← Model Top Picks

Cheltenham Town v Newport County

League 2 · Kickoff 24 Oct 2026 12:30 BST
League table · home team first
#TeamPWDLGDPtsLast 6
5Cheltenham Town12534-118Draw: DWin: WLoss: LLoss: LLoss: LWin: W
12Newport County12363115Draw: DWin: WDraw: DWin: WDraw: DDraw: D

Team-data forecast · player stats pending. Chances will update when the data arrives.

Model Chances

Home46.9%
Draw28.9%
Away24.2%

Market Estimate

Home37.7%
First captured 39.6%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Draw27.4%
First captured 28.5%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Away34.9%
First captured 31.9%
17 Oct 20:46 BST

Lowest Odds

Home2.25 (5/4)
First captured 1.10 (1/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Grosvenor, LiveScore Bet
Draw3.20 (11/5)
First captured 1.10 (1/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
888sport, William Hill
Away2.50 (6/4)
First captured 1.10 (1/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
BoyleSports

Highest Odds

Home2.64 (≈13/8)
First captured 2.30 (13/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Matchbook, Smarkets
Draw3.60 (13/5)
First captured 3.40 (12/5)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Sky Bet
Away2.80 (9/5)
First captured 2.95 (≈19/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Betfair Exchange, Matchbook, Smarkets, Virgin Bet

Bet

Home
Draw
Away
Bet Strategy options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 75.8%

  • Primary: £7.22 on Home at 2.60 with Coral — returns £18.77
  • Cover: £2.78 on Draw at 3.60 with Sky Bet — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £8.77 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 24.2%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £15.10 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 75.8%

  • Primary: £6.15 on Draw at 3.60 with Sky Bet — returns £22.14
  • Cover: £3.85 on Home at 2.60 with Coral — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £12.14 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 24.2%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £15.10 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 71.1%

  • Primary: £6.42 on Home at 2.60 with Coral — returns £16.69
  • Cover: £3.58 on Away at 2.80 with Virgin Bet — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £6.69 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 28.9%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.48 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 71.1%

  • Primary: £6.15 on Away at 2.80 with Virgin Bet — returns £17.22
  • Cover: £3.85 on Home at 2.60 with Coral — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £7.22 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 28.9%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.48 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 53.1%

  • Primary: £6.42 on Draw at 3.60 with Sky Bet — returns £23.11
  • Cover: £3.58 on Away at 2.80 with Virgin Bet — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £13.11 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 46.9%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £15.75 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 53.1%

  • Primary: £7.22 on Away at 2.80 with Virgin Bet — returns £20.22
  • Cover: £2.78 on Draw at 3.60 with Sky Bet — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £10.22 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 46.9%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £15.75 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Predicted lineups

Cheltenham Town

  1. Wyll Stanway 1 Goalkeeper
  2. Jordan Shipley 26 Left-back
  3. James Wilson 6 Centre-back
  4. Pierce Sweeney 26 Centre-back
  5. Jonathan Tomkinson 3 Right-back
  6. Ben Stevenson 7 Defensive midfielder
  7. Kirsten Otchere 9 Left midfielder
  8. Freddy Willcox 33 Central midfielder
  9. Charlie McCann 14 Central midfielder
  10. Jake Evans 65 Right midfielder
  11. Andreas Weimann 14 Forward

Newport County

  1. Jordan Wright 1 Goalkeeper
  2. Joe Thomas 12 Centre-back
  3. Kyle Cameron 6 Centre-back
  4. Lee Jenkins 5 Centre-back
  5. Alfie Merritt Left wing-back
  6. Ciarán Brennan 6 Central midfielder
  7. Matt Smith 8 Central midfielder
  8. Cameron Norman 2 Right wing-back
  9. Harrison Biggins 10 Left forward
  10. Kion Etete Forward
  11. Michael Adu-Poku 48 Right forward

Player availability

Reported team news can change. “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Cheltenham Town

  • Favour Onukwuli — Out · Injured
  • Mark Barber — Out · Injured
  • Harry Tustin — Out · Injured
  • Joe Day — Out · Injured
  • Joe Tomlinson — Out · Injured

Newport County

  • James Crole — Out · Injured
  • Harrison Pugh — Out · Injured
  • Christian Doidge — Out · Injured
  • Shaquille Gwengwe — Out · Suspended
  • Matty Jacob — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

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