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Portsmouth v Millwall

Championship · Kickoff 24 Oct 2026 12:30 BST
League table · home team first
#TeamPWDLGDPtsLast 6
13Portsmouth11434015Draw: DDraw: DLoss: LWin: WWin: WDraw: D
12Millwall11434015Loss: LDraw: DDraw: DWin: WLoss: LDraw: D

Model Chances

Home46.1%
Draw27.0%
Away26.9%

Market Estimate

Home37.9%
First captured 39.5%
17 Oct 12:43 BST
Draw28.4%
First captured 27.8%
17 Oct 12:43 BST
Away33.7%
First captured 32.7%
17 Oct 12:43 BST

Lowest Odds

Home2.38 (≈11/8)
First captured 2.30 (13/10)
17 Oct 12:43 BST
BoyleSports
Draw3.10 (21/10)
First captured 3.25 (9/4)
17 Oct 12:43 BST
888sport, William Hill
Away2.63 (≈13/8)
First captured 2.80 (9/5)
17 Oct 12:43 BST
Virgin Bet

Highest Odds

Home2.62 (≈13/8)
First captured 2.38 (≈11/8)
17 Oct 12:43 BST
Betfair Exchange, Matchbook, Smarkets
Draw3.45 (≈12/5)
First captured 3.35 (≈23/10)
17 Oct 12:43 BST
Betfair Exchange, Matchbook, Smarkets
Away3.00 (2/1)
First captured 2.85 (≈15/8)
17 Oct 12:43 BST
Smarkets

Bet

Home
Draw
Away
Bet Strategy options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 73.1%

  • Primary: £7.05 on Home at 2.50 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £17.63
  • Cover: £2.95 on Draw at 3.40 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.03

The primary outcome makes £7.63 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.03. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 26.9%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £14.41 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 73.1%

  • Primary: £6.00 on Draw at 3.40 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £20.40
  • Cover: £4.00 on Home at 2.50 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £10.40 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 26.9%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £14.41 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 73.0%

  • Primary: £6.55 on Home at 2.50 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £16.38
  • Cover: £3.45 on Away at 2.90 with Unibet — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £6.38 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 27.0%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.43 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 73.0%

  • Primary: £6.00 on Away at 2.90 with Unibet — returns £17.40
  • Cover: £4.00 on Home at 2.50 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £7.40 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 27.0%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.43 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 53.9%

  • Primary: £6.55 on Draw at 3.40 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £22.27
  • Cover: £3.45 on Away at 2.90 with Unibet — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £12.27 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 46.1%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £15.65 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 53.9%

  • Primary: £7.05 on Away at 2.90 with Unibet — returns £20.45
  • Cover: £2.95 on Draw at 3.40 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.03

The primary outcome makes £10.45 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.03. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 46.1%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £15.65 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Predicted lineups

Portsmouth

  1. Nicolas Schmid 1 Goalkeeper
  2. Jayden Meghoma 21 Left-back
  3. Regan Poole 5 Centre-back
  4. Madiodio Dia 55 Centre-back
  5. Terry Devlin 24 Right-back
  6. Ebou Adams 38 Defensive midfielder
  7. Marlon Pack 7 Defensive midfielder
  8. Ryan Kavuma-McQueen 76 Left attacking midfielder
  9. Adrian Segecic 10 Attacking midfielder
  10. Abu Kamara 17 Right attacking midfielder
  11. Tyrese Shade 10 Forward

Millwall

  1. Max Crocombe 15 Goalkeeper
  2. Zak Sturge 3 Left-back
  3. Jake Cooper 5 Centre-back
  4. Caleb Taylor 6 Centre-back
  5. Tristan Crama 4 Right-back
  6. Jenson Metcalfe 21 Defensive midfielder
  7. Derek Mazou-Sacko 49 Defensive midfielder
  8. Kyrell Lisbie 17 Left attacking midfielder
  9. Camiel Neghli 10 Attacking midfielder
  10. Romain Esse 14 Right attacking midfielder
  11. Lyndon Dykes 99 Forward

Player availability

Reported team news can change. “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Portsmouth

  • Jacob Farrell — Out · Injured
  • Márk Kosznovszky — Out · Injured
  • Franco Umeh-Chibueze — Out · Injured
  • Connor Ogilvie — Out · Injured
  • Josh Murphy — Out · Injured
  • Luke Brooke-Smith — Out · Injured
  • Conor Shaughnessy — Out · Injured
  • Benjamin Arthur — Out · Injured
  • John Swift — Out · Injured
  • Keshi Anderson — Out · Injured
  • Colby Bishop — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

Millwall

  • Casper De Norre — Out · Injured
  • Mathis Servais — Out · Injured
  • Mihailo Ivanovic — Out · Injured
  • Josh Coburn — Out · Injured
  • Lukas Jensen — Out · Injured
  • Filip Marschall — Out · Injured
  • Massimo Luongo — Out · Unfit
  • Taïryk Arconte — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

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