Hull City v Brentford

Premier League · Kickoff 25 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT (UK time)

Latest captured prices. Arrows compare with the first capture; tap an arrow to see it.

Prediction and market comparison

Premier League table · selected teams

Current saved standings · 2026/2027 · Updated 20 Oct 2026 02:21 BST

League standings for the two teams in this match
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Last 6
6	Brentford	7	2	4	1	5	10	Draw: DDraw: DDraw: DWin: WDraw: DLoss: L
9	Hull City	7	2	3	2	1	9	Win: WDraw: DDraw: DLoss: LDraw: DLoss: L

Last six league matches · newest on the right. W = win, D = draw, L = loss.

Predicted lineups

Predicted starting lineups — subject to change · Captured 23 Oct 2026 10:59 BST.

Hull City

Konstantinos Tzolakis 19 Goalkeeper
Ryan Giles 3 Left-back
Lucas Herrington 22 Centre-back
John Egan 15 Centre-back
Semi Ajayi 6 Centre-back
Lewie Coyle 2 Right-back
Sorba Thomas 7 Left midfielder
Regan Slater 27 Central midfielder
Matt Crooks 25 Central midfielder
Mohamed Belloumi 10 Right midfielder
Oliver McBurnie 9 Forward

Brentford

Caoimhín Kelleher 1 Goalkeeper
El Hadji Malick Diouf 12 Left-back
Jannik Schuster 44 Centre-back
Kristoffer Ajer 20 Centre-back
Michael Kayode 33 Right-back
Mathias Jensen 8 Defensive midfielder
Mamadou Sangaré 18 Defensive midfielder
Kevin Schade 7 Left attacking midfielder
Keane Lewis-Potter 23 Attacking midfielder
Jaidon Anthony 11 Right attacking midfielder
Igor Thiago 9 Forward

Reported player availability

Published team news can change. “Out” means the source reports that player unavailable; “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Hull City

Eliot Matazo — Out · Injured
Ilyas Ansah — Out · Injured
Darko Gyabi — Out · Injured
Matt Targett — Out · Injured
Charlie Hughes — Out · Injured
Nobel Mendy — Out · Injured
Robinio Vaz — Doubtful · Injured doubtful
Jack Butland — Doubtful · Injured doubtful
Lucas Gourna-Douath — Doubtful · Injured doubtful
Mohamed-Ali Cho — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

Brentford

Kaye Furo — Out · Injured
Josh Dasilva — Out · Injured
Vitaly Janelt — Out · Suspended
Yehor Yarmoliuk — Out · Suspended
Jannik Schuster — Doubtful · Injured doubtful
Antoni Milambo — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

We check for confirmed lineups from 70 minutes before kickoff.

Choose Home, Draw or Away below to make a virtual bet at the highest available captured price.

Bet	Model chances	Market estimate	Market Highest Odds
Home	29.3%	19.9% First captured 21.8% 18 Oct 15:22 BST	5.20 (≈4/1) First captured 4.50 (7/2) 18 Oct 15:22 BST Betfair Exchange, Matchbook, Smarkets
Draw	22.8%	23.9% First captured 24.3% 18 Oct 15:22 BST	4.20 (≈10/3) First captured 4.00 (3/1) 18 Oct 15:22 BST Betfair Exchange, Matchbook
Away	47.9%	56.2% First captured 53.9% 18 Oct 15:22 BST	1.75 (≈8/11) First captured 1.84 (≈5/6) 18 Oct 15:22 BST Betfair Exchange, Matchbook, Smarkets

Market estimate: average of 21 bookmaker price sets after proportional margin adjustment. It is an estimate, not the true chance.

Two-outcome de-riskingand Dutching options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 52.1%

Primary: £7.56 on Home at 5.00 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £37.80
Cover: £2.44 on Draw at 4.10 with Casumo — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £27.80 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 47.9%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £22.53 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 52.1%

Primary: £8.00 on Draw at 4.10 with Casumo — returns £32.80
Cover: £2.00 on Home at 5.00 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £22.80 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 47.9%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 77.2%

Primary: £4.21 on Home at 5.00 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £21.05
Cover: £5.79 on Away at 1.73 with Coral — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £11.05 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 22.8%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.85 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 77.2%

Primary: £8.00 on Away at 1.73 with Coral — returns £13.84
Cover: £2.00 on Home at 5.00 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £3.84 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 22.8%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 70.7%

Primary: £4.21 on Draw at 4.10 with Casumo — returns £17.26
Cover: £5.79 on Away at 1.73 with Coral — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £7.26 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 29.3%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.17 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 70.7%

Primary: £7.56 on Away at 1.73 with Coral — returns £13.08
Cover: £2.44 on Draw at 4.10 with Casumo — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £3.08 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 29.3%), the full £10.00 is lost.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Confidence is the predicted probability of each outcome. Model enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v6; data frozen-4e06e9f9c01247da76c90e1aaa3807d8bdc25eaf2385e7d821a3f6785cd003e5; generated 21 Oct 2026 22:47 BST (UK time). Published as main-model-sofascore/lineup-1983621-predicted-b352245d71ae-426de424abd819ba.

Published main-model release

Release enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v7-7af503b1 · Feature schema eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v6 · Forecast snapshot fcd557a17ed914c44560e156e2bc2cd6

Model code SHA-256: 7af503b1ded9529b0e00346d45c59eb0b12d7006213b5d01c7698f30e10f79ae.

Statistics used by this prediction

These are the saved inputs that contribute to this forecast. Trailing zeroes are shortened for display; match and player counts are whole numbers. Arrows compare the original values; = means equal.

Overall team comparison

Based on which team has more green arrows in the statistics below; this is not the model prediction.

Home · Hull City ↓	Away · Brentford ↑

Team performance

Current season, recent form and home/away performance.

Home · Hull City		Away · Brentford
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
↓Current points per game	1.285714285714	↑Current points per game	1.428571428571
=Current matches	7	=Current matches	7
↓Current form points per game	0.60	↑Current form points per game	1.20
=Current form matches	5	=Current form matches	5
↑Current venue points per game	1.666666666667	↓Current venue points per game	1.00
=Current venue matches	3	=Current venue matches	3
↓Current goals scored per game	1.142857142857	↑Current goals scored per game	1.857142857143
↓Current goals conceded per game	1.00	↑Current goals conceded per game	1.142857142857
↓Current form goals scored per game	1.00	↑Current form goals scored per game	1.80
=Current form goals conceded per game	1.40	=Current form goals conceded per game	1.40
↓Current venue goals scored per game	1.333333333333	↑Current venue goals scored per game	1.666666666667
↓Current venue goals conceded per game	0.666666666667	↑Current venue goals conceded per game	1.666666666667

Player pool

Minutes-weighted player performance across the active squad.

Home · Hull City		Away · Brentford
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
↓Rating	6.756013104062	↑Rating	6.903020366945
↓Minutes-weighted prior minutes	461.797729685159	↑Minutes-weighted prior minutes	467.265267135114
↓Minutes-weighted prior appearances	6.13536788814	↑Minutes-weighted prior appearances	6.473093418179
↑Active pool players	25	↓Active pool players	21
↓Goals per 90	0.032616649908	↑Goals per 90	0.137192175168
↑Assists per 90	0.11396042138	↓Assists per 90	0.09612981003
↓Shots per 90	0.652516952425	↑Shots per 90	1.396112582769
↓Shots on target per 90	0.258240796498	↑Shots on target per 90	0.384907509497
↓Key passes per 90	0.727664770048	↑Key passes per 90	1.045197557321
↑Saves per 90	0.40544189712	↓Saves per 90	0.381206368159

Goalkeepers

Goalkeeper contribution used by the model.

Home · Hull City		Away · Brentford
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
↓Goalkeeper save proportion	0.72	↑Goalkeeper save proportion	0.740740740741
↓Goalkeeper rating	6.62	↑Goalkeeper rating	6.92

Team strength

Longer-term team-strength ratings and their evidence base.

Home · Hull City		Away · Brentford
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
↓Strength rating rating	1562.315858681466	↑Strength rating rating	1648.96130822336
↑Strength rating prior matches	286.00	↓Strength rating prior matches	246.00

Defensive pressure

How each side has limited shots, shots on target and key passes.

Home · Hull City		Away · Brentford
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
↓Shot suppression ratio	1.047214366516	↑Shot suppression ratio	1.459381302218
↓Shots on target suppression ratio	1.407207029969	↑Shots on target suppression ratio	1.598214285714
↓Keypass suppression ratio	1.110820895522	↑Keypass suppression ratio	1.448072103335

Prices are from published captures. Virtual bets use your competition bankroll. Virtual balances have no cash value.