Milton Keynes Dons v Bromley FC

League One · Kickoff 27 Oct 2026 19:45 GMT (UK time)

Latest captured prices. Arrows compare with the first capture; tap an arrow to see it.

Prediction and market comparison

League 1 table · selected teams

Current saved standings · 2026/2027 · Updated 22 Oct 2026 02:20 BST

League standings for the two teams in this match
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Last 6
20	MK Dons	10	1	6	3	-7	9	Draw: DDraw: DDraw: DLoss: LWin: WLoss: L
23	Bromley	10	2	2	6	-16	8	Loss: LDraw: DWin: WLoss: LLoss: LLoss: L

Last six league matches · newest on the right. W = win, D = draw, L = loss.

Predicted lineups

Lineups are not available yet.

We check for confirmed lineups from 70 minutes before kickoff.

Choose Home, Draw or Away below to make a virtual bet at the highest available captured price.

Bet	Model chances	Market estimate	Market Highest Odds
Home	57.8%	53.1% First captured 54.8% 20 Oct 21:43 BST	1.73 (≈8/11) Unibet
Draw	27.1%	24.6% First captured 24.1% 20 Oct 21:43 BST	4.00 (3/1) First captured 3.90 (≈14/5) 20 Oct 21:43 BST Betfred, Paddy Power
Away	15.1%	22.3% First captured 21.1% 20 Oct 21:43 BST	4.50 (7/2) Casumo, LiveScore Bet, Paddy Power

Market estimate: average of 14 bookmaker price sets after proportional margin adjustment. It is an estimate, not the true chance.

Two-outcome de-riskingand Dutching options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 84.9%

Primary: £7.50 on Home at 1.73 with Unibet — returns £12.98
Cover: £2.50 on Draw at 4.00 with Betfred — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £2.98 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 15.1%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.08 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 84.9%

Primary: £4.21 on Draw at 4.00 with Betfred — returns £16.84
Cover: £5.79 on Home at 1.73 with Unibet — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £6.84 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 15.1%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 72.9%

Primary: £7.77 on Home at 1.73 with Unibet — returns £13.44
Cover: £2.23 on Away at 4.50 with Casumo — returns £10.04

The primary outcome makes £3.44 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.04. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 27.1%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.50 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 72.9%

Primary: £4.21 on Away at 4.50 with Casumo — returns £18.95
Cover: £5.79 on Home at 1.73 with Unibet — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £8.95 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 27.1%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 42.2%

Primary: £7.77 on Draw at 4.00 with Betfred — returns £31.08
Cover: £2.23 on Away at 4.50 with Casumo — returns £10.04

The primary outcome makes £21.08 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.04. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 57.8%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £21.18 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 42.2%

Primary: £7.50 on Away at 4.50 with Casumo — returns £33.75
Cover: £2.50 on Draw at 4.00 with Betfred — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £23.75 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 57.8%), the full £10.00 is lost.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Confidence is the predicted probability of each outcome. Model enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-draw-v3-opening; data frozen-16d1269a0f064dcd4fbcf0223c8a79f89f488d5118d6cc99f572a621c08fa5eb; generated 23 Oct 2026 00:24 BST (UK time). Published as main-model-sofascore/three-fixture-identity-20261023-v1-db9de16f808cf68c.

Published main-model release

Release enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-draw-v3-opening · Feature schema eg2-s1-h2-draw-v3 · Forecast snapshot dd44d767363db0f2119503a8499fd005

Model code SHA-256: b31c10d9ed8b715a6089f72e402584000d731c62bd860d7f955da3d3fee8110d.

Statistics used by this prediction

These are the saved inputs that contribute to this forecast. Trailing zeroes are shortened for display; match and player counts are whole numbers. Arrows compare the original values; = means equal.

Overall team comparison

Based on which team has more green arrows in the statistics below; this is not the model prediction.

Home · Milton Keynes Dons ↑	Away · Bromley FC ↓

Team performance

Current season, recent form and home/away performance.

Home · Milton Keynes Dons		Away · Bromley FC
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
↑Current points per game	0.90	↓Current points per game	0.80
=Current matches	10	=Current matches	10
↑Current form points per game	1.00	↓Current form points per game	0.80
=Current form matches	5	=Current form matches	5
↑Current venue points per game	1.20	↓Current venue points per game	0.80
=Current venue matches	5	=Current venue matches	5
↑Current goals scored per game	1.10	↓Current goals scored per game	0.90
↓Current goals conceded per game	1.80	↑Current goals conceded per game	2.50
↓Current form goals scored per game	0.80	↑Current form goals scored per game	1.00
↓Current form goals conceded per game	1.80	↑Current form goals conceded per game	2.00
↓Current venue goals scored per game	1.00	↑Current venue goals scored per game	1.20
↓Current venue goals conceded per game	1.60	↑Current venue goals conceded per game	2.40

Player pool

Minutes-weighted player performance across the active squad.

Home · Milton Keynes Dons		Away · Bromley FC
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
↑Rating	6.788294960825	↓Rating	6.560933026117
↑Minutes-weighted prior minutes	576.01533355634	↓Minutes-weighted prior minutes	556.416911873066
↑Minutes-weighted prior appearances	7.842992952398	↓Minutes-weighted prior appearances	7.801437067996
↓Active pool players	22	↑Active pool players	26
↑Goals per 90	0.115669872171	↓Goals per 90	0.09491872578
↑Assists per 90	0.066013104731	↓Assists per 90	0.056937392419
↑Shots per 90	1.292902572298	↓Shots per 90	0.857883795816
↓Shots on target per 90	0.321891582167	↑Shots on target per 90	0.345728737381
↑Key passes per 90	0.762982852266	↓Key passes per 90	0.497988864924
↓Saves per 90	0.297562179482	↑Saves per 90	0.310689762656

Goalkeepers

Goalkeeper contribution used by the model.

Home · Milton Keynes Dons		Away · Bromley FC
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
Goalkeeper save proportion	0.590909090909	Goalkeeper save proportion	Missing
Goalkeeper rating	6.36	Goalkeeper rating	Missing

Team strength

Longer-term team-strength ratings and their evidence base.

Home · Milton Keynes Dons		Away · Bromley FC
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
↑Strength rating rating	1489.680870892891	↓Strength rating rating	1482.621232943918
↑Strength rating prior matches	290.00	↓Strength rating prior matches	102.00

Defensive pressure

How each side has limited shots, shots on target and key passes.

Home · Milton Keynes Dons		Away · Bromley FC
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
↓Shot suppression ratio	1.100400101217	↑Shot suppression ratio	1.256070552752
↓Shots on target suppression ratio	1.001597744361	↑Shots on target suppression ratio	1.274921814041
↓Keypass suppression ratio	1.191285438595	↑Keypass suppression ratio	1.352256240876

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