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Manchester United v Bournemouth

Premier League · Kickoff 25 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT
League table · home team first
#TeamPWDLGDPtsLast 6
13Manchester United714207Win: WDraw: DLoss: LDraw: DDraw: DDraw: D
15Bournemouth7133-46Draw: DDraw: DDraw: DLoss: LLoss: LWin: W

Model Chances

Home58.8%
Draw27.5%
Away13.7%

Market Estimate

Home44.7%
First captured 51.9%
18 Oct 15:22 BST
Draw25.9%
First captured 23.6%
18 Oct 15:22 BST
Away29.4%
First captured 24.5%
18 Oct 15:22 BST

Lowest Odds

Home2.00 (1/1)
First captured 1.77 (≈4/5)
18 Oct 15:22 BST
LiveScore Bet, Virgin Bet
Draw3.50 (5/2)
First captured 3.75 (11/4)
18 Oct 15:22 BST
LiveScore Bet, Sky Bet, 888sport, Virgin Bet, William Hill
Away3.00 (2/1)
First captured 3.60 (13/5)
18 Oct 15:22 BST
LeoVegas

Highest Odds

Home2.24 (≈5/4)
First captured 1.87 (≈5/6)
18 Oct 15:22 BST
Betfair Exchange, Matchbook
Draw3.80 (14/5)
First captured 4.25 (≈10/3)
18 Oct 15:22 BST
Betfair Exchange, Matchbook, Smarkets
Away3.40 (12/5)
First captured 4.10 (≈3/1)
18 Oct 15:22 BST
Matchbook

Bet

Home
Draw
Away
Bet Strategy options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 86.3%

  • Primary: £7.33 on Home at 2.20 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £16.13
  • Cover: £2.67 on Draw at 3.75 with Betfred — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £6.13 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 13.7%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.87 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 86.3%

  • Primary: £5.45 on Draw at 3.75 with Betfred — returns £20.44
  • Cover: £4.55 on Home at 2.20 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £10.44 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 13.7%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.87 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 72.5%

  • Primary: £7.01 on Home at 2.20 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £15.42
  • Cover: £2.99 on Away at 3.35 with Casumo — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £5.42 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 27.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.28 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 72.5%

  • Primary: £5.45 on Away at 3.35 with Casumo — returns £18.26
  • Cover: £4.55 on Home at 2.20 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £8.26 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 27.5%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.28 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 41.2%

  • Primary: £7.01 on Draw at 3.75 with Betfred — returns £26.29
  • Cover: £2.99 on Away at 3.35 with Casumo — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £16.29 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 58.8%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £17.69 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 41.2%

  • Primary: £7.33 on Away at 3.35 with Casumo — returns £24.56
  • Cover: £2.67 on Draw at 3.75 with Betfred — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £14.56 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 58.8%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £17.69 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Predicted lineups

Manchester United

  1. Senne Lammens 1 Goalkeeper
  2. Noussair Mazraoui 3 Left-back
  3. Leny Yoro 15 Centre-back
  4. Harry Maguire 5 Centre-back
  5. Diogo Dalot 2 Right-back
  6. Andrey Santos 17 Defensive midfielder
  7. Youri Tielemans 8 Defensive midfielder
  8. Matheus Cunha 10 Left attacking midfielder
  9. Bruno Fernandes 8 Attacking midfielder
  10. Amad Diallo 16 Right attacking midfielder
  11. Bryan Mbeumo 19 Forward

Bournemouth

  1. Djordje Petrovic 1 Goalkeeper
  2. Adrien Truffert 3 Left-back
  3. António Silva 14 Centre-back
  4. James Hill 5 Centre-back
  5. Adam Smith 15 Right-back
  6. Lewis Cook 4 Defensive midfielder
  7. Tyler Adams 12 Defensive midfielder
  8. Marcus Tavernier 16 Left attacking midfielder
  9. Ryan Christie 10 Attacking midfielder
  10. Rayan 37 Right attacking midfielder
  11. Evanilson 9 Forward

Player availability

Reported team news can change. “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Manchester United

  • Luke Shaw — Out · Injured
  • Kobbie Mainoo — Out · Injured
  • Manuel Ugarte — Out · Injured
  • Patrick Dorgu — Out · Injured
  • Benjamin Sesko — Out · Injured
  • Lisandro Martínez — Doubtful · Injured doubtful
  • Marcus Rashford — Doubtful · Injured doubtful
  • Ayden Heaven — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

Bournemouth

  • Julián Araujo — Out · Injured
  • Alex Scott — Out · Injured

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