← Model Top Picks

Burton Albion v Leyton Orient

League 1 · Kickoff 24 Oct 2026 15:00 BST
League table · home team first
#TeamPWDLGDPtsLast 6
14Burton Albion12354-214Draw: DWin: WLoss: LLoss: LDraw: DDraw: D
12Leyton Orient11425314Loss: LWin: WLoss: LDraw: DWin: WLoss: L

Team-data forecast · player stats pending. Chances will update when the data arrives.

Model Chances

Home35.4%
Draw26.5%
Away38.2%

Market Estimate

Home36.5%
First captured 37.4%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Draw27.9%
First captured 28.2%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Away35.6%
First captured 34.5%
17 Oct 20:46 BST

Lowest Odds

Home2.43 (≈7/5)
First captured 1.10 (1/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Grosvenor, Virgin Bet
Draw3.10 (21/10)
First captured 1.10 (1/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
888sport, William Hill
Away2.50 (6/4)
First captured 1.10 (1/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Betfred, BoyleSports, Paddy Power, Sky Bet

Highest Odds

Home2.70 (17/10)
First captured 2.60 (8/5)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Betfair Exchange, Matchbook
Draw3.50 (5/2)
First captured 3.40 (12/5)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Betfair Sportsbook, Paddy Power, Smarkets
Away2.80 (9/5)
First captured 2.85 (≈15/8)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Betfair Exchange, Matchbook

Bet

Home
Draw
Away
Bet Strategy options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 61.8%

  • Primary: £7.14 on Home at 2.63 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £18.78
  • Cover: £2.86 on Draw at 3.50 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £8.78 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 38.2%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £15.02 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 61.8%

  • Primary: £6.19 on Draw at 3.50 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £21.67
  • Cover: £3.81 on Home at 2.63 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £11.67 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 38.2%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £15.02 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 73.5%

  • Primary: £6.29 on Home at 2.63 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £16.54
  • Cover: £3.71 on Away at 2.70 with Casumo — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £6.54 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 26.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.32 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 73.5%

  • Primary: £6.19 on Away at 2.70 with Casumo — returns £16.71
  • Cover: £3.81 on Home at 2.63 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £6.71 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 26.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.32 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 64.6%

  • Primary: £6.29 on Draw at 3.50 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £22.02
  • Cover: £3.71 on Away at 2.70 with Casumo — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £12.02 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 35.4%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £15.24 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 64.6%

  • Primary: £7.14 on Away at 2.70 with Casumo — returns £19.28
  • Cover: £2.86 on Draw at 3.50 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £9.28 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 35.4%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £15.24 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Predicted lineups

Burton Albion

  1. Corey Addai 34 Goalkeeper
  2. Jason Sraha 20 Centre-back
  3. Toby Sibbick 6 Centre-back
  4. Curtis Tilt 26 Centre-back
  5. Harvey Araujo 24 Left wing-back
  6. Will Collar 18 Central midfielder
  7. Kgaogelo Chauke 4 Central midfielder
  8. Raphael Borges Rodrigues 17 Right wing-back
  9. Caylan Vickers 7 Attacking midfielder
  10. Charlie Webster 8 Attacking midfielder
  11. Gbemi Arubi 9 Forward

Leyton Orient

  1. Nathan Baxter 12 Goalkeeper
  2. Alfie Gilchrist 14 Centre-back
  3. Will Forrester 6 Centre-back
  4. Phillip Chinedu 22 Centre-back
  5. James Morris 3 Left wing-back
  6. Alex Gilbert 14 Central midfielder
  7. Idris El Mizouni 8 Central midfielder
  8. Fin Stevens 2 Right wing-back
  9. Yusuf Akhamrich 10 Attacking midfielder
  10. Dane Scarlett 44 Attacking midfielder
  11. Jaze Kabia 9 Forward

Player availability

Reported team news can change. “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Burton Albion

  • Tomas Kalinauskas — Out · Injured
  • Finn Delap — Out · Injured
  • Sulyman Krubally — Out · Suspended
  • George Evans — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

Leyton Orient

  • Somto Boniface — Out · Injured
  • Demetri Mitchell — Out · Injured
  • Oliver Dovin — Out · Injured
  • Joseph Olowu — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

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