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Wolverhampton Wanderers v Watford

Championship · Kickoff 24 Oct 2026 15:00 BST
League table · home team first
#TeamPWDLGDPtsLast 6
7Wolverhampton Wanderers11533318Win: WWin: WLoss: LLoss: LWin: WDraw: D
20Watford11326-911Win: WLoss: LLoss: LLoss: LLoss: LWin: W

Model Chances

Home62.5%
Draw23.9%
Away13.6%

Market Estimate

Home69.0%
First captured 65.5%
17 Oct 15:43 BST
Draw19.0%
First captured 20.3%
17 Oct 15:43 BST
Away12.0%
First captured 14.1%
17 Oct 15:43 BST

Lowest Odds

Home1.33 (≈1/3)
First captured 1.40 (2/5)
17 Oct 15:43 BST
Betano, Bet Victor, BoyleSports, Paddy Power
Draw4.60 (≈7/2)
First captured 4.40 (≈10/3)
17 Oct 15:43 BST
888sport, William Hill
Away7.00 (6/1)
First captured 6.40 (≈11/2)
17 Oct 15:43 BST
Grosvenor, LiveScore Bet, Virgin Bet

Highest Odds

Home1.41 (≈2/5)
First captured 1.42 (≈2/5)
17 Oct 15:43 BST
Betfair Exchange, Matchbook
Draw5.30 (≈9/2)
First captured 4.70 (≈7/2)
17 Oct 15:43 BST
Betfair Exchange, Matchbook
Away9.20 (≈8/1)
First captured 6.75 (≈11/2)
17 Oct 15:43 BST
Betfair Exchange, Matchbook

Bet

Home
Draw
Away
Bet Strategy options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 86.4%

  • Primary: £8.07 on Home at 1.37 with LiveScore Bet — returns £11.06
  • Cover: £1.93 on Draw at 5.20 with LeoVegas — returns £10.04

The primary outcome makes £1.06 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.04. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 13.6%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £10.84 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 86.4%

  • Primary: £2.70 on Draw at 5.20 with LeoVegas — returns £14.04
  • Cover: £7.30 on Home at 1.37 with LiveScore Bet — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £4.04 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 13.6%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £10.84 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 76.1%

  • Primary: £8.82 on Home at 1.37 with LiveScore Bet — returns £12.08
  • Cover: £1.18 on Away at 8.50 with Betfred — returns £10.03

The primary outcome makes £2.08 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.03. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 23.9%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £11.80 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 76.1%

  • Primary: £2.70 on Away at 8.50 with Betfred — returns £22.95
  • Cover: £7.30 on Home at 1.37 with LiveScore Bet — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £12.95 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 23.9%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £11.80 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 37.5%

  • Primary: £8.82 on Draw at 5.20 with LeoVegas — returns £45.86
  • Cover: £1.18 on Away at 8.50 with Betfred — returns £10.03

The primary outcome makes £35.86 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.03. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 62.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £32.26 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 37.5%

  • Primary: £8.07 on Away at 8.50 with Betfred — returns £68.60
  • Cover: £1.93 on Draw at 5.20 with LeoVegas — returns £10.04

The primary outcome makes £58.60 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.04. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 62.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £32.26 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Predicted lineups

Wolverhampton Wanderers

  1. José Sá 1 Goalkeeper
  2. Hugo Bueno 3 Left-back
  3. Nasser Djiga 34 Centre-back
  4. Ladislav Krejcí 37 Centre-back
  5. Jackson Tchatchoua 38 Right-back
  6. André 7 Central midfielder
  7. Jordan James 6 Central midfielder
  8. Fer López 28 Central midfielder
  9. Mateus Mané 36 Left forward
  10. Adam Armstrong 10 Forward
  11. Jean-Ricner Bellegarde 27 Right forward

Watford

  1. Federico Ravaglia 1 Goalkeeper
  2. Soumaïla Coulibaly 3 Centre-back
  3. Kévin Keben 4 Centre-back
  4. Mattie Pollock 6 Centre-back
  5. Jordan Zemura 33 Left wing-back
  6. Edo Kayembe 39 Central midfielder
  7. Hector Kyprianou 5 Central midfielder
  8. Martín Payero 22 Central midfielder
  9. Krépin Diatta 15 Right wing-back
  10. Rocco Vata 11 Forward
  11. Luca Kjerrumgaard 9 Forward

Player availability

Reported team news can change. “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Wolverhampton Wanderers

  • Raúl Jiménez — Out · Injured
  • Boubacar Traoré — Out · Injured
  • Rodrigo Gomes — Out · Injured
  • Adam Armstrong — Doubtful · Unfit
  • Kieran Trippier — Doubtful · Unfit
  • Bertrand Traoré — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

Watford

  • Edoardo Bove — Out · Injured
  • Jack Grieves — Out · Injured
  • Kwadwo Baah — Out · Injured
  • Jeremy Ngakia — Out · Unfit
  • Michail Antonio — Out · Unfit
  • Iker Bravo — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

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