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Stevenage v Milton Keynes Dons

League 1 · Kickoff 24 Oct 2026 15:00 BST
League table · home team first
#TeamPWDLGDPtsLast 6
9Stevenage10433515WWLWLW
20MK Dons10163-79DDDLWL

Team-data forecast · player stats pending. Chances will update when the data arrives.

Model Chances

Home49.4%
Draw26.0%
Away24.6%

Market Estimate

Home46.9%
First captured 39.6%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Draw28.0%
First captured 29.0%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Away25.1%
First captured 31.4%
17 Oct 20:46 BST

Lowest Odds

Home1.85 (≈5/6)
First captured 1.10 (1/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Grosvenor, Virgin Bet
Draw3.10 (21/10)
First captured 1.10 (1/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
888sport, William Hill
Away3.45 (≈12/5)
First captured 1.10 (1/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
LeoVegas

Highest Odds

Home2.10 (11/10)
First captured 2.35 (≈11/8)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Betfair Exchange, Matchbook
Draw3.55 (≈5/2)
First captured 3.30 (23/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Matchbook
Away4.10 (≈3/1)
First captured 3.05 (≈2/1)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Matchbook

Bet

Home
Draw
Away
Explore statisticsBookmaker odds
Bet Strategy options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 75.4%

  • Primary: £7.10 on Home at 2.05 with Coral — returns £14.56
  • Cover: £2.90 on Draw at 3.45 with Casumo — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £4.56 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 24.6%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.86 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 75.4%

  • Primary: £5.12 on Draw at 3.45 with Casumo — returns £17.66
  • Cover: £4.88 on Home at 2.05 with Coral — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £7.66 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 24.6%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.86 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 74.0%

  • Primary: £7.43 on Home at 2.05 with Coral — returns £15.23
  • Cover: £2.57 on Away at 3.90 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £5.23 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 26.0%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.44 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 74.0%

  • Primary: £5.12 on Away at 3.90 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £19.97
  • Cover: £4.88 on Home at 2.05 with Coral — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £9.97 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 26.0%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.44 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 50.6%

  • Primary: £7.43 on Draw at 3.45 with Casumo — returns £25.63
  • Cover: £2.57 on Away at 3.90 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £15.63 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 49.4%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £18.31 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 50.6%

  • Primary: £7.10 on Away at 3.90 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £27.69
  • Cover: £2.90 on Draw at 3.45 with Casumo — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £17.69 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 49.4%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £18.31 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Predicted lineups

Stevenage

  1. Tommy Setford 35 Goalkeeper
  2. Saxon Earley 14 Left-back
  3. Carl Piergianni 5 Centre-back
  4. Terence Vancooten 5 Centre-back
  5. Luther James-Wildin 2 Right-back
  6. Ben Broggio 62 Left midfielder
  7. Daniel Phillips 8 Central midfielder
  8. Phoenix Patterson 44 Central midfielder
  9. Oliver Sanderson 18 Right midfielder
  10. Dan Kemp 10 Attacking midfielder
  11. Josh Magennis 27 Forward

Milton Keynes Dons

  1. Will Dennis 40 Goalkeeper
  2. Jack Sanders 32 Centre-back
  3. Marvin Ekpiteta 21 Centre-back
  4. Charlie Goode 15 Centre-back
  5. Elijah Campbell 27 Left wing-back
  6. Ryan Wintle 6 Central midfielder
  7. Alex Gilbey 8 Central midfielder
  8. Ben Wiles 26 Central midfielder
  9. Sam Silvera 22 Right wing-back
  10. Sam Nombe 10 Forward
  11. Aaron Collins 10 Forward

Player availability

Reported team news can change. “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Stevenage

  • Jasper Pattenden — Out · Injured
  • Jordan Roberts — Out · Injured
  • Wanya Marçal — Out · Injured
  • Louis Thompson — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

Milton Keynes Dons

  • Kane Wilson — Out · Injured
  • Rushian Hepburn-Murphy — Out · Injured
  • Callum Paterson — Out · Injured
  • Craig MacGillivray — Out · Injured
  • Ryan Barnett — Out · Injured

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