and player counts are whole numbers. Arrows compare the original values; = means equal.
Overall team comparison
Based on which team has more green arrows in the statistics below; this is not the model prediction.
| Home · Barnet ↑ | Away · York City ↓ |
|---|
Team performance
Current season, recent form and home/away performance.
| Home · Barnet | Away · York City | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Statistic | Value | Statistic | Value |
| ↑Current points per game | 2.10 | ↓Current points per game | 1.545454545455 |
| ↓Current matches | 10 | ↑Current matches | 11 |
| ↑Current form points per game | 2.40 | ↓Current form points per game | 1.20 |
| =Current form matches | 5 | =Current form matches | 5 |
| ↑Current venue points per game | 2.00 | ↓Current venue points per game | 0.60 |
| =Current venue matches | 5 | =Current venue matches | 5 |
| ↑Current goals scored per game | 2.30 | ↓Current goals scored per game | 1.727272727273 |
| ↑Current goals conceded per game | 1.50 | ↓Current goals conceded per game | 1.181818181818 |
| ↑Current form goals scored per game | 2.20 | ↓Current form goals scored per game | 1.20 |
| ↑Current form goals conceded per game | 1.40 | ↓Current form goals conceded per game | 1.00 |
| ↑Current venue goals scored per game | 2.20 | ↓Current venue goals scored per game | 1.00 |
| =Current venue goals conceded per game | 1.60 | =Current venue goals conceded per game | 1.60 |
Player pool
Minutes-weighted player performance across the active squad.
| Home · Barnet | Away · York City | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Statistic | Value | Statistic | Value |
| ↓Rating | 6.899233757018 | ↑Rating | 6.937781058934 |
| ↓Minutes-weighted prior minutes | 710.595525572123 | ↑Minutes-weighted prior minutes | 777.401549091588 |
| ↓Minutes-weighted prior appearances | 9.258980785317 | ↑Minutes-weighted prior appearances | 10.112816722858 |
| ↓Active pool players | 19 | ↑Active pool players | 21 |
| ↑Goals per 90 | 0.220588112371 | ↓Goals per 90 | 0.151661154305 |
| ↓Assists per 90 | 0.099610523781 | ↑Assists per 90 | 0.143394161692 |
| ↑Shots per 90 | 1.496348658425 | ↓Shots per 90 | 1.368879001235 |
| ↑Shots on target per 90 | 0.472264273544 | ↓Shots on target per 90 | 0.398082315259 |
| ↓Key passes per 90 | 0.918781639691 | ↑Key passes per 90 | 1.122724089066 |
| ↓Saves per 90 | 0.220984135486 | ↑Saves per 90 | 0.250343093575 |
Goalkeepers
Goalkeeper contribution used by the model.
| Home · Barnet | Away · York City | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Statistic | Value | Statistic | Value |
| ↓Goalkeeper save proportion | 0.631578947368 | ↑Goalkeeper save proportion | 0.791666666667 |
| ↓Goalkeeper rating | 6.58 | ↑Goalkeeper rating | 6.94 |
Team strength
Longer-term team-strength ratings and their evidence base.
| Home · Barnet | Away · York City | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Statistic | Value | Statistic | Value |
| ↑Strength rating rating | 1535.131353474924 | ↓Strength rating rating | 1489.840876461965 |
| ↑Strength rating prior matches | 56.00 | ↓Strength rating prior matches | 11.00 |
Defensive pressure
How each side has limited shots, shots on target and key passes.
| Home · Barnet | Away · York City | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Statistic | Value | Statistic | Value |
| ↓Shot suppression ratio | 0.996766160384 | ↑Shot suppression ratio | 1.263660308085 |
| ↑Shots on target suppression ratio | 0.998425996661 | ↓Shots on target suppression ratio | 0.92977124183 |
| ↓Keypass suppression ratio | 1.027838714348 | ↑Keypass suppression ratio | 1.136519381946 |
Prices are from published captures. Virtual bets use your competition bankroll. Virtual balances have no cash value.