← Model Top Picks

Chelsea v Tottenham Hotspur

Premier League · Kickoff 24 Oct 2026 17:30 BST
League table · home team first
#TeamPWDLGDPtsLast 6
4Chelsea7412413Win: WLoss: LDraw: DLoss: LWin: WWin: W
16Tottenham Hotspur7133-46Loss: LDraw: DDraw: DLoss: LDraw: DWin: W

Team-data forecast · player stats pending. Chances will update when the data arrives.

Model Chances

Home61.4%
Draw24.7%
Away13.9%

Market Estimate

Home55.2%
First captured 51.9%
17 Oct 21:15 BST
Draw22.8%
First captured 24.0%
17 Oct 21:15 BST
Away21.9%
First captured 24.1%
17 Oct 21:15 BST

Lowest Odds

Home1.64 (≈8/13)
First captured 1.75 (≈8/11)
17 Oct 21:15 BST
LiveScore Bet
Draw4.00 (3/1)
First captured 3.75 (11/4)
17 Oct 21:15 BST
LeoVegas, LiveScore Bet, Paddy Power, Sky Bet, 888sport, Virgin Bet, William Hill
Away4.00 (3/1)
First captured 3.60 (13/5)
17 Oct 21:15 BST
Betway

Highest Odds

Home1.77 (≈4/5)
First captured 1.88 (≈10/11)
17 Oct 21:15 BST
Betfair Exchange, Matchbook, Smarkets
Draw4.30 (≈10/3)
First captured 4.20 (≈10/3)
17 Oct 21:15 BST
Betfair Exchange, Matchbook, Smarkets
Away4.70 (≈7/2)
First captured 4.30 (≈10/3)
17 Oct 21:15 BST
Betfair Exchange, Matchbook, Smarkets

Bet

Home
Draw
Away
Bet Strategy options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 86.1%

  • Primary: £7.61 on Home at 1.75 with Unibet — returns £13.32
  • Cover: £2.39 on Draw at 4.20 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.04

The primary outcome makes £3.32 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.04. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 13.9%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.35 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 86.1%

  • Primary: £4.28 on Draw at 4.20 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £17.98
  • Cover: £5.72 on Home at 1.75 with Unibet — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £7.98 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 13.9%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.35 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 75.3%

  • Primary: £7.72 on Home at 1.75 with Unibet — returns £13.51
  • Cover: £2.28 on Away at 4.40 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.03

The primary outcome makes £3.51 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.03. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 24.7%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.52 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 75.3%

  • Primary: £4.28 on Away at 4.40 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £18.83
  • Cover: £5.72 on Home at 1.75 with Unibet — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £8.83 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 24.7%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.52 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 38.6%

  • Primary: £7.72 on Draw at 4.20 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £32.42
  • Cover: £2.28 on Away at 4.40 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.03

The primary outcome makes £22.42 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.03. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 61.4%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £21.49 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 38.6%

  • Primary: £7.61 on Away at 4.40 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £33.48
  • Cover: £2.39 on Draw at 4.20 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.04

The primary outcome makes £23.48 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.04. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 61.4%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £21.49 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Predicted lineups

Chelsea

  1. Mike Penders 39 Goalkeeper
  2. Levi Colwill 6 Centre-back
  3. Maxence Lacroix 5 Centre-back
  4. Josh Acheampong 34 Centre-back
  5. Jorrel Hato 21 Left wing-back
  6. Moisés Caicedo 25 Central midfielder
  7. Jordan Henderson 6 Central midfielder
  8. Pedro Neto 7 Right wing-back
  9. Morgan Rogers 27 Left forward
  10. João Pedro 9 Forward
  11. Cole Palmer 10 Right forward

Tottenham Hotspur

  1. Antonín Kinsky 31 Goalkeeper
  2. Destiny Udogie 13 Left-back
  3. Micky van de Ven 37 Centre-back
  4. Jan Paul van Hecke 6 Centre-back
  5. Pedro Porro 23 Right-back
  6. Mateus Fernandes 18 Defensive midfielder
  7. Sandro Tonali 8 Defensive midfielder
  8. Omar Marmoush 7 Left attacking midfielder
  9. James Maddison 10 Attacking midfielder
  10. Mohammed Kudus 20 Right attacking midfielder
  11. Dominic Solanke 19 Forward

Player availability

Reported team news can change. “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Chelsea

  • Emiliano Martínez — Out · Injured
  • Jamie Gittens — Doubtful · Injured doubtful
  • Reece James — Doubtful · Injured doubtful
  • Pep Chavarría — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

Tottenham Hotspur

  • Sávio — Out · Injured
  • Wilson Odobert — Out · Injured
  • Xavi Simons — Out · Injured
  • Mykhailo Mudryk — Out · Injured
  • Lucas Bergvall — Out · Injured
  • Rodrigo Bentancur — Out · Suspended
  • Richarlison — Out · Ineligible
  • Destiny Udogie — Doubtful · Injured doubtful
  • Pedro Porro — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

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