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Liverpool v Brighton and Hove Albion

Premier League · Kickoff 25 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT
League table · home team first
#TeamPWDLGDPtsLast 6
5Liverpool7331112Draw: DWin: WDraw: DWin: WLoss: LWin: W
3Brighton & Hove Albion75111816Loss: LDraw: DWin: WWin: WWin: WWin: W

Model Chances

Home37.2%
Draw24.3%
Away38.4%

Market Estimate

Home45.1%
First captured 46.0%
18 Oct 15:22 BST
Draw25.0%
First captured 24.6%
18 Oct 15:22 BST
Away29.9%
First captured 29.4%
18 Oct 15:22 BST

Lowest Odds

Home1.98 (≈1/1)
First captured 1.97 (≈1/1)
18 Oct 15:22 BST
LiveScore Bet
Draw3.55 (≈5/2)
First captured 3.70 (≈11/4)
18 Oct 15:22 BST
LiveScore Bet
Away3.00 (2/1) Betway, LeoVegas

Highest Odds

Home2.18 (≈6/5) Betfair Exchange, Matchbook
Draw4.00 (3/1) Betfair Exchange, Betfred, Matchbook
Away3.30 (23/10)
First captured 3.35 (≈23/10)
18 Oct 15:22 BST
Betfair Exchange, Matchbook, Smarkets

Bet

Home
Draw
Away
Bet Strategy options

Each option puts most of the £10.00 on the first outcome and only enough on the second outcome to cover the full stake:

Home + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 61.6%

  • Primary: £7.50 on Home at 2.15 with Unibet — returns £16.13
  • Cover: £2.50 on Draw at 4.00 with Betfred — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £6.13 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 38.4%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.98 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 61.6%

  • Primary: £5.34 on Draw at 4.00 with Betfred — returns £21.36
  • Cover: £4.66 on Home at 2.15 with Unibet — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £11.36 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Away wins (pre-match model chance 38.4%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £13.98 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Home + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 75.7%

  • Primary: £6.92 on Home at 2.15 with Unibet — returns £14.88
  • Cover: £3.08 on Away at 3.25 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £4.88 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 24.3%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.94 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Home · Combined pre-match model chance 75.7%

  • Primary: £5.34 on Away at 3.25 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £17.36
  • Cover: £4.66 on Home at 2.15 with Unibet — returns £10.02

The primary outcome makes £7.36 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.02. If Draw wins (pre-match model chance 24.3%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £12.94 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Draw + Away · Combined pre-match model chance 62.8%

  • Primary: £6.92 on Draw at 4.00 with Betfred — returns £27.68
  • Cover: £3.08 on Away at 3.25 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £10.01

The primary outcome makes £17.68 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake, plus £0.01. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 37.2%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £17.93 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

Away + Draw · Combined pre-match model chance 62.8%

  • Primary: £7.50 on Away at 3.25 with Betfair Sportsbook — returns £24.38
  • Cover: £2.50 on Draw at 4.00 with Betfred — returns £10.00

The primary outcome makes £14.38 profit. The cover outcome recovers the £10.00 total stake. If Home wins (pre-match model chance 37.2%), the full £10.00 is lost.

Dutching is available. A different split can make a profit if either selected outcome wins. With the £10.00 example stake, the winning selection would return £17.93 whichever of these two outcomes occurs.

This reduces the number of losing outcomes; it does not remove the risk, guarantee a profit, or show that the approach is profitable over time. Prices can change before both bets are placed.

Predicted lineups

Liverpool

  1. Alisson Becker 1 Goalkeeper
  2. Milos Kerkez 6 Left-back
  3. Virgil van Dijk 4 Centre-back
  4. Jérémy Jacquet 5 Centre-back
  5. Ronald Araujo 33 Right-back
  6. Alexis Mac Allister 10 Defensive midfielder
  7. Ryan Gravenberch 38 Defensive midfielder
  8. Cody Gakpo 18 Left attacking midfielder
  9. Florian Wirtz 7 Attacking midfielder
  10. Bradley Barcola 29 Right attacking midfielder
  11. Alexander Isak 9 Forward

Brighton and Hove Albion

  1. Bart Verbruggen 1 Goalkeeper
  2. Olivier Boscagli 21 Left-back
  3. Lewis Dunk 5 Centre-back
  4. Luka Vuskovic 16 Centre-back
  5. Ferdi Kadioglu 24 Right-back
  6. Chema Andrés 14 Defensive midfielder
  7. Pascal Groß 13 Defensive midfielder
  8. Maxim De Cuyper 29 Left attacking midfielder
  9. Yasin Ayari 26 Attacking midfielder
  10. Diego Gómez 25 Right attacking midfielder
  11. Charalampos Kostoulas 19 Forward

Player availability

Reported team news can change. “Doubtful” is not a confirmed absence.

Liverpool

  • Hugo Ekitiké — Out · Injured
  • Giovanni Leoni — Out · Injured
  • Conor Bradley — Out · Injured
  • Jeremie Frimpong — Out · Injured
  • Dominik Szoboszlai — Doubtful · Injured doubtful

Brighton and Hove Albion

  • Kaoru Mitoma — Out · Injured
  • Stefanos Tzimas — Out · Injured
  • Evan Ferguson — Out · Injured
  • Yankuba Minteh — Out · Injured
  • Mats Wieffer — Out · Injured
  • Zadok Yohanna — Out · Injured

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