Liverpool v Brighton and Hove Albion

Premier League · Kickoff 25 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT (UK time)

Latest captured prices. Arrows compare with the first capture; tap an arrow to see it.

Prediction and market comparison

Premier League table · selected teams

Current saved standings · 2026/2027 · Updated 20 Oct 2026 02:21 BST

League standings for the two teams in this match
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Last 6
3	Brighton & Hove Albion	7	5	1	1	18	16	Loss: LDraw: DWin: WWin: WWin: WWin: W
5	Liverpool	7	3	3	1	1	12	Draw: DWin: WDraw: DWin: WLoss: LWin: W

Last six league matches · newest on the right. W = win, D = draw, L = loss.

Predicted lineups

Predicted starting lineups — subject to change · Captured 23 Oct 2026 10:59 BST.

Liverpool

Alisson Becker 1 Goalkeeper
Milos Kerkez 6 Left-back
Virgil van Dijk 4 Centre-back
Jérémy Jacquet 5 Centre-back
Ronald Araujo 33 Right-back
Alexis Mac Allister 10 Defensive midfielder
Ryan Gravenberch 38 Defensive midfielder
Cody Gakpo 18 Left attacking midfielder
Florian Wirtz 7 Attacking midfielder
Bradley Barcola 29 Right attacking midfielder
Alexander Isak 9 Forward

Brighton and Hove Albion

Bart Verbruggen 1 Goalkeeper
Olivier Boscagli 21 Left-back
Lewis Dunk 5 Centre-back
Luka Vuskovic 16 Centre-back
Ferdi Kadioglu 24 Right-back
Chema Andrés 14 Defensive midfielder
Pascal Groß 13 Defensive midfielder
Maxim De Cuyper 29 Left attacking midfielder
Yasin Ayari 26 Attacking midfielder
Diego Gómez 25 Right attacking midfielder
Charalampos Kostoulas 19 Forward

Reported player availability

Published team news can change. “Out” means the source reports that player unavailable; “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Liverpool

Hugo Ekitiké — Out · Injured
Giovanni Leoni — Out · Injured
Conor Bradley — Out · Injured
Jeremie Frimpong — Out · Injured
Dominik Szoboszlai — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

Brighton and Hove Albion

Kaoru Mitoma — Out · Injured
Stefanos Tzimas — Out · Injured
Evan Ferguson — Out · Injured
Yankuba Minteh — Out · Injured
Mats Wieffer — Out · Injured
Zadok Yohanna — Out · Injured

We check for confirmed lineups from 70 minutes before kickoff.

Choose Home, Draw or Away below to make a virtual bet at the highest available captured price.

Bet	Model chances	Market estimate	Market Highest Odds
Home	37.2%	45.2% First captured 46.0% 18 Oct 15:22 BST	2.16 (≈6/5) First captured 2.18 (≈6/5) 18 Oct 15:22 BST Betfair Exchange, Matchbook, Smarkets
Draw	24.3%	24.9% First captured 24.6% 18 Oct 15:22 BST	4.00 (3/1) Betfair Exchange, Betfred, Matchbook, Smarkets
Away	38.4%	29.9% First captured 29.4% 18 Oct 15:22 BST	3.35 (≈23/10) Betfair Exchange, Matchbook

Market estimate: average of 21 bookmaker price sets after proportional margin adjustment. It is an estimate, not the true chance.

Two-outcome de-riskingand Dutching options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 61.6%

Primary: £7.50 on Home at 2.15 with Unibet — returns £16.13
Cover: £2.50 on Draw at 4.00 with Betfred — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £6.13 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 38.4%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.98 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 61.6%

Primary: £5.34 on Draw at 4.00 with Betfred — returns £21.36
Cover: £4.66 on Home at 2.15 with Unibet — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £11.36 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 38.4%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 75.7%

Primary: £6.92 on Home at 2.15 with Unibet — returns £14.88
Cover: £3.08 on Away at 3.25 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £4.88 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 24.3%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.94 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 75.7%

Primary: £5.34 on Away at 3.25 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £17.36
Cover: £4.66 on Home at 2.15 with Unibet — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £7.36 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 24.3%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 62.8%

Primary: £6.92 on Draw at 4.00 with Betfred — returns £27.68
Cover: £3.08 on Away at 3.25 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £17.68 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 37.2%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £17.93 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 62.8%

Primary: £7.50 on Away at 3.25 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £24.38
Cover: £2.50 on Draw at 4.00 with Betfred — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £14.38 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 37.2%), the full £10.00 is lost.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Confidence is the predicted probability of each outcome. Model enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v7; data frozen-7b81bf5f95ca0e3ab8afe4dbf54831be508b882bef0bc025df7a751b9162ba1e; generated 22 Oct 2026 17:23 BST (UK time). Published as main-model-sofascore/lineup-1983623-predicted-084eee1f6d9b-1771c0a03db9968a.

Published main-model release

Release enhanced-eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v7 · Feature schema eg2-s1-h2-whoscored-lineup-blend-draw-v6 · Forecast snapshot 9ba66b43b4f896d15cbace4298c164d2

Model code SHA-256: 5129d61caf26db60e08c6ca1de0d90ba9265bd32610c59ad61ecdeb513de7237.

Statistics used by this prediction

These are the saved inputs that contribute to this forecast. Trailing zeroes are shortened for display; match and player counts are whole numbers. Arrows compare the original values; = means equal.

Overall team comparison

Based on which team has more green arrows in the statistics below; this is not the model prediction.

Home · Liverpool ↓	Away · Brighton and Hove Albion ↑

Team performance

Current season, recent form and home/away performance.

Home · Liverpool		Away · Brighton and Hove Albion
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
↓Current points per game	1.714285714286	↑Current points per game	2.166666666667
↑Current matches	7	↓Current matches	6
=Current form points per game	2.00	=Current form points per game	2.00
=Current form matches	5	=Current form matches	5
↓Current venue points per game	0.666666666667	↑Current venue points per game	2.00
=Current venue matches	3	=Current venue matches	3
↓Current goals scored per game	1.285714285714	↑Current goals scored per game	3.00
↑Current goals conceded per game	1.142857142857	↓Current goals conceded per game	0.833333333333
↓Current form goals scored per game	1.00	↑Current form goals scored per game	2.80
↓Current form goals conceded per game	0.80	↑Current form goals conceded per game	1.00
↓Current venue goals scored per game	0.666666666667	↑Current venue goals scored per game	3.333333333333
↑Current venue goals conceded per game	1.666666666667	↓Current venue goals conceded per game	1.333333333333

Player pool

Minutes-weighted player performance across the active squad.

Home · Liverpool		Away · Brighton and Hove Albion
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
↓Rating	7.026298023966	↑Rating	7.236951102716
↑Minutes-weighted prior minutes	470.431000359487	↓Minutes-weighted prior minutes	422.428114491791
↑Minutes-weighted prior appearances	6.404349828193	↓Minutes-weighted prior appearances	5.362894913616
↓Active pool players	20	↑Active pool players	23
↓Goals per 90	0.113896414963	↑Goals per 90	0.175151113754
↓Assists per 90	0.118998477014	↑Assists per 90	0.177948600297
↓Shots per 90	1.283613595551	↑Shots per 90	1.43636083866
↓Shots on target per 90	0.435568283188	↑Shots on target per 90	0.456175059327
↑Key passes per 90	1.017217143234	↓Key passes per 90	0.978433476404
↓Saves per 90	0.235504746535	↑Saves per 90	0.265095645125

Goalkeepers

Goalkeeper contribution used by the model.

Home · Liverpool		Away · Brighton and Hove Albion
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
=Goalkeeper save proportion	0.75	=Goalkeeper save proportion	0.75
↓Goalkeeper rating	7.30	↑Goalkeeper rating	7.72

Team strength

Longer-term team-strength ratings and their evidence base.

Home · Liverpool		Away · Brighton and Hove Albion
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
↑Strength rating rating	1734.912103473155	↓Strength rating rating	1683.83966302099
↑Strength rating prior matches	311.00	↓Strength rating prior matches	310.00

Defensive pressure

How each side has limited shots, shots on target and key passes.

Home · Liverpool		Away · Brighton and Hove Albion
Statistic	Value	Statistic	Value
↓Shot suppression ratio	0.736172403841	↑Shot suppression ratio	1.09315375982
↓Shots on target suppression ratio	0.62962962963	↑Shots on target suppression ratio	1.178354978355
↓Keypass suppression ratio	0.816538750207	↑Keypass suppression ratio	1.128304319794

Prices are from published captures. Virtual bets use your competition bankroll. Virtual balances have no cash value.