← Model Top Picks

Northampton Town v Colchester United

League 2 · Kickoff 24 Oct 2026 12:30 BST
League table · home team first
#TeamPWDLGDPtsLast 6
23Northampton Town10244-210Win: WLoss: LLoss: LDraw: DWin: WLoss: L
19Colchester United11263-312Draw: DDraw: DDraw: DLoss: LDraw: DDraw: D

Team-data forecast · player stats pending. Chances will update when the data arrives.

Model Chances

Home51.8%
Draw27.5%
Away20.7%

Market Estimate

Home46.4%
First captured 43.0%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Draw28.2%
First captured 29.1%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Away25.4%
First captured 27.9%
17 Oct 20:46 BST

Lowest Odds

Home1.95 (≈10/11)
First captured 1.10 (1/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
BoyleSports, Grosvenor, LiveScore Bet, Sky Bet
Draw3.20 (11/5)
First captured 1.10 (1/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
LiveScore Bet, 888sport, William Hill
Away3.35 (≈23/10)
First captured 1.10 (1/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
LiveScore Bet

Highest Odds

Home2.08 (≈11/10)
First captured 2.10 (11/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Matchbook, Smarkets
Draw3.50 (5/2)
First captured 3.35 (≈23/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Sky Bet
Away4.10 (≈3/1)
First captured 3.40 (12/5)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Betfair Exchange, Matchbook, Smarkets

Bet

Home
Draw
Away
Bet Strategy options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 79.3%

  • Primary: £7.14 on Home at 2.05 with Coral — returns £14.64
  • Cover: £2.86 on Draw at 3.50 with Sky Bet — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £4.64 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 20.7%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.93 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 79.3%

  • Primary: £5.12 on Draw at 3.50 with Sky Bet — returns £17.92
  • Cover: £4.88 on Home at 2.05 with Coral — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £7.92 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 20.7%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.93 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 72.5%

  • Primary: £7.36 on Home at 2.05 with Coral — returns £15.09
  • Cover: £2.64 on Away at 3.80 with Betano — returns £10.03

The primary outcome makes £5.09 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.03. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 27.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.32 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 72.5%

  • Primary: £5.12 on Away at 3.80 with Betano — returns £19.46
  • Cover: £4.88 on Home at 2.05 with Coral — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £9.46 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 27.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.32 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 48.2%

  • Primary: £7.36 on Draw at 3.50 with Sky Bet — returns £25.76
  • Cover: £2.64 on Away at 3.80 with Betano — returns £10.03

The primary outcome makes £15.76 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.03. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 51.8%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £18.22 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 48.2%

  • Primary: £7.14 on Away at 3.80 with Betano — returns £27.13
  • Cover: £2.86 on Draw at 3.50 with Sky Bet — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £17.13 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 51.8%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £18.22 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Predicted lineups

Northampton Town

  1. Zach Jeacock 13 Goalkeeper
  2. Jon Guthrie 5 Centre-back
  3. Elliott Moore 6 Centre-back
  4. Janoi Donacien 44 Centre-back
  5. James Maxwell 3 Left wing-back
  6. Joe O'Brien-Whitmarsh 37 Central midfielder
  7. Lee Evans 8 Central midfielder
  8. Joe Wormleighton 16 Right wing-back
  9. Connor Lemonheigh-Evans 24 Attacking midfielder
  10. Owen Dale 35 Attacking midfielder
  11. Matty Warhurst 9 Forward

Colchester United

  1. Thimothée Lo-Tutala 29 Goalkeeper
  2. Ellis Iandolo 3 Left-back
  3. Frankie Terry 24 Centre-back
  4. Jack Tucker 5 Centre-back
  5. Kane Vincent-Young 30 Right-back
  6. Jay Williams 26 Defensive midfielder
  7. Paul Digby 6 Defensive midfielder
  8. Jaden Williams 17 Left attacking midfielder
  9. Ben Perry Attacking midfielder
  10. Moses Sesay 47 Right attacking midfielder
  11. Bradley Ihionvien 9 Forward

Player availability

Reported team news can change. “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Northampton Town

  • Liam Shaw — Out · Injured
  • Jack Burroughs — Out · Injured
  • Jack Perkins — Out · Injured

Colchester United

  • Teddy Bishop — Out · Injured
  • Jake Leake — Out · Injured
  • Kylian Kouassi — Out · Injured
  • Jack Payne — Out · Injured
  • Harry Anderson — Out · Injured
  • Tom Smith — Out · Injured

Log in

Open login page · Create an account