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Sheffield United v Derby County

Championship · Kickoff 24 Oct 2026 12:30 BST
League table · home team first
#TeamPWDLGDPtsLast 6
11Sheffield United11434115Win: WLoss: LLoss: LWin: WLoss: LWin: W
23Derby County11137-116Loss: LLoss: LDraw: DDraw: DLoss: LLoss: L

Model Chances

Home44.5%
Draw26.5%
Away29.0%

Market Estimate

Home51.9%
First captured 48.4%
17 Oct 12:43 BST
Draw25.1%
First captured 26.6%
17 Oct 12:43 BST
Away22.9%
First captured 25.0%
17 Oct 12:43 BST

Lowest Odds

Home1.73 (≈8/11)
First captured 1.88 (≈10/11)
17 Oct 12:43 BST
Virgin Bet
Draw3.50 (5/2)
First captured 3.40 (12/5)
17 Oct 12:43 BST
888sport, William Hill
Away3.80 (14/5)
First captured 3.65 (≈13/5)
17 Oct 12:43 BST
Betway, BoyleSports

Highest Odds

Home1.87 (≈5/6)
First captured 1.95 (≈10/11)
17 Oct 12:43 BST
Matchbook
Draw4.10 (≈3/1)
First captured 3.55 (≈5/2)
17 Oct 12:43 BST
Betfair Exchange, Matchbook, Smarkets
Away4.50 (7/2)
First captured 3.75 (11/4)
17 Oct 12:43 BST
Matchbook, Smarkets

Bet

Home
Draw
Away
Bet Strategy options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 71.0%

  • Primary: £7.50 on Home at 1.85 with Coral — returns £13.88
  • Cover: £2.50 on Draw at 4.00 with Betway — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £3.88 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 29.0%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.65 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 71.0%

  • Primary: £4.59 on Draw at 4.00 with Betway — returns £18.36
  • Cover: £5.41 on Home at 1.85 with Coral — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £8.36 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 29.0%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.65 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 73.5%

  • Primary: £7.64 on Home at 1.85 with Coral — returns £14.13
  • Cover: £2.36 on Away at 4.25 with Casumo — returns £10.03

The primary outcome makes £4.13 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.03. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 26.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.89 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 73.5%

  • Primary: £4.59 on Away at 4.25 with Casumo — returns £19.51
  • Cover: £5.41 on Home at 1.85 with Coral — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £9.51 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 26.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.89 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 55.5%

  • Primary: £7.64 on Draw at 4.00 with Betway — returns £30.56
  • Cover: £2.36 on Away at 4.25 with Casumo — returns £10.03

The primary outcome makes £20.56 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.03. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 44.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £20.61 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 55.5%

  • Primary: £7.50 on Away at 4.25 with Casumo — returns £31.88
  • Cover: £2.50 on Draw at 4.00 with Betway — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £21.88 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 44.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £20.61 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Predicted lineups

Sheffield United

  1. Michael Cooper 1 Goalkeeper
  2. Harrison Burrows 14 Left-back
  3. Japhet Tanganga 5 Centre-back
  4. Liam Kitching 15 Centre-back
  5. Hamza Choudhury 17 Right-back
  6. Oliver Arblaster 4 Defensive midfielder
  7. Kalvin Phillips 44 Defensive midfielder
  8. Ben Brereton 25 Left attacking midfielder
  9. Patrick Bamford 45 Attacking midfielder
  10. Tahith Chong 19 Right attacking midfielder
  11. Thomas Cannon 9 Forward

Derby County

  1. Josh Vickers 31 Goalkeeper
  2. Ryan Hedges 19 Left-back
  3. Dion Sanderson 28 Centre-back
  4. Ryan Nyambe 24 Centre-back
  5. Joe Ward 23 Right-back
  6. David Ozoh 52 Defensive midfielder
  7. Oscar Fraulo 29 Defensive midfielder
  8. Bobby Clark 42 Left attacking midfielder
  9. Sam Szmodics 19 Attacking midfielder
  10. Mohammed Fuseini 16 Right attacking midfielder
  11. Carlton Morris 9 Forward

Player availability

Reported team news can change. “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Sheffield United

  • Femi Seriki — Out · Injured
  • Mark McGuinness — Doubtful · Injured doubtful
  • Matt Doherty — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

Derby County

  • Max Johnston — Out · Injured
  • Patrick Agyemang — Out · Injured
  • Derry John Murkin — Out · Injured
  • Matt Clarke — Out · Injured
  • Craig Forsyth — Out · Injured
  • Jacob Widell Zetterström — Out · Injured
  • Charlie Taylor — Out · Injured
  • Eiran Cashin — Out · Injured
  • Sondre Langås — Out · Injured
  • Lewis Travis — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

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