Barnet v York City

League Two · Kickoff 27 Oct 2026 19:45 GMT (UK time)

Bookmaker odds

Latest captured prices. Arrows compare with the first capture; tap an arrow to see it.

Prediction and market comparison

League 2 table · selected teams

Current saved standings · 2026/2027 · Updated 22 Oct 2026 14:55 BST

League standings for the two teams in this match
#TeamPWDLGDPtsLast 6
2Barnet10631821Draw: DWin: WWin: WWin: WWin: WLoss: L
6York City11452617Win: WLoss: LWin: WDraw: DDraw: DDraw: D

Last six league matches · newest on the right. W = win, D = draw, L = loss.

Predicted lineups

Lineups are not available yet.

We check for confirmed lineups from 70 minutes before kickoff.

Choose Home, Draw or Away below to make a virtual bet at the highest available captured price.

BetModel chancesMarket estimateMarket
Highest Odds
Home
55.7%
41.2%
First captured 40.7%
22 Oct 21:04 BST
2.30 (13/10)

Casumo, Virgin Bet
Draw
27.7%
25.8%
First captured 26.2%
22 Oct 21:04 BST
3.80 (14/5)
First captured 3.60 (13/5)
22 Oct 21:04 BST

Paddy Power
Away
16.6%
33.1%
2.90 (19/10)
First captured 2.85 (≈15/8)
22 Oct 21:04 BST

Unibet

Market estimate: average of 10 bookmaker price sets after proportional margin adjustment. It is an estimate, not the true chance.

Two-outcome de-riskingand Dutching options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 83.4%

  • Primary: £7.36 on Home at 2.30 with Casumo — returns £16.93
  • Cover: £2.64 on Draw at 3.80 with Paddy Power — returns £10.03

The primary outcome makes £6.93 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.03. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 16.6%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £14.33 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 83.4%

  • Primary: £5.65 on Draw at 3.80 with Paddy Power — returns £21.47
  • Cover: £4.35 on Home at 2.30 with Casumo — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £11.47 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 16.6%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £14.33 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 72.3%

  • Primary: £6.55 on Home at 2.30 with Casumo — returns £15.07
  • Cover: £3.45 on Away at 2.90 with Unibet — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £5.07 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 27.7%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.83 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 72.3%

  • Primary: £5.65 on Away at 2.90 with Unibet — returns £16.39
  • Cover: £4.35 on Home at 2.30 with Casumo — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £6.39 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 27.7%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.83 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 44.3%

  • Primary: £6.55 on Draw at 3.80 with Paddy Power — returns £24.89
  • Cover: £3.45 on Away at 2.90 with Unibet — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £14.89 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 55.7%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £16.45 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 44.3%

  • Primary: £7.36 on Away at 2.90 with Unibet — returns £21.34
  • Cover: £2.64 on Draw at 3.80 with Paddy Power — returns £10.03

The primary outcome makes £11.34 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.03. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 55.7%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £16.45 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Confidence is the predicted probability of each outcome. Model enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-draw-v3-opening; data frozen-16d1269a0f064dcd4fbcf0223c8a79f89f488d5118d6cc99f572a621c08fa5eb; generated 23 Oct 2026 00:24 BST (UK time). Published as main-model-sofascore/three-fixture-identity-20261023-v1-db9de16f808cf68c.

Published main-model release

Release enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-draw-v3-opening · Feature schema eg2-s1-h2-draw-v3 · Forecast snapshot fafd61f6d34d1546b1264a376eb81e34

Model code SHA-256: b31c10d9ed8b715a6089f72e402584000d731c62bd860d7f955da3d3fee8110d.

Statistics used by this prediction

These are the saved inputs that contribute to this forecast. Trailing zeroes are shortened for display; match and player counts are whole numbers. Arrows compare the original values; = means equal.

Overall team comparison

Based on which team has more green arrows in the statistics below; this is not the model prediction.

Home · Barnet ↑ Away · York City ↓

Team performance

Current season, recent form and home/away performance.

Home · BarnetAway · York City
StatisticValueStatisticValue
↑Current points per game 2.10 ↓Current points per game1.545454545455
↓Current matches 10 ↑Current matches11
↑Current form points per game 2.40 ↓Current form points per game1.20
=Current form matches 5 =Current form matches5
↑Current venue points per game 2.00 ↓Current venue points per game0.60
=Current venue matches 5 =Current venue matches5
↑Current goals scored per game 2.30 ↓Current goals scored per game1.727272727273
↑Current goals conceded per game 1.50 ↓Current goals conceded per game1.181818181818
↑Current form goals scored per game 2.20 ↓Current form goals scored per game1.20
↑Current form goals conceded per game 1.40 ↓Current form goals conceded per game1.00
↑Current venue goals scored per game 2.20 ↓Current venue goals scored per game1.00
=Current venue goals conceded per game 1.60 =Current venue goals conceded per game1.60

Player pool

Minutes-weighted player performance across the active squad.

Home · BarnetAway · York City
StatisticValueStatisticValue
↓Rating 6.899233757018 ↑Rating6.937781058934
↓Minutes-weighted prior minutes 710.595525572123 ↑Minutes-weighted prior minutes777.401549091588
↓Minutes-weighted prior appearances 9.258980785317 ↑Minutes-weighted prior appearances10.112816722858
↓Active pool players 19 ↑Active pool players21
↑Goals per 90 0.220588112371 ↓Goals per 900.151661154305
↓Assists per 90 0.099610523781 ↑Assists per 900.143394161692
↑Shots per 90 1.496348658425 ↓Shots per 901.368879001235
↑Shots on target per 90 0.472264273544 ↓Shots on target per 900.398082315259
↓Key passes per 90 0.918781639691 ↑Key passes per 901.122724089066
↓Saves per 90 0.220984135486 ↑Saves per 900.250343093575

Goalkeepers

Goalkeeper contribution used by the model.

Home · BarnetAway · York City
StatisticValueStatisticValue
↓Goalkeeper save proportion 0.631578947368 ↑Goalkeeper save proportion0.791666666667
↓Goalkeeper rating 6.58 ↑Goalkeeper rating6.94

Team strength

Longer-term team-strength ratings and their evidence base.

Home · BarnetAway · York City
StatisticValueStatisticValue
↑Strength rating rating 1535.131353474924 ↓Strength rating rating1489.840876461965
↑Strength rating prior matches 56.00 ↓Strength rating prior matches11.00

Defensive pressure

How each side has limited shots, shots on target and key passes.

Home · BarnetAway · York City
StatisticValueStatisticValue
↓Shot suppression ratio 0.996766160384 ↑Shot suppression ratio1.263660308085
↑Shots on target suppression ratio 0.998425996661 ↓Shots on target suppression ratio0.92977124183
↓Keypass suppression ratio 1.027838714348 ↑Keypass suppression ratio1.136519381946

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