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Bristol Rovers v Swindon Town

League 2 · Kickoff 24 Oct 2026 12:30 BST
League table · home team first
#TeamPWDLGDPtsLast 6
16Bristol Rovers12507-415Loss: LWin: WLoss: LLoss: LLoss: LLoss: L
15Swindon Town12435-315Loss: LDraw: DLoss: LLoss: LDraw: DWin: W

Team-data forecast · player stats pending. Chances will update when the data arrives.

Model Chances

Home51.8%
Draw28.2%
Away20.0%

Market Estimate

Home58.8%
First captured 55.2%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Draw22.5%
First captured 24.7%
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Away18.8%
First captured 20.1%
17 Oct 20:46 BST

Lowest Odds

Home1.53 (≈8/15)
First captured 1.10 (1/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
BoyleSports
Draw3.85 (≈14/5)
First captured 1.10 (1/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Casumo, Grosvenor, LiveScore Bet
Away4.50 (7/2)
First captured 1.10 (1/10)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Grosvenor, LiveScore Bet

Highest Odds

Home1.66 (≈4/6)
First captured 1.62 (≈8/13)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Matchbook
Draw4.50 (7/2)
First captured 4.00 (3/1)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Sky Bet
Away5.50 (9/2)
First captured 5.25 (≈4/1)
17 Oct 20:46 BST
Betano, Bet Victor

Bet

Home
Draw
Away
Bet Strategy options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 80.0%

  • Primary: £7.77 on Home at 1.64 with Virgin Bet — returns £12.74
  • Cover: £2.23 on Draw at 4.50 with Sky Bet — returns £10.04

The primary outcome makes £2.74 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.04. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 20.0%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.02 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 80.0%

  • Primary: £3.90 on Draw at 4.50 with Sky Bet — returns £17.55
  • Cover: £6.10 on Home at 1.64 with Virgin Bet — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £7.55 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 20.0%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.02 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 71.8%

  • Primary: £8.18 on Home at 1.64 with Virgin Bet — returns £13.42
  • Cover: £1.82 on Away at 5.50 with Betano — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £3.42 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 28.2%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.63 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 71.8%

  • Primary: £3.90 on Away at 5.50 with Betano — returns £21.45
  • Cover: £6.10 on Home at 1.64 with Virgin Bet — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £11.45 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 28.2%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.63 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 48.2%

  • Primary: £8.18 on Draw at 4.50 with Sky Bet — returns £36.81
  • Cover: £1.82 on Away at 5.50 with Betano — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £26.81 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 51.8%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £24.75 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 48.2%

  • Primary: £7.77 on Away at 5.50 with Betano — returns £42.74
  • Cover: £2.23 on Draw at 4.50 with Sky Bet — returns £10.04

The primary outcome makes £32.74 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.04. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 51.8%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £24.75 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Predicted lineups

Bristol Rovers

  1. Brad Young 1 Goalkeeper
  2. Ciarán Kelly 18 Centre-back
  3. Alfie Kilgour 5 Centre-back
  4. Kofi Balmer 17 Centre-back
  5. Jack Sparkes 3 Left midfielder
  6. Clinton Mola 6 Central midfielder
  7. Keenan Gough Central midfielder
  8. Tom James 2 Right midfielder
  9. Reiss-Alexander Russell-Denny 53 Attacking midfielder
  10. Ellis Harrison 19 Forward
  11. Fabrizio Cavegn 29 Forward

Swindon Town

  1. Connor Ripley 1 Goalkeeper
  2. Sam Inwood 33 Centre-back
  3. Stephan Negru 28 Centre-back
  4. Kaelan Majekodunmi 21 Centre-back
  5. Billy Kirkman 34 Left wing-back
  6. Jack Thomson Central midfielder
  7. James Ball 6 Central midfielder
  8. Mitchell Clark 24 Right wing-back
  9. Joe Snowdon 19 Attacking midfielder
  10. Matty Virtue 8 Attacking midfielder
  11. Aaron Drinan 23 Forward

Player availability

Reported team news can change. “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Bristol Rovers

  • Riley Harbottle — Out · Injured
  • Jack Aitchison — Out · Injured
  • Tommy Leigh — Out · Suspended

Swindon Town

  • Gavin Kilkenny — Out · Injured
  • Daniel Butterworth — Out · Injured
  • Harry Smith — Out · Injured
  • Ollie Palmer — Out · Injured
  • Dan Butler — Out · Injured
  • Ollie Clarke — Out · Injured
  • Ryan Tafazolli — Out · Injured
  • Anthony Munda — Out · Injured
  • Ben Middlemas — Out · Injured
  • Joel McGregor — Doubtful · Unfit
  • Paul Glatzel — Out · Unfit

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