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Stoke City v Bristol City

Championship · Kickoff 24 Oct 2026 15:00 BST
League table · home team first
#TeamPWDLGDPtsLast 6
6Stoke City11614219Draw: DWin: WWin: WWin: WLoss: LWin: W
16Bristol City11425-314Loss: LLoss: LWin: WDraw: DLoss: LLoss: L

Model Chances

Home37.3%
Draw28.8%
Away33.9%

Market Estimate

Home40.7%
First captured 40.0%
17 Oct 15:43 BST
Draw28.1%
First captured 28.3%
17 Oct 15:43 BST
Away31.2%
First captured 31.7%
17 Oct 15:43 BST

Lowest Odds

Home2.20 (6/5)
First captured 2.25 (5/4)
17 Oct 15:43 BST
BoyleSports
Draw3.20 (11/5)
First captured 3.10 (21/10)
17 Oct 15:43 BST
888sport, William Hill
Away2.85 (≈15/8)
First captured 2.80 (9/5)
17 Oct 15:43 BST
Virgin Bet

Highest Odds

Home2.42 (≈7/5)
First captured 2.38 (≈11/8)
17 Oct 15:43 BST
Betfair Exchange, Matchbook
Draw3.50 (5/2) Betfair Exchange, Matchbook, Smarkets
Away3.25 (9/4)
First captured 3.00 (2/1)
17 Oct 15:43 BST
Betfair Exchange, Matchbook

Bet

Home
Draw
Away
Bet Strategy options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 66.1%

  • Primary: £7.05 on Home at 2.38 with Betfred — returns £16.78
  • Cover: £2.95 on Draw at 3.40 with Betfred — returns £10.03

The primary outcome makes £6.78 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.03. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 33.9%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £14.00 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 66.1%

  • Primary: £5.79 on Draw at 3.40 with Betfred — returns £19.69
  • Cover: £4.21 on Home at 2.38 with Betfred — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £9.69 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 33.9%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £14.00 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 71.2%

  • Primary: £6.77 on Home at 2.38 with Betfred — returns £16.11
  • Cover: £3.23 on Away at 3.10 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £6.11 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 28.8%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.46 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 71.2%

  • Primary: £5.79 on Away at 3.10 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £17.95
  • Cover: £4.21 on Home at 2.38 with Betfred — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £7.95 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 28.8%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.46 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 62.7%

  • Primary: £6.77 on Draw at 3.40 with Betfred — returns £23.02
  • Cover: £3.23 on Away at 3.10 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £13.02 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 37.3%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £16.22 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 62.7%

  • Primary: £7.05 on Away at 3.10 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £21.86
  • Cover: £2.95 on Draw at 3.40 with Betfred — returns £10.03

The primary outcome makes £11.86 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.03. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 37.3%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £16.22 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Predicted lineups

Stoke City

  1. Viktor Johansson 1 Goalkeeper
  2. Luke Graham 5 Centre-back
  3. Bosun Lawal 18 Centre-back
  4. Ben Wilmot 16 Centre-back
  5. Luca Bombino 21 Left wing-back
  6. Ethan Galbraith 30 Central midfielder
  7. Djibril Soumaré 18 Central midfielder
  8. Ben Johnson 18 Right wing-back
  9. Justin Devenny 55 Attacking midfielder
  10. Jack McGlynn 7 Attacking midfielder
  11. Lamine Cissé 11 Forward

Bristol City

  1. Sam Tickle 1 Goalkeeper
  2. Cameron Pring 3 Left-back
  3. Luke McNally 15 Centre-back
  4. Rob Atkinson 5 Centre-back
  5. George Tanner 19 Right-back
  6. Jason Knight 12 Defensive midfielder
  7. Brian De Keersmaecker 14 Defensive midfielder
  8. Yu Hirakawa 7 Left attacking midfielder
  9. Scott Twine 10 Attacking midfielder
  10. Jed Wallace 7 Right attacking midfielder
  11. Dom Ballard 32 Forward

Player availability

Reported team news can change. “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Stoke City

  • Sam Gallagher — Out · Injured
  • Svante Ingelsson — Out · Unfit
  • Aaron Cresswell — Out · Unfit
  • Ato Ampah — Out · Unfit
  • Eric Bocat — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

Bristol City

  • Rob Dickie — Out · Injured
  • Joe Williams — Out · Injured
  • Lorent Tolaj — Doubtful · Unfit
  • Noah Eile — Doubtful · Unfit

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