← Model Top Picks

Rochdale v Accrington Stanley

League 2 · Kickoff 24 Oct 2026 15:00 BST
League table · home team first
#TeamPWDLGDPtsLast 6
14Rochdale12435-215Win: WWin: WWin: WDraw: DLoss: LDraw: D
11Accrington Stanley12363115Draw: DDraw: DWin: WDraw: DWin: WDraw: D

Team-data forecast · player stats pending. Chances will update when the data arrives.

Model Chances

Home49.3%
Draw28.7%
Away22.0%

Market Estimate

Home37.4%
First captured 39.0%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Draw27.9%
First captured 28.7%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Away34.7%
First captured 32.4%
17 Oct 20:46 BST

Lowest Odds

Home2.38 (≈11/8)
First captured 1.10 (1/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
LiveScore Bet
Draw3.20 (11/5)
First captured 1.10 (1/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Grosvenor, LiveScore Bet, 888sport
Away2.60 (8/5)
First captured 1.10 (1/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
BoyleSports, Casumo, Grosvenor, LiveScore Bet

Highest Odds

Home2.60 (8/5)
First captured 2.38 (≈11/8)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Matchbook
Draw3.50 (5/2)
First captured 3.40 (12/5)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Betfair Sportsbook
Away2.82 (≈9/5)
First captured 2.88 (≈15/8)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Betfair Exchange, Matchbook

Bet

Home
Draw
Away
Bet Strategy options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 78.0%

  • Primary: £7.14 on Home at 2.55 with Betano — returns £18.21
  • Cover: £2.86 on Draw at 3.50 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £8.21 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 22.0%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £14.75 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 78.0%

  • Primary: £6.07 on Draw at 3.50 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £21.25
  • Cover: £3.93 on Home at 2.55 with Betano — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £11.25 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 22.0%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £14.75 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 71.3%

  • Primary: £6.36 on Home at 2.55 with Betano — returns £16.22
  • Cover: £3.64 on Away at 2.75 with Coral — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £6.22 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 28.7%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.23 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 71.3%

  • Primary: £6.07 on Away at 2.75 with Coral — returns £16.69
  • Cover: £3.93 on Home at 2.55 with Betano — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £6.69 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 28.7%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.23 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 50.7%

  • Primary: £6.36 on Draw at 3.50 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £22.26
  • Cover: £3.64 on Away at 2.75 with Coral — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £12.26 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 49.3%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £15.40 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 50.7%

  • Primary: £7.14 on Away at 2.75 with Coral — returns £19.64
  • Cover: £2.86 on Draw at 3.50 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £9.64 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 49.3%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £15.40 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Predicted lineups

Rochdale

  1. Sam Waller 33 Goalkeeper
  2. Charlie Tasker 47 Left-back
  3. Kaiden Wilson 3 Centre-back
  4. Aden Flint 4 Centre-back
  5. Sam Sherring 24 Right-back
  6. Harvey Gilmour 8 Defensive midfielder
  7. Baba Adeeko 16 Defensive midfielder
  8. Glenn Middleton 17 Left attacking midfielder
  9. Ed Francis 8 Attacking midfielder
  10. Dajaune Brown 39 Right attacking midfielder
  11. Ian Henderson 40 Forward

Accrington Stanley

  1. Louie Moulden 31 Goalkeeper
  2. Joe Anderson 22 Centre-back
  3. Devon Matthews 17 Centre-back
  4. Donald Love 2 Centre-back
  5. David Tutonda 33 Left wing-back
  6. Josh Woods 39 Central midfielder
  7. Stefan Mols 14 Central midfielder
  8. Aidan Borland 25 Central midfielder
  9. Connor O'Brien 38 Right wing-back
  10. Charlie Warren 24 Forward
  11. Tyler Walton 23 Forward

Player availability

Reported team news can change. “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Rochdale

  • Jonny Smith — Out · Injured
  • Will Jenkins — Out · Injured
  • Casey Pettit — Out · Injured
  • Ryan East — Out · Injured
  • Ethan Ebanks-Landell — Out · Injured
  • Dan Moss — Out · Injured
  • Laurence Maguire — Out · Injured
  • Bryant Bilongo — Out · Injured
  • Devante Rodney — Out · Injured
  • Emmanuel Dieseruvwe — Out · Injured
  • Nils Ramming — Out · Injured
  • Tobi Adebayo-Rowling — Doubtful · Injured doubtful
  • Kane Taylor — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

Accrington Stanley

  • Isaac Sinclair — Out · Injured
  • Freddie Sass — Out · Injured
  • Charlie Caton — Out · Injured
  • Farrend Rawson — Out · Injured
  • Shaun Whalley — Out · Injured
  • Séamus Conneely — Doubtful · Injured doubtful
  • Alex Henderson — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

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